SPAIN - SEGUNDA FEDERACION
17:30Sun 8 Nov
DEP
DA
Sestao River Club vs Deportivo Alaves B
CLASS E
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Match details. Segunda Federacion. Kick-off is Sun 8 Nov, 17:30 Lagos time.
Form. Sestao River Club have won seven, drawn two and lost one of their last ten, 2.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D W W W. Deportivo Alaves B have won six, drawn two and lost two of their last ten, 2.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D W D W.
The numbers. Sestao River Club score two and concede 0.7 a game in their last six at home, with three clean sheets. Sestao River Club average 12.7 shots (4.1 on target), 7.0 corners and 2.6 cards a game. Deportivo Alaves B score 2.3 and concede 1.3 a game over their last ten, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. Deportivo Alaves B average 12.5 shots (4.7 on target), 2.7 corners and 2.3 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 37%.
The case against. Deportivo Alaves B's record still gives them 37% to win.
The read. Sestao River Club to win. Sestao River Club are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Sestao River Club.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: Sestao River Club 2-1 Deportivo Alaves B (9% chance).
The agreed story. Sestao River Club or the draw, goals in between.
The league run. Sestao River Club: unbeaten in their last five league games (W W W D W). Deportivo Alaves B: unbeaten in their last five league games (W D W D W).
So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.
PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
Deportivo Alaves B (0:2 handicap)PAGE ONLY
no price yet
DEP 9 of 10 (90%) · SES 5 of 7 (71%)80.7%
Deportivo Alaves B: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Sestao River Club: the bet landed in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 81% · Deportivo Alaves B: only games against sides at Sestao River Club's level · Sestao River Club: only games against sides at Deportivo Alaves B's level
Sestao River Club or Draw (1UP)PAGE ONLY
no price yet
SES 5 of 5 (100%) · DEP 6 of 7 (86%)79.6%
Sestao River Club scored first 3 of last 5, led or was unbeaten in 5 · led or was unbeaten in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Deportivo Alaves B trailed or failed to win in 3 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Sestao River Club: only games against sides at Deportivo Alaves B's level · Deportivo Alaves B: only games against sides at Sestao River Club's level
Sestao River Club or Both Teams ScorePAGE ONLY
no price yet
SES 5 of 7 (71%) · DEP 9 of 10 (90%)78.2%
Sestao River Club: the bet landed in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Deportivo Alaves B: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 81% · Sestao River Club: only games against sides at Deportivo Alaves B's level · Deportivo Alaves B: only games against sides at Sestao River Club's level
Sestao River Club or Under 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
SES 7 of 7 (100%) · DEP 4 of 10 (40%)65.4%
Sestao River Club: the bet landed in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Deportivo Alaves B: the bet landed in 4 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 70% · Sestao River Club: only games against sides at Deportivo Alaves B's level · Deportivo Alaves B: only games against sides at Sestao River Club's level
Double Chance: Sestao River Club or Deportivo Alaves BIN CODES
1.31
SES 6 of 7 (86%) · DEP 8 of 10 (80%)64.9%
Sestao River Club: the bet landed in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Deportivo Alaves B: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 83% · Sestao River Club: only games against sides at Deportivo Alaves B's level · Deportivo Alaves B: only games against sides at Sestao River Club's level
Sestao River Club or Over 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
SES 5 of 7 (71%) · DEP 8 of 10 (80%)53.2%
Sestao River Club: the bet landed in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Deportivo Alaves B: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 76% · Sestao River Club: only games against sides at Deportivo Alaves B's level · Deportivo Alaves B: only games against sides at Sestao River Club's level
Sestao River Club 1UPLEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
SES 4 of 5 (80%) · DEP 5 of 7 (71%)43.6%
Sestao River Club scored first 3 of last 5, led in 4 · led in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Deportivo Alaves B trailed in 2 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Sestao River Club: only games against sides at Deportivo Alaves B's level · Deportivo Alaves B: only games against sides at Sestao River Club's level
GOALS
Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
SES 6 of 7 (86%) · DEP 10 of 10 (100%)92.9%
Sestao River Club: over 0.5 goals in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Deportivo Alaves B: over 0.5 goals in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 93% · Sestao River Club: only games against sides at Deportivo Alaves B's level · Deportivo Alaves B: only games against sides at Sestao River Club's level
Under 4.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
SES 7 of 7 (100%) · DEP 7 of 10 (70%)87.8%
Sestao River Club: under 4.5 goals in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Deportivo Alaves B: under 4.5 goals in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 85% · Sestao River Club: only games against sides at Deportivo Alaves B's level · Deportivo Alaves B: only games against sides at Sestao River Club's level
Under 3.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
SES 7 of 7 (100%) · DEP 6 of 10 (60%)80%
Sestao River Club: under 3.5 goals in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Deportivo Alaves B: under 3.5 goals in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 80% · Sestao River Club: only games against sides at Deportivo Alaves B's level · Deportivo Alaves B: only games against sides at Sestao River Club's level
Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
SES 4 of 7 (57%) · DEP 9 of 10 (90%)62%
Sestao River Club: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Deportivo Alaves B: over 1.5 goals in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 74% · Sestao River Club: only games against sides at Deportivo Alaves B's level · Deportivo Alaves B: only games against sides at Sestao River Club's level
SESTAO RIVER CLUB GOALS
Sestao River Club Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
SES 5 of 7 (71%) · DEP 9 of 10 (90%)80.7%
Sestao River Club scored in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Deportivo Alaves B conceded in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 81% · Sestao River Club: only games against sides at Deportivo Alaves B's level · Deportivo Alaves B: only games against sides at Sestao River Club's level
HALVES
1st Half Under 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
SES 7 of 7 (100%) · DEP 6 of 10 (60%)86.3%
Sestao River Club: the bet landed in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Deportivo Alaves B: the bet landed in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 80% · on half-time scores · Sestao River Club: only games against sides at Deportivo Alaves B's level · Deportivo Alaves B: only games against sides at Sestao River Club's level
1st Half Deportivo Alaves B to Win to Nil: NoPAGE ONLY
1.17
SES 6 of 7 (86%) · DEP 9 of 10 (90%)74.1%
Sestao River Club: the bet landed in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Deportivo Alaves B: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 88% · on half-time scores · Sestao River Club: only games against sides at Deportivo Alaves B's level · Deportivo Alaves B: only games against sides at Sestao River Club's level
1st Half Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
SES 3 of 7 (43%) · DEP 7 of 10 (70%)72.1%
Sestao River Club: the bet landed in 3 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Deportivo Alaves B: the bet landed in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 56% · on half-time scores · Sestao River Club: only games against sides at Deportivo Alaves B's level · Deportivo Alaves B: only games against sides at Sestao River Club's level
1st Half Under 1.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
SES 7 of 7 (100%) · DEP 5 of 10 (50%)63.6%
Sestao River Club: the bet landed in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Deportivo Alaves B: the bet landed in 5 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75% · on half-time scores · Sestao River Club: only games against sides at Deportivo Alaves B's level · Deportivo Alaves B: only games against sides at Sestao River Club's level
CORNERS
Over 7.5 CornersPAGE ONLY
no price yet
SES 6 of 7 (86%) · DEP 4 of 6 (67%)76.2%
Sestao River Club's games: over 7.5 corners in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Deportivo Alaves B's games: over 7.5 corners in 4 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 76% · Sestao River Club: only games against sides at Deportivo Alaves B's level · Deportivo Alaves B: only games against sides at Sestao River Club's level
Left off the list: Over 3.5 Cards (the numbers (72%) and the records (93%) are 20 points apart, and nothing settles it); Deportivo Alaves B or Under 2.5 Goals (the numbers (64%) and the records (88%) are 24 points apart, and nothing settles it); Draw or Under 2.5 Goals (the numbers (49%) and the records (68%) are on opposite sides, and nothing settles it)
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 2–1 8.7%
Sestao River Club goals →
Deportivo Alaves B goals ↓
0-05%
1-07%
2-06%
3-03%
4-01%
5-00.4%
0-16%
1-112%
2-19%
3-15%
4-12%
5-10.6%
0-25%
1-28%
2-26%
3-23%
4-21%
5-20.4%
0-32%
1-34%
2-33%
3-32%
4-30.7%
5-30.2%
0-40.9%
1-41%
2-41%
3-40.6%
4-40.2%
5-40.1%
0-50.3%
1-50.4%
2-50.3%
3-50.2%
4-50.1%
5-50.0%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call).
FORM · LAST 10
SESTAO RIVER CLUBLWWWDWWWDW2.30 PPG
DEPORTIVO ALAVES BLLWWWWDWDW2.00 PPG
THE NUMBERS
SESTAO RIVER CLUB HOMExDEPORTIVO ALAVES B AWAY
1.70SCORED A GAME2.300.70CONCEDED A GAME1.3050%CLEAN SHEETS10%7.00CORNERS A GAME2.672.60CARDS A GAME2.33
THE BANK
THE BANKER MENU
OVER 1.5 CARDS
–
543 OF 573
PRICE NOT KEPT
Both sides' last 5 games point to 5.2+ cards.
Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.
THE QUALITY READ
2.44POINTS A GAME2.22+0.89GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+1.33+5.9SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST-0.32.6LAST 5: POINTS A GAME2.29LEAGUE GAMES9
Sestao River Club: the quality side - more shots than it allows.
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
86%
VERY GOOD · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
32%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
90%
VERY GOOD · 85/90
SESTAO RIVER CLUB OR DRAW
58%
NO · 80/85
DEPORTIVO ALAVES B OR DRAW
66%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (9 and 9 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
SESTAO RIVER CLUBxDEPORTIVO ALAVES B
5GAMES51.20SCORED A GAME2.600.20CONCEDED A GAME1.201.4GOALS IN THEIR GAMES3.840%OVER 1.5 GOALS100%20%OVER 2.5 GOALS60%20%BOTH SCORE80%6.4CARDS IN THEIR GAMES5.413.0CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES8.2
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
TRENDS
Sestao River Club have scored in 80% of their games.
Deportivo Alaves B have scored in 80% of their games.
Sestao River Club kept a clean sheet in 50% of their games.
Deportivo Alaves B kept a clean sheet in 10% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards