ENGLAND AMATEUR - NATIONAL LEAGUE SOUTH
20:45Tue 10 Nov
TOR
TU
Hemel Hempstead Town vs Torquay United
CLASS E
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80
TOTAL GOALS
Class E
Over 1.5 Goals
Hemel Hempstead Town v Torquay United
1.16odds
86%book
-6edge
2/2angles
EDGE PICKGG/NG 2+: No · 68.6% · @1.22
Book 82% · Us 69% -13 price too short
Backed by
· main loses on: 0-0, 1-0, 0-1 | hedge wins on all of themHemel Hempstead Town: the bet landed in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Torquay United: the bet landed in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 87% · Hemel Hempstead Town: only games against sides at Torquay United's level · Torquay United: only games against sides at Hemel Hempstead Town's level
THE READ
Match details. National League South. Kick-off is Tue 10 Nov, 20:45 Lagos time.
Form. Hemel Hempstead Town have won one, drawn three and lost four of their last eight league games, 0.8 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: L L D L L. Torquay United have won three, drawn two and lost two of their last seven league games, 1.6 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: W L D W L.
The numbers. Hemel Hempstead Town score one and concede 1.9 a game over their last eight, with two clean sheets and three games without a goal. Hemel Hempstead Town average 2.6 corners and 1.9 cards a game. Torquay United score 2.1 and concede 1.1 a game over their last seven, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. Torquay United average 3.3 corners and 3.0 cards a game.
The case against. Hemel Hempstead Town's record still gives them 20% to win.
The read. Torquay United to win. An open game. Torquay United are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Torquay United. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 61%.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.16, rated 77% (Hemel Hempstead Town: over 1.5 goals in 6 of 8; Torquay United: over 1.5 goals in 6 of 7). The safer one: Hemel Hempstead Town Under 2.5 Goals at 1.13 (86%). Full cover: Under 5.5 Goals at 1.09. Whenever the best bet loses, this one wins. Predicted score: Hemel Hempstead Town 1-2 Torquay United (9% chance).
The agreed story. No side to back (Torquay United the favourite), an open game.
The league run. Hemel Hempstead Town: lost their last two league games (L L D L L). Torquay United: up and down in the league (W L D W L). Not confident in Torquay United: two defeats in their last five league games to sides outside the top third.
So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.
PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
Hemel Hempstead Town (2:0 handicap)LEANPAGE ONLY
1.30
HEM 6 of 8 (75%) · TOR 4 of 7 (57%)66.1%
Hemel Hempstead Town: the bet landed in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Torquay United: the bet landed in 4 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 66% · Hemel Hempstead Town: only games against sides at Torquay United's level · Torquay United: only games against sides at Hemel Hempstead Town's level
Draw or Over 2.5 GoalsIN CODES
1.22
HEM 6 of 8 (75%) · TOR 6 of 7 (86%)65.4%
Hemel Hempstead Town: the bet landed in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Torquay United: the bet landed in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 80% · Hemel Hempstead Town: only games against sides at Torquay United's level · Torquay United: only games against sides at Hemel Hempstead Town's level
Hemel Hempstead Town or Over 2.5 GoalsIN CODES
1.34
HEM 5 of 8 (62%) · TOR 6 of 7 (86%)56.1%
Hemel Hempstead Town: the bet landed in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Torquay United: the bet landed in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 74% · Hemel Hempstead Town: only games against sides at Torquay United's level · Torquay United: only games against sides at Hemel Hempstead Town's level
Torquay United win or both teams scoreHELD · the odds board 88%
1.13
TOR 5 of 7 (71%) · HEM 6 of 8 (75%)55.2%
Torquay United: the bet landed in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Hemel Hempstead Town: the bet landed in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 73% · Torquay United: only games against sides at Hemel Hempstead Town's level · Hemel Hempstead Town: only games against sides at Torquay United's level
Double Chance: Draw or Torquay UnitedHELD · the odds board 79%
1.27
TOR 5 of 7 (71%) · HEM 7 of 8 (88%)49.9%
Torquay United unbeaten in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Hemel Hempstead Town failed to win 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 79% · Torquay United: only games against sides at Hemel Hempstead Town's level · Hemel Hempstead Town: only games against sides at Torquay United's level
Torquay United or Over 2.5 GoalsLEANHELD · the odds board 81%
1.24
TOR 5 of 7 (71%) · HEM 5 of 8 (62%)49%
Torquay United: the bet landed in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Hemel Hempstead Town: the bet landed in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 67% · Torquay United: only games against sides at Hemel Hempstead Town's level · Hemel Hempstead Town: only games against sides at Torquay United's level
Hemel Hempstead Town or Both Teams ScoreLEANHELD · the odds board 78%
1.29
HEM 5 of 8 (62%) · TOR 5 of 7 (71%)49%
Hemel Hempstead Town: the bet landed in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Torquay United: the bet landed in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 67% · Hemel Hempstead Town: only games against sides at Torquay United's level · Torquay United: only games against sides at Hemel Hempstead Town's level
Torquay United or draw and over 1.5 goalsHELD · the odds board 70%
1.43
HEM 5 of 8 (62%) · TOR 5 of 7 (71%)39.2%
Hemel Hempstead Town: the bet landed in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Torquay United: the bet landed in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 67% · Hemel Hempstead Town: only games against sides at Torquay United's level · Torquay United: only games against sides at Hemel Hempstead Town's level
Torquay United (Draw No Bet)LEANHELD · the odds board 68%
1.46
TOR 3 of 5 (60%) · HEM 4 of 5 (80%)39%
Torquay United won 3 of 5 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · Hemel Hempstead Town lost 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · both last 10: 70% · Torquay United: only games against sides at Hemel Hempstead Town's level · Hemel Hempstead Town: only games against sides at Torquay United's level · won 5, refunded 2, lost 2
GOALS
Over 1.5 GoalsMAININ CODES
1.16
HEM 6 of 8 (75%) · TOR 6 of 7 (86%)79.5%
Hemel Hempstead Town: over 1.5 goals in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Torquay United: over 1.5 goals in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 80% · Hemel Hempstead Town: only games against sides at Torquay United's level · Torquay United: only games against sides at Hemel Hempstead Town's level
BOTH TEAMS SCORE
Both Teams to Score - YesLEANPAGE ONLY
1.47
HEM 4 of 8 (50%) · TOR 3 of 7 (43%)57.3%
Hemel Hempstead Town: both scored in 4 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Torquay United: both scored in 3 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 46% · Hemel Hempstead Town: only games against sides at Torquay United's level · Torquay United: only games against sides at Hemel Hempstead Town's level
HEMEL HEMPSTEAD TOWN GOALS
Hemel Hempstead Town Over 0.5 goalsLEANIN CODES
1.29
HEM 5 of 8 (62%) · TOR 5 of 7 (71%)71.8%
Hemel Hempstead Town scored in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Torquay United conceded in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 67% · Hemel Hempstead Town: only games against sides at Torquay United's level · Torquay United: only games against sides at Hemel Hempstead Town's level
TORQUAY UNITED GOALS
Torquay United Over 0.5 goalsIN CODES
1.14
TOR 5 of 7 (71%) · HEM 6 of 8 (75%)77.5%
Torquay United scored in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Hemel Hempstead Town conceded in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 73% · Torquay United: only games against sides at Hemel Hempstead Town's level · Hemel Hempstead Town: only games against sides at Torquay United's level
HALVES
2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5PAGE ONLY
1.15
HEM 6 of 8 (75%) · TOR 7 of 7 (100%)85.1%
Hemel Hempstead Town: the bet landed in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Torquay United: the bet landed in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 88% · on half-time scores · Hemel Hempstead Town: only games against sides at Torquay United's level · Torquay United: only games against sides at Hemel Hempstead Town's level
1st Half - GG/NG: NoPAGE ONLY
1.27
HEM 6 of 8 (75%) · TOR 6 of 7 (86%)80.4%
Hemel Hempstead Town: the bet landed in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Torquay United: the bet landed in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 80% · on half-time scores · Hemel Hempstead Town: only games against sides at Torquay United's level · Torquay United: only games against sides at Hemel Hempstead Town's level
Excluded Number of Goals - First Half: 3+PAGE ONLY
1.16
HEM 6 of 8 (75%) · TOR 7 of 7 (100%)70.4%
Hemel Hempstead Town: the bet landed in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Torquay United: the bet landed in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 88% · on half-time scores · Hemel Hempstead Town: only games against sides at Torquay United's level · Torquay United: only games against sides at Hemel Hempstead Town's level
1st Half Over 0.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.25
HEM 7 of 8 (88%) · TOR 4 of 7 (57%)69.2%
Hemel Hempstead Town: the bet landed in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Torquay United: the bet landed in 4 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 72% · on half-time scores · Hemel Hempstead Town: only games against sides at Torquay United's level · Torquay United: only games against sides at Hemel Hempstead Town's level
Both Halves Over 1.5: NoPAGE ONLY
1.23
HEM 6 of 8 (75%) · TOR 6 of 7 (86%)63.3%
Hemel Hempstead Town: the bet landed in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Torquay United: the bet landed in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 80% · on half-time scores · Hemel Hempstead Town: only games against sides at Torquay United's level · Torquay United: only games against sides at Hemel Hempstead Town's level
OTHER
GG/NG 2+: NoIN CODES
1.22
HEM 7 of 8 (88%) · TOR 6 of 7 (86%)68.6%
Hemel Hempstead Town: the bet landed in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Torquay United: the bet landed in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 87% · Hemel Hempstead Town: only games against sides at Torquay United's level · Torquay United: only games against sides at Hemel Hempstead Town's level
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 1–2 8.9%
Hemel Hempstead Town goals →
Torquay United goals ↓
0-07%
1-07%
2-05%
3-02%
4-00.7%
5-00.2%
0-19%
1-113%
2-18%
3-13%
4-11%
5-10.3%
0-27%
1-29%
2-26%
3-22%
4-20.8%
5-20.2%
0-34%
1-34%
2-33%
3-31%
4-30.4%
5-30.1%
0-41%
1-42%
2-41%
3-40.4%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.4%
1-50.5%
2-50.3%
3-50.1%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).
FORM · LAST 10
HEMEL HEMPSTEAD TOWNLLDLLDWLDD0.70 PPG
TORQUAY UNITEDWLDLWWLWDW1.70 PPG
THE NUMBERS
HEMEL HEMPSTEAD TOWN HOMExTORQUAY UNITED AWAY
0.94SCORED A GAME1.571.50CONCEDED A GAME1.2120%CLEAN SHEETS30%2.57CORNERS A GAME3.331.86CARDS A GAME3.00
THE BANK
THE QUALITY READ
1.00POINTS A GAME1.43-0.56GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.43-4.5SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST+0.20.2LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.416LEAGUE GAMES14
Torquay United: the quality side - a better goal difference, more shots than it allows, better form (last 5).
TORQUAY UNITED 0:2 HANDICAP
–
373 OF 433
PRICE NOT KEPT
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
80%
OKAY · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
44%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
89%
OKAY · 85/90
HEMEL HEMPSTEAD TOWN OR DRAW
46%
NO · 80/85
TORQUAY UNITED OR DRAW
67%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (16 and 14 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
HEMEL HEMPSTEAD TOWNxTORQUAY UNITED
7GAMES71.00SCORED A GAME1.291.57CONCEDED A GAME1.142.6GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.486%OVER 1.5 GOALS71%43%OVER 2.5 GOALS57%71%BOTH SCORE14%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
TRENDS
Hemel Hempstead Town have scored in 70% of their games.
Torquay United have scored in 70% of their games.
Hemel Hempstead Town kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.
Torquay United kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards