PORTUGAL - CAMPEONATO DE PORTUGAL
16:00Sun 8 Nov
GDN
GN
AD Fazendense vs Gd Nazarenos
CLASS E
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Match details. Campeonato de Portugal. Kick-off is Sun 8 Nov, 16:00 Lagos time.
Form. AD Fazendense have won two, drawn one and lost seven of their last ten, 0.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L L L. Gd Nazarenos have won two, drawn two and lost six of their last ten, 0.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D W L L.
The numbers. AD Fazendense score 2.2 and concede 1.7 a game in their last six at home, with one clean sheet. AD Fazendense average 10.3 shots (4.2 on target), 4.1 corners and 2.1 cards a game. Gd Nazarenos score 0.6 and concede 1.6 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and six games without a goal. Gd Nazarenos average 7.4 shots (2.1 on target), 4.5 corners and 2.5 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 79%.
The case against. AD Fazendense's record still gives them 29% to win.
The read. Gd Nazarenos to win. Gd Nazarenos are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Gd Nazarenos.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: AD Fazendense 0-1 Gd Nazarenos (8% chance).
The agreed story. Gd Nazarenos or the draw, goals in between.
So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.
PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
Gd Nazarenos or Under 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
GDN 4 of 7 (57%) · ADF 6 of 7 (86%)72.1%
Gd Nazarenos: the bet landed in 4 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · AD Fazendense: the bet landed in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 71% · Gd Nazarenos: only games against sides at AD Fazendense's level · AD Fazendense: only games against sides at Gd Nazarenos's level
AD Fazendense (2:0 handicap)PAGE ONLY
no price yet
ADF 4 of 7 (57%) · GDN 6 of 7 (86%)71.4%
AD Fazendense: the bet landed in 4 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Gd Nazarenos: the bet landed in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 71% · AD Fazendense: only games against sides at Gd Nazarenos's level · Gd Nazarenos: only games against sides at AD Fazendense's level
Gd Nazarenos or Draw (1UP)LEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
GDN 3 of 5 (60%) · ADF 3 of 7 (43%)68.6%
Gd Nazarenos scored first 1 of last 5, led or was unbeaten in 3 · led or was unbeaten in 3 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · AD Fazendense trailed or failed to win in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Gd Nazarenos: only games against sides at AD Fazendense's level · AD Fazendense: only games against sides at Gd Nazarenos's level
Double Chance: Draw or Gd NazarenosLEANPAGE ONLY
1.42
GDN 3 of 7 (43%) · ADF 7 of 7 (100%)62.7%
Gd Nazarenos unbeaten in 3 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · AD Fazendense failed to win 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 71% · Gd Nazarenos: only games against sides at AD Fazendense's level · AD Fazendense: only games against sides at Gd Nazarenos's level
Gd Nazarenos or Over 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
GDN 4 of 7 (57%) · ADF 7 of 7 (100%)60.6%
Gd Nazarenos: the bet landed in 4 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · AD Fazendense: the bet landed in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 79% · Gd Nazarenos: only games against sides at AD Fazendense's level · AD Fazendense: only games against sides at Gd Nazarenos's level
Double Chance: AD Fazendense or Gd NazarenosHELD · the odds board 78%
1.29
ADF 6 of 7 (86%) · GDN 5 of 7 (71%)54.5%
AD Fazendense: the bet landed in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Gd Nazarenos: the bet landed in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 79% · AD Fazendense: only games against sides at Gd Nazarenos's level · Gd Nazarenos: only games against sides at AD Fazendense's level
Gd Nazarenos (Draw No Bet)LEANPAGE ONLY
1.79
GDN 1 of 5 (20%) · ADF 6 of 6 (100%)48.1%
Gd Nazarenos won 1 of 5 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · AD Fazendense lost 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · both last 10: 60% · Gd Nazarenos: only games against sides at AD Fazendense's level · AD Fazendense: only games against sides at Gd Nazarenos's level · won 4, refunded 1, lost 4
GOALS
Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ADF 7 of 7 (100%) · GDN 6 of 7 (86%)92.1%
AD Fazendense: over 0.5 goals in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Gd Nazarenos: over 0.5 goals in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 93% · AD Fazendense: only games against sides at Gd Nazarenos's level · Gd Nazarenos: only games against sides at AD Fazendense's level
Under 4.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ADF 4 of 7 (57%) · GDN 7 of 7 (100%)87.5%
AD Fazendense: under 4.5 goals in 4 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Gd Nazarenos: under 4.5 goals in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 79% · AD Fazendense: only games against sides at Gd Nazarenos's level · Gd Nazarenos: only games against sides at AD Fazendense's level
Over 1.5 GoalsHELD · the odds board 83%
1.21
ADF 7 of 7 (100%) · GDN 5 of 7 (71%)56.3%
AD Fazendense: over 1.5 goals in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Gd Nazarenos: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 86% · AD Fazendense: only games against sides at Gd Nazarenos's level · Gd Nazarenos: only games against sides at AD Fazendense's level
BOTH TEAMS SCORE
Both Teams to Score - YesLEANHELD · the odds board 65%
1.55
ADF 6 of 7 (86%) · GDN 3 of 7 (43%)35.9%
AD Fazendense: both scored in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Gd Nazarenos: both scored in 3 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 64% · AD Fazendense: only games against sides at Gd Nazarenos's level · Gd Nazarenos: only games against sides at AD Fazendense's level
AD FAZENDENSE GOALS
AD Fazendense Under 1.5 goalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.57
ADF 6 of 7 (86%) · GDN 4 of 7 (57%)61.7%
AD Fazendense scored under 1.5 in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Gd Nazarenos conceded under 1.5 in 4 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 71% · AD Fazendense: only games against sides at Gd Nazarenos's level · Gd Nazarenos: only games against sides at AD Fazendense's level
AD Fazendense Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ADF 6 of 7 (86%) · GDN 6 of 7 (86%)56.2%
AD Fazendense scored in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Gd Nazarenos conceded in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 86% · AD Fazendense: only games against sides at Gd Nazarenos's level · Gd Nazarenos: only games against sides at AD Fazendense's level
GD NAZARENOS GOALS
Gd Nazarenos Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
GDN 3 of 7 (43%) · ADF 7 of 7 (100%)71.8%
Gd Nazarenos scored in 3 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · AD Fazendense conceded in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 71% · Gd Nazarenos: only games against sides at AD Fazendense's level · AD Fazendense: only games against sides at Gd Nazarenos's level
CARDS
Over 2.5 CardsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ADF 5 of 7 (71%) · GDN 7 of 7 (100%)85.7%
AD Fazendense's games: over 2.5 cards in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Gd Nazarenos's games: over 2.5 cards in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 86% · AD Fazendense: only games against sides at Gd Nazarenos's level · Gd Nazarenos: only games against sides at AD Fazendense's level
OTHER
GG/NG 2+: NoIN CODES
1.17
ADF 6 of 7 (86%) · GDN 7 of 7 (100%)92.9%
AD Fazendense: the bet landed in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Gd Nazarenos: the bet landed in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 93% · AD Fazendense: only games against sides at Gd Nazarenos's level · Gd Nazarenos: only games against sides at AD Fazendense's level
Gd Nazarenos Clean Sheet: NoIN CODES
1.23
GDN 6 of 7 (86%) · ADF 6 of 7 (86%)67.7%
Gd Nazarenos: the bet landed in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · AD Fazendense: the bet landed in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 86% · Gd Nazarenos: only games against sides at AD Fazendense's level · AD Fazendense: only games against sides at Gd Nazarenos's level
Left off the list: AD Fazendense or Over 2.5 Goals (the numbers (64%) and the records (86%) are 21 points apart, and nothing settles it); Draw or Over 2.5 Goals (the numbers (70%) and the records (93%) are 23 points apart, and nothing settles it); Over 6.5 Corners (the numbers (45%) and the records (71%) are on opposite sides, and nothing settles it)
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 0–1 8.5%
AD Fazendense goals →
Gd Nazarenos goals ↓
0-08%
1-09%
2-07%
3-03%
4-01%
5-00.3%
0-18%
1-113%
2-18%
3-14%
4-11%
5-10.4%
0-26%
1-28%
2-25%
3-22%
4-20.8%
5-20.2%
0-32%
1-33%
2-32%
3-31%
4-30.3%
5-30.1%
0-40.8%
1-41%
2-40.7%
3-40.3%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.2%
1-50.3%
2-50.2%
3-50.1%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call).
FORM · LAST 10
AD FAZENDENSEDWLLWLLLLL0.70 PPG
GD NAZARENOSWLLLLLLWDD0.80 PPG
THE NUMBERS
AD FAZENDENSE HOMExGD NAZARENOS AWAY
1.60SCORED A GAME0.602.60CONCEDED A GAME1.6010%CLEAN SHEETS20%4.10CORNERS A GAME4.502.10CARDS A GAME2.50
THE BANK
THE BANKER MENU
OVER 1.5 CARDS
–
649 OF 684
PRICE NOT KEPT
The league averages 5.0+ cards a game.
Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.
TRENDS
AD Fazendense have scored in 90% of their games.
Gd Nazarenos have scored in 40% of their games.
AD Fazendense kept a clean sheet in 10% of their games.
Gd Nazarenos kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards