MFMOR

20:45Tue 10 Nov

HER

Morecambe FC vs Hereford FC

CLASS E

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THE BET

TOTAL GOALS

Class E

MFv

Over 1.5 Goals

Morecambe FC v Hereford FC

England Amateur -… · 20:45

1.19odds

84%book

-28edge

2/2angles

EDGE PICKMorecambe FC Under 2.5 goals · 81.3% · @1.22

Book 82% · Us 81% -1 price too short

Backed by

Morecambe FC scored under 2.5 in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Hereford FC conceded under 2.5 in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 80% · Morecambe FC: only games against sides at Hereford FC's level · Hereford FC: only games against sides at Morecambe FC's level

· main loses on: 0-0, 1-0, 0-1 | hedge wins on all of them

THE READ

Match details. National League North. Kick-off is Tue 10 Nov, 20:45 Lagos time.

Form. Morecambe FC have won four, drawn one and lost two of their last seven league games, 1.9 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: L W W W L. Hereford FC have won five, drawn one and lost three of their last nine league games, 1.8 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: W L L W L.

The numbers. Morecambe FC score 1.9 and concede 1.4 a game over their last seven, with three clean sheets. Morecambe FC average 4.6 corners and 2.4 cards a game. Hereford FC score 1.8 and concede one a game over their last nine, with two clean sheets and three games without a goal. Hereford FC average 6.1 corners and 2.1 cards a game.

The case against. Hereford FC's record still gives them 42% to win.

The read. Morecambe FC to win. A tight game. Their goals for and against make Morecambe FC the likelier winners; both teams' records favour Morecambe FC.

The bets. No best bet: the strongest pick did not fit the read of this game. The safer one: Hereford FC Under 2.5 Goals at 1.15 (89%). Predicted score: Morecambe FC 2-1 Hereford FC (9% chance).

The agreed story. No side to back (Morecambe FC the favourite), a tight game.

The league run. Morecambe FC: up and down in the league (L W W W L). Hereford FC: up and down in the league (W L L W L).

So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.

PICKSONE LIST

RESULT

Morecambe FC or Both Teams ScoreIN CODES

1.18

MOR 7 of 7 (100%) · HER 7 of 9 (78%)70.9%

Morecambe FC: the bet landed in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Hereford FC: the bet landed in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 89% · Morecambe FC: only games against sides at Hereford FC's level · Hereford FC: only games against sides at Morecambe FC's level

Hereford FC to Win to Nil: NoIN CODES

1.12

HER 7 of 9 (78%) · MOR 7 of 7 (100%)70.9%

Hereford FC: the bet landed in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Morecambe FC: the bet landed in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 89% · Hereford FC: only games against sides at Morecambe FC's level · Morecambe FC: only games against sides at Hereford FC's level

Morecambe FC or Over 2.5 GoalsIN CODES

1.31

MOR 6 of 7 (86%) · HER 8 of 9 (89%)66.3%

Morecambe FC: the bet landed in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Hereford FC: the bet landed in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 87% · Morecambe FC: only games against sides at Hereford FC's level · Hereford FC: only games against sides at Morecambe FC's level

Hereford FC or Under 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

1.49

HER 8 of 9 (89%) · MOR 5 of 7 (71%)60.6%

Hereford FC: the bet landed in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Morecambe FC: the bet landed in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 80% · Hereford FC: only games against sides at Morecambe FC's level · Morecambe FC: only games against sides at Hereford FC's level

Draw or Over 2.5 GoalsHELD · the odds board 79%

1.26

MOR 5 of 7 (71%) · HER 7 of 9 (78%)56.6%

Morecambe FC: the bet landed in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Hereford FC: the bet landed in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75% · Morecambe FC: only games against sides at Hereford FC's level · Hereford FC: only games against sides at Morecambe FC's level

Double Chance: Morecambe FC or Hereford FCHELD · the odds board 79%

1.27

MOR 6 of 7 (86%) · HER 8 of 9 (89%)55.6%

Morecambe FC (Draw No Bet)LEANPAGE ONLY

1.65

MOR 4 of 6 (67%) · HER 3 of 8 (38%)44.8%

Morecambe FC won 4 of 6 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · Hereford FC lost 3 of 8 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · both last 10: 52% · Morecambe FC: only games against sides at Hereford FC's level · Hereford FC: only games against sides at Morecambe FC's level · won 6, refunded 1, lost 3

Morecambe FC or Under 2.5 GoalsLEANHELD · the odds board 75%

1.34

MOR 5 of 7 (71%) · HER 4 of 9 (44%)39.9%

Morecambe FC: the bet landed in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Hereford FC: the bet landed in 4 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 58% · Morecambe FC: only games against sides at Hereford FC's level · Hereford FC: only games against sides at Morecambe FC's level

Morecambe FC or draw and under 3.5 goalsLEANPAGE ONLY

2.00

MOR 4 of 7 (57%) · HER 4 of 9 (44%)32.8%

Morecambe FC: the bet landed in 4 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Hereford FC: the bet landed in 4 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 51% · Morecambe FC: only games against sides at Hereford FC's level · Hereford FC: only games against sides at Morecambe FC's level

GOALS

Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

MOR 6 of 7 (86%) · HER 8 of 9 (89%)96.2%

Morecambe FC: under 5.5 goals in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Hereford FC: under 5.5 goals in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 87% · Morecambe FC: only games against sides at Hereford FC's level · Hereford FC: only games against sides at Morecambe FC's level

Under 4.5 GoalsIN CODES

1.18

MOR 6 of 7 (86%) · HER 8 of 9 (89%)92.8%

Morecambe FC: under 4.5 goals in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Hereford FC: under 4.5 goals in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 87% · Morecambe FC: only games against sides at Hereford FC's level · Hereford FC: only games against sides at Morecambe FC's level

Under 3.5 GoalsLEANIN CODES

1.49

MOR 5 of 7 (71%) · HER 8 of 9 (89%)73.2%

Morecambe FC: under 3.5 goals in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Hereford FC: under 3.5 goals in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 80% · Morecambe FC: only games against sides at Hereford FC's level · Hereford FC: only games against sides at Morecambe FC's level

Over 1.5 GoalsMAINHELD · the odds board 84%

1.19

MOR 6 of 7 (86%) · HER 7 of 9 (78%)55.7%

Morecambe FC: over 1.5 goals in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Hereford FC: over 1.5 goals in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 82% · Morecambe FC: only games against sides at Hereford FC's level · Hereford FC: only games against sides at Morecambe FC's level

MORECAMBE FC GOALS

Morecambe FC Under 2.5 goalsIN CODES

1.22

MOR 5 of 7 (71%) · HER 8 of 9 (89%)81.3%

Morecambe FC Over 0.5 goalsHELD · the odds board 84%

1.19

MOR 7 of 7 (100%) · HER 7 of 9 (78%)61%

Morecambe FC scored in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Hereford FC conceded in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 89% · Morecambe FC: only games against sides at Hereford FC's level · Hereford FC: only games against sides at Morecambe FC's level

HEREFORD FC GOALS

Hereford FC Under 2.5 goalsSAFERIN CODES

1.15

HER 7 of 9 (78%) · MOR 6 of 7 (86%)91%

Hereford FC scored under 2.5 in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Morecambe FC conceded under 2.5 in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 82% · Hereford FC: only games against sides at Morecambe FC's level · Morecambe FC: only games against sides at Hereford FC's level

HALVES

1st Half Under 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

1.13

MOR 6 of 7 (86%) · HER 8 of 9 (89%)92.2%

Morecambe FC: the bet landed in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Hereford FC: the bet landed in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 87% · on half-time scores · Morecambe FC: only games against sides at Hereford FC's level · Hereford FC: only games against sides at Morecambe FC's level

Excluded Number of Goals - First Half: 3+PAGE ONLY

1.14

MOR 6 of 7 (86%) · HER 8 of 9 (89%)92.2%

Both Halves Over 1.5: NoPAGE ONLY

1.19

MOR 6 of 7 (86%) · HER 8 of 9 (89%)85.5%

1st Half - GG/NG: NoPAGE ONLY

1.25

MOR 6 of 7 (86%) · HER 9 of 9 (100%)84.3%

Morecambe FC: the bet landed in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Hereford FC: the bet landed in 9 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 93% · on half-time scores · Morecambe FC: only games against sides at Hereford FC's level · Hereford FC: only games against sides at Morecambe FC's level

