THE READ
Match details. Tercera Federacion, Group 3. Kick-off is Sun 8 Nov, 17:00 Lagos time.
Form. CF Vimenor have won five, drawn two and lost two of their last nine league games, 1.9 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: D W W L L. Castro FC have won two, drawn two and lost six of their last ten league games, 0.8 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: L L W L L.
The numbers. CF Vimenor score 1.4 and concede 0.8 a game over their last nine, with three clean sheets and three games without a goal. CF Vimenor average 2.0 corners and 3.0 cards a game. Castro FC score one and concede 1.5 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets and five games without a goal. Castro FC average 7.6 shots (2.4 on target), 5.0 corners and 3.2 cards a game.
The case against. Castro FC's record still gives them 21% to win.
The read. CF Vimenor to win. A tight game. Their goals for and against make CF Vimenor the likelier winners; CF Vimenor are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour CF Vimenor. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 42%.
The bets. Best bet: CF Vimenor or Draw at 1.15, rated 79% (CF Vimenor unbeaten in 7 of 9; Castro FC failed to win 8 of 10). Full cover: CF Vimenor or Castro FC at 1.22. Whenever the best bet loses, this one wins. Predicted score: CF Vimenor 1-0 Castro FC (12% chance).
The agreed story. CF Vimenor or the draw, a tight game.
So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.
PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
CF Vimenor or Under 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CFV 9 of 9 (100%) · CAS 8 of 10 (80%)84.2%
CF Vimenor: the bet landed in 9 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Castro FC: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 90% · CF Vimenor: only games against sides at Castro FC's level · Castro FC: only games against sides at CF Vimenor's level
Double Chance: CF Vimenor or DrawMAININ CODES
1.15
CFV 7 of 9 (78%) · CAS 8 of 10 (80%)79.9%
CF Vimenor unbeaten in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Castro FC failed to win 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 79% · CF Vimenor: only games against sides at Castro FC's level · Castro FC: only games against sides at CF Vimenor's level
CF Vimenor (Draw No Bet)IN CODES
1.23
CFV 5 of 7 (71%) · CAS 6 of 8 (75%)74.2%
CF Vimenor won 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · Castro FC lost 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · both last 10: 73% · CF Vimenor: only games against sides at Castro FC's level · Castro FC: only games against sides at CF Vimenor's level · won 4, refunded 3, lost 1
Castro FC (0:2 handicap)LEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CAS 6 of 10 (60%) · CFV 7 of 9 (78%)68.9%
Castro FC: the bet landed in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · CF Vimenor: the bet landed in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 69% · Castro FC: only games against sides at CF Vimenor's level · CF Vimenor: only games against sides at Castro FC's level
Double Chance: CF Vimenor or Castro FCFULL COVERHELD · the odds board 82%
1.22
CFV 7 of 9 (78%) · CAS 8 of 10 (80%)60.9%
CF Vimenor: the bet landed in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Castro FC: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 79% · CF Vimenor: only games against sides at Castro FC's level · Castro FC: only games against sides at CF Vimenor's level
CF Vimenor or Both Teams ScoreLEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CFV 6 of 9 (67%) · CAS 7 of 10 (70%)50.3%
CF Vimenor: the bet landed in 6 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Castro FC: the bet landed in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 68% · CF Vimenor: only games against sides at Castro FC's level · Castro FC: only games against sides at CF Vimenor's level
CF Vimenor or Over 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CFV 5 of 9 (56%) · CAS 8 of 10 (80%)49.8%
CF Vimenor: the bet landed in 5 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Castro FC: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 68% · CF Vimenor: only games against sides at Castro FC's level · Castro FC: only games against sides at CF Vimenor's level
GOALS
no price yet
CFV 9 of 9 (100%) · CAS 9 of 10 (90%)96%
CF Vimenor: under 5.5 goals in 9 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Castro FC: under 5.5 goals in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 95% · CF Vimenor: only games against sides at Castro FC's level · Castro FC: only games against sides at CF Vimenor's level
no price yet
CFV 8 of 9 (89%) · CAS 9 of 10 (90%)90.4%
CF Vimenor: under 4.5 goals in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Castro FC: under 4.5 goals in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 89% · CF Vimenor: only games against sides at Castro FC's level · Castro FC: only games against sides at CF Vimenor's level
1.33
CFV 8 of 9 (89%) · CAS 8 of 10 (80%)85.4%
CF Vimenor: under 3.5 goals in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Castro FC: under 3.5 goals in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 84% · CF Vimenor: only games against sides at Castro FC's level · Castro FC: only games against sides at CF Vimenor's level
no price yet
CFV 8 of 9 (89%) · CAS 9 of 10 (90%)71.4%
CF Vimenor: over 0.5 goals in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Castro FC: over 0.5 goals in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 89% · CF Vimenor: only games against sides at Castro FC's level · Castro FC: only games against sides at CF Vimenor's level
Over 1.5 GoalsHELD · the odds board 80%
1.25
CFV 6 of 9 (67%) · CAS 8 of 10 (80%)55.3%
CF Vimenor: over 1.5 goals in 6 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Castro FC: over 1.5 goals in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 73% · CF Vimenor: only games against sides at Castro FC's level · Castro FC: only games against sides at CF Vimenor's level
CF VIMENOR GOALS
CF Vimenor Over 0.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CFV 6 of 9 (67%) · CAS 7 of 10 (70%)50.3%
CF Vimenor scored in 6 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Castro FC conceded in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 68% · CF Vimenor: only games against sides at Castro FC's level · Castro FC: only games against sides at CF Vimenor's level
OTHER
1.10
CFV 9 of 9 (100%) · CAS 8 of 10 (80%)91%
CF Vimenor: the bet landed in 9 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Castro FC: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 90% · CF Vimenor: only games against sides at Castro FC's level · Castro FC: only games against sides at CF Vimenor's level
Left off the list: CF Vimenor to Win (the numbers (48%) and the records (58%) are on opposite sides, and nothing settles it)
THE BANK
THE BANKER MENU
OVER 1.5 CARDS
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543 OF 573
PRICE NOT KEPT
Both sides' last 5 games point to 5.2+ cards.
Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.
TRENDS
CF Vimenor have scored in 70% of their games.
Castro FC have scored in 50% of their games.
CF Vimenor kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.
Castro FC kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.