ASAPO

14:00Sun 8 Nov

EGA

Apollon Smyrnis vs Egaleo AO

CLASS D

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THE READ

Match details. Gamma Ethniki, Group 8 - 7. Kick-off is Sun 8 Nov, 14:00 Lagos time. It is played at Georgios Kamaras Stadium, Athens.

What's at stake. Apollon Smyrnis are 3rd on 15 points after 6 games, 1 point behind Vyrona, 1 point clear of Afantou. A win would take them above Vyrona. Egaleo AO are 1st on 16 points after 6 games, level on points with Vyrona.

Form. Apollon Smyrnis have won seven, drawn one and lost two of their last ten, 2.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W L W. Egaleo AO have won five, drawn one and lost none of their last six league games, 2.7 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: D W W W W.

The numbers. Apollon Smyrnis score 1.8 and concede 0.6 a game in their last five at home, with three clean sheets. Apollon Smyrnis average 11.8 shots (4.8 on target), 4.2 corners and 2.5 cards a game. Egaleo AO score two and concede 0.5 a game over their last six, with four clean sheets. Egaleo AO average 4.5 corners and 1.0 cards a game.

Head to head. In the last two meetings Apollon Smyrnis have won none, drawn two and lost none. None of the two went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in none. The last time they met, on 12 May 2023, it finished Apollon Smyrnis 0-0 Egaleo AO.

The case against. Apollon Smyrnis's record still gives them 42% to win.

The read. Egaleo AO to win. Egaleo AO are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Egaleo AO.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: Apollon Smyrnis 0-1 Egaleo AO (8% chance).

The agreed story. Egaleo AO or the draw, goals in between.

So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.

PICKSONE LIST

RESULT

Apollon Smyrnis (2:0 handicap)PAGE ONLY

no price yet

APO 6 of 6 (100%) · EGA 4 of 6 (67%)83.3%

Apollon Smyrnis: the bet landed in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Egaleo AO: the bet landed in 4 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 83% · Apollon Smyrnis: only games against sides at Egaleo AO's level

Egaleo AO or Under 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY

no price yet

EGA 5 of 6 (83%) · APO 3 of 6 (50%)67.7%

Egaleo AO: the bet landed in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Apollon Smyrnis: the bet landed in 3 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 67% · Apollon Smyrnis: only games against sides at Egaleo AO's level

GOALS

Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

APO 6 of 6 (100%) · EGA 6 of 6 (100%)92.2%

Apollon Smyrnis: over 0.5 goals in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Egaleo AO: over 0.5 goals in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · Apollon Smyrnis: only games against sides at Egaleo AO's level

Under 4.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

APO 4 of 6 (67%) · EGA 5 of 6 (83%)87.2%

Apollon Smyrnis: under 4.5 goals in 4 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Egaleo AO: under 4.5 goals in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75% · Apollon Smyrnis: only games against sides at Egaleo AO's level

Under 3.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

APO 4 of 6 (67%) · EGA 4 of 6 (67%)72.7%

Apollon Smyrnis: under 3.5 goals in 4 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Egaleo AO: under 3.5 goals in 4 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 67% · Apollon Smyrnis: only games against sides at Egaleo AO's level

Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

APO 4 of 6 (67%) · EGA 3 of 6 (50%)56.7%

Apollon Smyrnis: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Egaleo AO: over 1.5 goals in 3 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 58% · Apollon Smyrnis: only games against sides at Egaleo AO's level

EGALEO AO GOALS

Egaleo AO Over 0.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY

no price yet

EGA 6 of 6 (100%) · APO 4 of 6 (67%)68.8%

Egaleo AO scored in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Apollon Smyrnis conceded in 4 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 83% · Apollon Smyrnis: only games against sides at Egaleo AO's level

Left off the list: Egaleo AO or Over 2.5 Goals (the numbers (62%) and the records (83%) are 22 points apart, and nothing settles it)

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 0–1 7.6%

Apollon Smyrnis goals →

Egaleo AO goals ↓

0-08%

1-010%

2-08%

3-04%

4-01%

5-00.4%

0-18%

1-113%

2-19%

3-14%

4-12%

5-10.5%

0-25%

1-27%

2-25%

3-23%

4-21.0%

5-20.3%

0-32%

1-33%

2-32%

3-31%

4-30.4%

5-30.1%

0-40.5%

1-40.8%

2-40.6%

3-40.3%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.1%

1-50.2%

2-50.1%

3-50.1%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call).

FORM · LAST 10

APOLLON SMYRNISLWWDWWLWWW2.20 PPG

EGALEO AOWWWWWD2.67 PPG

THE NUMBERS

APOLLON SMYRNIS HOMExEGALEO AO AWAY

1.60SCORED A GAME2.000.80CONCEDED A GAME0.5050%CLEAN SHEETS67%17%FAILED TO SCORE0%4.25CORNERS A GAME4.502.50CARDS A GAME1.00

HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 2

APOLLON SMYRNIS 0 · 0%DRAW 2EGALEO AO 0 · 0%

2023-01-08Apollon Smyrnis 0 – 0 Egaleo AO

2023-05-12Apollon Smyrnis 0 – 0 Egaleo AO

TRENDS

Apollon Smyrnis have scored in 70% of their games.

Egaleo AO have scored in 100% of their games.

Apollon Smyrnis kept a clean sheet in 50% of their games.

Egaleo AO kept a clean sheet in 67% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetshead to headleague tablecornerscards