2nd Half Hereford FC to Win to Nil: NoPAGE ONLY

1.21

MOR 7 of 7 (100%) · HER 7 of 9 (78%)72.9%

Morecambe FC: the bet landed in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Hereford FC: the bet landed in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 89% · on half-time scores · Morecambe FC: only games against sides at Hereford FC's level · Hereford FC: only games against sides at Morecambe FC's level

1st Half Under 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

1.53

MOR 4 of 7 (57%) · HER 7 of 9 (78%)72.2%

Morecambe FC: the bet landed in 4 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Hereford FC: the bet landed in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 67% · on half-time scores · Morecambe FC: only games against sides at Hereford FC's level · Hereford FC: only games against sides at Morecambe FC's level

1st Half Over 0.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY

1.29

MOR 5 of 7 (71%) · HER 6 of 9 (67%)66.5%

Morecambe FC: the bet landed in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Hereford FC: the bet landed in 6 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 69% · on half-time scores · Morecambe FC: only games against sides at Hereford FC's level · Hereford FC: only games against sides at Morecambe FC's level

Both Halves Under 1.5: NoLEANHELD · the odds board 74%

1.35

MOR 6 of 7 (86%) · HER 7 of 9 (78%)46%

Morecambe FC: the bet landed in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Hereford FC: the bet landed in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 82% · on half-time scores · Morecambe FC: only games against sides at Hereford FC's level · Hereford FC: only games against sides at Morecambe FC's level

OTHER

GG/NG 2+: NoFULL COVERIN CODES

1.19

MOR 6 of 7 (86%) · HER 9 of 9 (100%)94.9%

Morecambe FC: the bet landed in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Hereford FC: the bet landed in 9 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 93% · Morecambe FC: only games against sides at Hereford FC's level · Hereford FC: only games against sides at Morecambe FC's level

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 2–1 9.3%

Morecambe FC goals →

Hereford FC goals ↓

0-07%

1-010%

2-08%

3-04%

4-02%

5-00.5%

0-17%

1-113%

2-19%

3-15%

4-12%

5-10.6%

0-24%

1-27%

2-25%

3-23%

4-21%

5-20.3%

0-32%

1-33%

2-32%

3-31%

4-30.4%

5-30.1%

0-40.5%

1-40.8%

2-40.6%

3-40.3%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.1%

1-50.2%

2-50.1%

3-50.1%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).

FORM · LAST 10

MORECAMBE FCLWWWLLWDWW1.90 PPG

HEREFORD FCWLLWLDLWWW1.60 PPG

THE NUMBERS

MORECAMBE FC HOMExHEREFORD FC AWAY

1.53SCORED A GAME1.731.20CONCEDED A GAME0.8050%CLEAN SHEETS20%4.64CORNERS A GAME6.142.36CARDS A GAME2.14

THE BANK

THE BANKER MENU

OVER 1.5 CARDS

–

718 OF 767

PRICE NOT KEPT

The Bank expects 4.5+ cards.

Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.

THE QUALITY READ

1.53POINTS A GAME1.93+0.33GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.93+0.6SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST+1.41.8LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.215LEAGUE GAMES15

No quality side: neither club is ahead on more of these.

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

72%

NO · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

57%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

96%

VERY GOOD · 85/90

MORECAMBE FC OR DRAW

57%

NO · 80/85

HEREFORD FC OR DRAW

60%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (15 and 15 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

MORECAMBE FCxHEREFORD FC

7GAMES71.86SCORED A GAME1.860.43CONCEDED A GAME0.712.3GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.671%OVER 1.5 GOALS86%43%OVER 2.5 GOALS71%29%BOTH SCORE57%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

TRENDS

Morecambe FC have scored in 100% of their games.

Hereford FC have scored in 70% of their games.

Morecambe FC kept a clean sheet in 50% of their games.

Hereford FC kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards