SPAIN - SEGUNDA FEDERACION
17:00Sun 8 Nov
UCA
UM
Orihuela CF vs UCAM Murcia
CLASS E
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Match details. Segunda Federacion. Kick-off is Sun 8 Nov, 17:00 Lagos time.
Form. Orihuela CF have won three, drawn four and lost three of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D W L L. UCAM Murcia have won six, drawn none and lost four of their last ten, 1.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L W W W.
The numbers. Orihuela CF score 0.8 and concede two a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet. Orihuela CF average 10.0 shots (3.5 on target), 4.6 corners and 3.9 cards a game. UCAM Murcia score 2.2 and concede one a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet. UCAM Murcia average 10.8 shots (4.3 on target), 4.6 corners and 4.0 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 55%.
The case against. Orihuela CF's record still gives them 32% to win.
The read. UCAM Murcia to win. UCAM Murcia are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour UCAM Murcia.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: Orihuela CF 0-1 UCAM Murcia (10% chance).
The agreed story. UCAM Murcia or the draw, goals in between.
The league run. Orihuela CF: up and down in the league (D D W L L). UCAM Murcia: one defeat in their last five league games (W L W W W).
So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.
PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
UCAM Murcia or Draw (1UP)LEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
UCA 3 of 5 (60%) · ORI 5 of 9 (56%)69.1%
UCAM Murcia scored first 3 of last 5, led or was unbeaten in 3 · led or was unbeaten in 5 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Orihuela CF trailed or failed to win in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · UCAM Murcia: only games against sides at Orihuela CF's level · Orihuela CF: only games against sides at UCAM Murcia's level
UCAM Murcia or Under 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
UCA 4 of 5 (80%) · ORI 7 of 8 (88%)62.5%
UCAM Murcia: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · Orihuela CF: the bet landed in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 79% · UCAM Murcia: only games against sides at Orihuela CF's level · Orihuela CF: only games against sides at UCAM Murcia's level
Double Chance: Orihuela CF or UCAM MurciaHELD · the odds board 78%
1.28
ORI 5 of 8 (62%) · UCA 5 of 5 (100%)53.8%
Orihuela CF: the bet landed in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · UCAM Murcia: the bet landed in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 81% · Orihuela CF: only games against sides at UCAM Murcia's level · UCAM Murcia: only games against sides at Orihuela CF's level
UCAM Murcia (Draw No Bet)LEANPAGE ONLY
1.49
UCA 3 of 5 (60%) · ORI 3 of 5 (60%)52.7%
UCAM Murcia won 3 of 5 away (draws left out) · Orihuela CF lost 3 of 5 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · both last 10: 60% · UCAM Murcia: only games against sides at Orihuela CF's level · Orihuela CF: only games against sides at UCAM Murcia's level · won 5, refunded 2, lost 3
Draw or Over 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ORI 6 of 8 (75%) · UCA 3 of 5 (60%)49.5%
Orihuela CF: the bet landed in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · UCAM Murcia: the bet landed in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 68% · Orihuela CF: only games against sides at UCAM Murcia's level · UCAM Murcia: only games against sides at Orihuela CF's level
UCAM Murcia or Over 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
UCA 4 of 5 (80%) · ORI 4 of 8 (50%)48.7%
UCAM Murcia: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · Orihuela CF: the bet landed in 4 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 70% · UCAM Murcia: only games against sides at Orihuela CF's level · Orihuela CF: only games against sides at UCAM Murcia's level
UCAM Murcia 1UPLEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
UCA 3 of 5 (60%) · ORI 5 of 9 (56%)40.3%
UCAM Murcia scored first 3 of last 5, led in 3 · led in 5 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Orihuela CF trailed in 3 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · UCAM Murcia: only games against sides at Orihuela CF's level · Orihuela CF: only games against sides at UCAM Murcia's level
GOALS
Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ORI 7 of 8 (88%) · UCA 5 of 5 (100%)91.3%
Orihuela CF: over 0.5 goals in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · UCAM Murcia: over 0.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 94% · Orihuela CF: only games against sides at UCAM Murcia's level · UCAM Murcia: only games against sides at Orihuela CF's level
Under 4.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ORI 7 of 8 (88%) · UCA 3 of 5 (60%)79.2%
Orihuela CF: under 4.5 goals in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · UCAM Murcia: under 4.5 goals in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 74% · Orihuela CF: only games against sides at UCAM Murcia's level · UCAM Murcia: only games against sides at Orihuela CF's level
Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ORI 6 of 8 (75%) · UCA 3 of 5 (60%)57.9%
Orihuela CF: over 1.5 goals in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · UCAM Murcia: over 1.5 goals in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 72% · Orihuela CF: only games against sides at UCAM Murcia's level · UCAM Murcia: only games against sides at Orihuela CF's level
BOTH TEAMS SCORE
Both Teams to Score - YesLEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ORI 4 of 8 (50%) · UCA 3 of 5 (60%)34%
Orihuela CF: both scored in 4 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · UCAM Murcia: both scored in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 55% · Orihuela CF: only games against sides at UCAM Murcia's level · UCAM Murcia: only games against sides at Orihuela CF's level
ORIHUELA CF GOALS
Orihuela CF Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ORI 6 of 8 (75%) · UCA 4 of 5 (80%)53%
Orihuela CF scored in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · UCAM Murcia conceded in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 72% · Orihuela CF: only games against sides at UCAM Murcia's level · UCAM Murcia: only games against sides at Orihuela CF's level
UCAM MURCIA GOALS
UCAM Murcia Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
UCA 4 of 5 (80%) · ORI 5 of 8 (62%)72.4%
UCAM Murcia scored in 4 of 5 away · Orihuela CF conceded in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 76% · UCAM Murcia: only games against sides at Orihuela CF's level · Orihuela CF: only games against sides at UCAM Murcia's level
HALVES
2nd Half Orihuela CF to Win to Nil: NoPAGE ONLY
1.19
ORI 6 of 8 (75%) · UCA 5 of 5 (100%)91.7%
Orihuela CF: the bet landed in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · UCAM Murcia: the bet landed in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 82% · on half-time scores · Orihuela CF: only games against sides at UCAM Murcia's level · UCAM Murcia: only games against sides at Orihuela CF's level
1st Half Under 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ORI 8 of 8 (100%) · UCA 5 of 5 (100%)82.1%
Orihuela CF: the bet landed in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · UCAM Murcia: the bet landed in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 90% · on half-time scores · Orihuela CF: only games against sides at UCAM Murcia's level · UCAM Murcia: only games against sides at Orihuela CF's level
1st Half Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ORI 5 of 8 (62%) · UCA 5 of 5 (100%)76.5%
Orihuela CF: the bet landed in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · UCAM Murcia: the bet landed in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 71% · on half-time scores · Orihuela CF: only games against sides at UCAM Murcia's level · UCAM Murcia: only games against sides at Orihuela CF's level
CORNERS
Over 6.5 CornersPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ORI 5 of 7 (71%) · UCA 7 of 9 (78%)74.6%
Orihuela CF's games: over 6.5 corners in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · UCAM Murcia's games: over 6.5 corners in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75% · Orihuela CF: only games against sides at UCAM Murcia's level · UCAM Murcia: only games against sides at Orihuela CF's level
CARDS
Over 3.5 CardsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ORI 7 of 7 (100%) · UCA 9 of 9 (100%)97%
Orihuela CF's games: over 3.5 cards in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · UCAM Murcia's games: over 3.5 cards in 9 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · Orihuela CF: only games against sides at UCAM Murcia's level · UCAM Murcia: only games against sides at Orihuela CF's level
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 0–1 9.6%
Orihuela CF goals →
UCAM Murcia goals ↓
0-09%
1-09%
2-06%
3-03%
4-00.8%
5-00.2%
0-110%
1-114%
2-18%
3-13%
4-11%
5-10.2%
0-27%
1-28%
2-25%
3-22%
4-20.6%
5-20.2%
0-33%
1-34%
2-32%
3-30.9%
4-30.3%
5-30.1%
0-40.9%
1-41%
2-40.7%
3-40.3%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.2%
1-50.3%
2-50.2%
3-50.1%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call).
FORM · LAST 10
ORIHUELA CFWWDDLLLWDD1.30 PPG
UCAM MURCIALLWWLWWWLW1.80 PPG
THE NUMBERS
ORIHUELA CF HOMExUCAM MURCIA AWAY
1.20SCORED A GAME2.201.60CONCEDED A GAME1.2030%CLEAN SHEETS30%4.62CORNERS A GAME4.563.88CARDS A GAME4.00
THE BANK
THE BANKER MENU
OVER 1.5 CARDS
–
543 OF 573
PRICE NOT KEPT
Both sides' last 5 games point to 5.2+ cards.
Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.
THE QUALITY READ
1.33POINTS A GAME2.00-0.56GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+1.22+0.4SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST+3.21.0LAST 5: POINTS A GAME2.49LEAGUE GAMES9
UCAM Murcia: the quality side - more points a game, a better goal difference, better form (last 5).
UCAM MURCIA 0:2 HANDICAP
–
373 OF 433
PRICE NOT KEPT
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
79%
NO · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
65%
OKAY · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
70%
NO · 85/90
ORIHUELA CF OR DRAW
36%
NO · 80/85
UCAM MURCIA OR DRAW
74%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (9 and 9 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
ORIHUELA CFxUCAM MURCIA
5GAMES50.80SCORED A GAME3.001.60CONCEDED A GAME1.202.4GOALS IN THEIR GAMES4.280%OVER 1.5 GOALS80%40%OVER 2.5 GOALS60%40%BOTH SCORE60%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
TRENDS
Orihuela CF have scored in 80% of their games.
UCAM Murcia have scored in 90% of their games.
Orihuela CF kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.
UCAM Murcia kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards