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Middlesbrough U21 vs Derby County U21

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THE READ

Match details. U21 Premier League 2, Regular Season. Kick-off is Mon 9 Nov, 20:00 Lagos time. It is played at Heritage Park, Bishop Auckland.

What's at stake. Middlesbrough U21 are 30th on 2 points after 6 games, 1 point behind Birmingham City U21, 1 point clear of West Bromwich Albion U21. A win would take them above Birmingham City U21. Derby County U21 are 20th on 7 points after 6 games, 1 point behind Aston Villa U21, level on points with Arsenal U21. A win would take them above Aston Villa U21.

Form. Middlesbrough U21 have won none, drawn two and lost four of their last six league games, 0.3 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: L L D D L. Derby County U21 have won two, drawn one and lost three of their last six league games, 1.2 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: L W L L D.

The numbers. Middlesbrough U21 score 1.5 and concede 2.3 a game over their last six, with no clean sheets. Derby County U21 score 2.7 and concede 2.7 a game over their last six, with one clean sheet.

Head to head. In the last four meetings Middlesbrough U21 have won three, drawn none and lost one. Two of the four went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in two. The last time they met, on 20 Mar 2026, it finished Middlesbrough U21 0-1 Derby County U21.

The case against. Middlesbrough U21's record still gives them 32% to win.

The read. Derby County U21 to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make Derby County U21 the likelier winners; Derby County U21 are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Derby County U21. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 86%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: Middlesbrough U21 1-2 Derby County U21 (7% chance).

The agreed story. No side to back (Derby County U21 the favourite), an open game.

Cup and European games. A domestic cup: sides rotate, and the two can come from different divisions. Middlesbrough U21 in their last cup games: lost 1-7 at Boreham Wood FC, won 3-1 at Tamworth FC. Derby County U21 in their last cup games: drew 2-2 at Wealdstone FC, lost 0-1 at Hull City U21, drew 2-2 at Scunthorpe United. Too few cup games to judge the side from.

So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.

PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
Middlesbrough U21 to Win to Nil: NoIN CODES
1.15
MID 6 of 6 (100%) · DER 6 of 6 (100%)96.4%
Middlesbrough U21: the bet landed in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Derby County U21: the bet landed in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · H2H 3 of 4 · Middlesbrough U21: only games against sides at Derby County U21's level · Derby County U21: only games against sides at Middlesbrough U21's level
Draw or Over 2.5 GoalsIN CODES
1.16
MID 5 of 6 (83%) · DER 6 of 6 (100%)86.7%
Middlesbrough U21: the bet landed in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Derby County U21: the bet landed in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 92% · H2H 2 of 4 · Middlesbrough U21: only games against sides at Derby County U21's level · Derby County U21: only games against sides at Middlesbrough U21's level
Draw or GG: YesIN CODES
1.30
MID 5 of 6 (83%) · DER 5 of 6 (83%)79.6%
Middlesbrough U21: the bet landed in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Derby County U21: the bet landed in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 83% · H2H 2 of 4 · Middlesbrough U21: only games against sides at Derby County U21's level · Derby County U21: only games against sides at Middlesbrough U21's level
Derby County U21 or Over 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
1.22
DER 6 of 6 (100%) · MID 6 of 6 (100%)78.4%
Derby County U21: the bet landed in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Middlesbrough U21: the bet landed in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · H2H 3 of 4 · Derby County U21: only games against sides at Middlesbrough U21's level · Middlesbrough U21: only games against sides at Derby County U21's level
Derby County U21 win or both teams scoreIN CODES
1.19
DER 6 of 6 (100%) · MID 6 of 6 (100%)78.4%
Derby County U21: the bet landed in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Middlesbrough U21: the bet landed in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · H2H 3 of 4 · Derby County U21: only games against sides at Middlesbrough U21's level · Middlesbrough U21: only games against sides at Derby County U21's level
Middlesbrough U21 or Over 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
1.18
MID 5 of 6 (83%) · DER 6 of 6 (100%)71.3%
Middlesbrough U21: the bet landed in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Derby County U21: the bet landed in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 92% · H2H 3 of 4 · Middlesbrough U21: only games against sides at Derby County U21's level · Derby County U21: only games against sides at Middlesbrough U21's level
Middlesbrough U21 or Both Teams ScoreHELD · the odds board 91%
1.10
MID 5 of 6 (83%) · DER 5 of 6 (83%)64.1%
Middlesbrough U21: the bet landed in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Derby County U21: the bet landed in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 83% · H2H 3 of 4 · Middlesbrough U21: only games against sides at Derby County U21's level · Derby County U21: only games against sides at Middlesbrough U21's level
Double Chance: Middlesbrough U21 or Derby County U21HELD · the odds board 82%
1.22
MID 4 of 6 (67%) · DER 5 of 6 (83%)60.6%
Middlesbrough U21: the bet landed in 4 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Derby County U21: the bet landed in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75% · H2H 4 of 4 · Middlesbrough U21: only games against sides at Derby County U21's level · Derby County U21: only games against sides at Middlesbrough U21's level
Middlesbrough U21 or Draw & Over 1.5LEANHELD · the odds board 70%
1.43
MID 2 of 6 (33%) · DER 4 of 6 (67%)32%
Middlesbrough U21: the bet landed in 2 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Derby County U21: the bet landed in 4 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 50% · H2H 2 of 4 · Middlesbrough U21: only games against sides at Derby County U21's level · Derby County U21: only games against sides at Middlesbrough U21's level
GOALS
Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
MID 6 of 6 (100%) · DER 6 of 6 (100%)97%
Middlesbrough U21: over 0.5 goals in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Derby County U21: over 0.5 goals in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · H2H 4 of 4 · Middlesbrough U21: only games against sides at Derby County U21's level · Derby County U21: only games against sides at Middlesbrough U21's level
Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
1.10
MID 5 of 6 (83%) · DER 6 of 6 (100%)86.7%
Middlesbrough U21: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Derby County U21: over 1.5 goals in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 92% · H2H 2 of 4 · Middlesbrough U21: only games against sides at Derby County U21's level · Derby County U21: only games against sides at Middlesbrough U21's level
Over 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
1.35
MID 5 of 6 (83%) · DER 6 of 6 (100%)86.7%
Middlesbrough U21: over 2.5 goals in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Derby County U21: over 2.5 goals in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 92% · H2H 2 of 4 · Middlesbrough U21: only games against sides at Derby County U21's level · Derby County U21: only games against sides at Middlesbrough U21's level
Over 3.5 GoalsLEANIN CODES
1.87
MID 3 of 6 (50%) · DER 6 of 6 (100%)53.4%
Middlesbrough U21: over 3.5 goals in 3 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Derby County U21: over 3.5 goals in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75% · H2H 2 of 4 · Middlesbrough U21: only games against sides at Derby County U21's level · Derby County U21: only games against sides at Middlesbrough U21's level
BOTH TEAMS SCORE
Both Teams to Score - YesPAGE ONLY
1.34
MID 5 of 6 (83%) · DER 5 of 6 (83%)79.6%
Middlesbrough U21: both scored in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Derby County U21: both scored in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 83% · H2H 2 of 4 · Middlesbrough U21: only games against sides at Derby County U21's level · Derby County U21: only games against sides at Middlesbrough U21's level
MIDDLESBROUGH U21 GOALS
Middlesbrough U21 Over 0.5 GoalsIN CODES
1.10
MID 5 of 6 (83%) · DER 5 of 6 (83%)82.1%
Middlesbrough U21 scored in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Derby County U21 conceded in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 83% · H2H 3 of 4 · Middlesbrough U21: only games against sides at Derby County U21's level · Derby County U21: only games against sides at Middlesbrough U21's level
DERBY COUNTY U21 GOALS
Derby County U21 Over 0.5 GoalsIN CODES
1.19
DER 6 of 6 (100%) · MID 6 of 6 (100%)96.4%
Derby County U21 scored in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Middlesbrough U21 conceded in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · H2H 3 of 4 · Derby County U21: only games against sides at Middlesbrough U21's level · Middlesbrough U21: only games against sides at Derby County U21's level
HALVES
1st Half Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
MID 6 of 6 (100%) · DER 6 of 6 (100%)89.5%
Middlesbrough U21: the bet landed in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Derby County U21: the bet landed in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · H2H 2 of 4 · on half-time scores · Middlesbrough U21: only games against sides at Derby County U21's level · Derby County U21: only games against sides at Middlesbrough U21's level
2nd Half Middlesbrough U21 to Win to Nil: NoPAGE ONLY
1.30
MID 6 of 6 (100%) · DER 4 of 6 (67%)85.4%
Middlesbrough U21: the bet landed in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Derby County U21: the bet landed in 4 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 83% · H2H 1 of 4 · on half-time scores · Middlesbrough U21: only games against sides at Derby County U21's level · Derby County U21: only games against sides at Middlesbrough U21's level
1st Half Derby County U21 to Win to Nil: NoPAGE ONLY
1.19
MID 4 of 6 (67%) · DER 4 of 6 (67%)79.4%
Middlesbrough U21: the bet landed in 4 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Derby County U21: the bet landed in 4 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 67% · H2H 4 of 4 · on half-time scores · Middlesbrough U21: only games against sides at Derby County U21's level · Derby County U21: only games against sides at Middlesbrough U21's level
1st Half Middlesbrough U21 to Win to Nil: NoPAGE ONLY
1.33
MID 5 of 6 (83%) · DER 4 of 6 (67%)76.7%
Middlesbrough U21: the bet landed in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Derby County U21: the bet landed in 4 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75% · H2H 4 of 4 · on half-time scores · Middlesbrough U21: only games against sides at Derby County U21's level · Derby County U21: only games against sides at Middlesbrough U21's level
OTHER
Over/Under & GG/NG: Over 2.5 & YesIN CODES
1.46
MID 5 of 6 (83%) · DER 5 of 6 (83%)76.4%
Middlesbrough U21: the bet landed in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Derby County U21: the bet landed in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 83% · H2H 2 of 4 · Middlesbrough U21: only games against sides at Derby County U21's level · Derby County U21: only games against sides at Middlesbrough U21's level
GG/NG 2+: NoLEANHELD · the odds board 75%
1.33
MID 4 of 6 (67%) · DER 4 of 6 (67%)53.4%
Middlesbrough U21: the bet landed in 4 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Derby County U21: the bet landed in 4 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 67% · H2H 4 of 4 · Middlesbrough U21: only games against sides at Derby County U21's level · Derby County U21: only games against sides at Middlesbrough U21's level
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 1–2 6.9%
Middlesbrough U21 goals →
Derby County U21 goals ↓
0-01%
1-02%
2-02%
3-01%
4-00.7%
5-00.3%
0-12%
1-16%
2-16%
3-14%
4-12%
5-10.7%
0-23%
1-27%
2-27%
3-25%
4-22%
5-20.9%
0-33%
1-36%
2-36%
3-34%
4-32%
5-30.8%
0-42%
1-44%
2-44%
3-42%
4-41%
5-40.5%
0-50.9%
1-52%
2-52%
3-51%
4-50.6%
5-50.2%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).

FORM · LAST 6
MIDDLESBROUGH U21LLDDLL0.33 PPG
DERBY COUNTY U21WDLLWL1.17 PPG
THE NUMBERS
MIDDLESBROUGH U21 HOMExDERBY COUNTY U21 AWAY
1.50SCORED A GAME2.672.33CONCEDED A GAME2.670%CLEAN SHEETS17%17%FAILED TO SCORE0%
HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 4
MIDDLESBROUGH U21 3 · 75%DRAW 0DERBY COUNTY U21 1 · 25%
2 of 4BOTH TEAMS SCORED
2 of 4OVER 1.5 GOALS
2 of 4OVER 2.5 GOALS
2 of 4OVER 3.5 GOALS
2022-08-12Middlesbrough U21 3 – 1 Derby County U21
2023-03-24Middlesbrough U21 5 – 1 Derby County U21
2023-11-05Middlesbrough U21 1 – 0 Derby County U21
2026-03-20Middlesbrough U21 0 – 1 Derby County U21
TRENDS
Middlesbrough U21 failed to score in 17% of their games.
Derby County U21 failed to score in 0% of their games.
BUILT FROM
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