THE READ
Match details. Tercera Federacion, Group 7. Kick-off is Sun 8 Nov, 11:30 Lagos time.
Form. CD Galapagar have won five, drawn three and lost two of their last ten league games, 1.8 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: D W L W L. UD Sanse have won three, drawn one and lost six of their last ten league games, 1.0 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: L D W L L.
The numbers. CD Galapagar score two and concede 1.4 a game in their last five at home, with no clean sheets. CD Galapagar average 10.9 shots (5.0 on target), 3.2 corners and 3.0 cards a game. UD Sanse score 2.2 and concede 1.6 a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets. UD Sanse average 7.0 shots (3.4 on target), 3.4 corners and 2.7 cards a game.
The case against. UD Sanse's record still gives them 28% to win.
The read. CD Galapagar to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make CD Galapagar the likelier winners; CD Galapagar are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour CD Galapagar. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 65%.
The bets. Best bet: CD Galapagar or Draw at 1.27, rated 78% (CD Galapagar unbeaten in 4 of 5 at home; UD Sanse failed to win 3 of 5 away). The safer one: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.19 (81%). Full cover: CD Galapagar or UD Sanse at 1.26. Whenever the best bet loses, this one wins. Predicted score: CD Galapagar 2-1 UD Sanse (10% chance).
The agreed story. CD Galapagar or the draw, an open game.
So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.
PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
CD Galapagar or Draw (1UP)PAGE ONLY
no price yet
CDG 4 of 5 (80%) · UDS 4 of 5 (80%)84%
CD Galapagar scored first 2 of last 5, led or was unbeaten in 4 · led or was unbeaten in 4 of 5 at home · UD Sanse trailed or failed to win in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · CD Galapagar: only games against sides at UD Sanse's level · UD Sanse: only games against sides at CD Galapagar's level
Double Chance: CD Galapagar or DrawMAININ CODES
1.27
CDG 4 of 5 (80%) · UDS 3 of 5 (60%)78.9%
CD Galapagar unbeaten in 4 of 5 at home · UD Sanse failed to win 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 75% · CD Galapagar: only games against sides at UD Sanse's level · UD Sanse: only games against sides at CD Galapagar's level
Draw or Over 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CDG 5 of 5 (100%) · UDS 4 of 5 (80%)76%
CD Galapagar: the bet landed in 5 of 5 at home · UD Sanse: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 90% · CD Galapagar: only games against sides at UD Sanse's level · UD Sanse: only games against sides at CD Galapagar's level
CD Galapagar (Draw No Bet)IN CODES
1.45
CDG 5 of 7 (71%) · UDS 6 of 9 (67%)72.2%
CD Galapagar won 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · UD Sanse lost 6 of 9 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · both last 10: 69% · CD Galapagar: only games against sides at UD Sanse's level · UD Sanse: only games against sides at CD Galapagar's level · won 4, refunded 3, lost 3
CD Galapagar or Over 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CDG 3 of 5 (60%) · UDS 3 of 5 (60%)67.7%
CD Galapagar: the bet landed in 3 of 5 at home · UD Sanse: the bet landed in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 80% · CD Galapagar: only games against sides at UD Sanse's level · UD Sanse: only games against sides at CD Galapagar's level
UD Sanse (0:2 handicap)LEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
UDS 4 of 5 (80%) · CDG 3 of 5 (60%)66.7%
UD Sanse: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · CD Galapagar: the bet landed in 3 of 5 at home · both last 10: 60% · UD Sanse: only games against sides at CD Galapagar's level · CD Galapagar: only games against sides at UD Sanse's level
CD Galapagar or Both Teams ScorePAGE ONLY
no price yet
CDG 5 of 5 (100%) · UDS 3 of 5 (60%)65%
CD Galapagar: the bet landed in 5 of 5 at home · UD Sanse: the bet landed in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 85% · CD Galapagar: only games against sides at UD Sanse's level · UD Sanse: only games against sides at CD Galapagar's level
CD Galapagar or Draw & Over 1.5PAGE ONLY
no price yet
CDG 4 of 5 (80%) · UDS 3 of 5 (60%)65%
CD Galapagar: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · UD Sanse: the bet landed in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 75% · CD Galapagar: only games against sides at UD Sanse's level · UD Sanse: only games against sides at CD Galapagar's level
Double Chance: CD Galapagar or UD SanseFULL COVERHELD · the odds board 79%
1.26
CDG 3 of 5 (60%) · UDS 4 of 5 (80%)58.6%
CD Galapagar: the bet landed in 3 of 5 at home · UD Sanse: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 80% · CD Galapagar: only games against sides at UD Sanse's level · UD Sanse: only games against sides at CD Galapagar's level
CD Galapagar 1UPLEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CDG 2 of 5 (40%) · UDS 2 of 5 (40%)38.3%
CD Galapagar scored first 2 of last 5, led in 2 · led in 2 of 5 at home · UD Sanse trailed in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · CD Galapagar: only games against sides at UD Sanse's level · UD Sanse: only games against sides at CD Galapagar's level
CD Galapagar to WinLEANPAGE ONLY
1.93
CDG 2 of 5 (40%) · UDS 2 of 5 (40%)36.5%
CD Galapagar won 2 of 5 at home · UD Sanse lost 2 of 5 away · both last 10: 55% · CD Galapagar: only games against sides at UD Sanse's level · UD Sanse: only games against sides at CD Galapagar's level
GOALS
no price yet
CDG 5 of 5 (100%) · UDS 5 of 5 (100%)94.7%
CD Galapagar: over 0.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · UD Sanse: over 0.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 100% · CD Galapagar: only games against sides at UD Sanse's level · UD Sanse: only games against sides at CD Galapagar's level
Over 1.5 GoalsSAFERIN CODES
1.19
CDG 5 of 5 (100%) · UDS 5 of 5 (100%)82.2%
CD Galapagar: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · UD Sanse: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 100% · CD Galapagar: only games against sides at UD Sanse's level · UD Sanse: only games against sides at CD Galapagar's level
Over 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.63
CDG 3 of 5 (60%) · UDS 3 of 5 (60%)59.6%
CD Galapagar: over 2.5 goals in 3 of 5 at home · UD Sanse: over 2.5 goals in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 75% · CD Galapagar: only games against sides at UD Sanse's level · UD Sanse: only games against sides at CD Galapagar's level
BOTH TEAMS SCORE
Both Teams to Score - YesLEANHELD · the odds board 65%
1.54
CDG 5 of 5 (100%) · UDS 3 of 5 (60%)40.4%
CD Galapagar: both scored in 5 of 5 at home · UD Sanse: both scored in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 70% · CD Galapagar: only games against sides at UD Sanse's level · UD Sanse: only games against sides at CD Galapagar's level
CD GALAPAGAR GOALS
CD Galapagar Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CDG 5 of 5 (100%) · UDS 3 of 5 (60%)85%
CD Galapagar scored in 5 of 5 at home · UD Sanse conceded in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 85% · CD Galapagar: only games against sides at UD Sanse's level · UD Sanse: only games against sides at CD Galapagar's level
CD Galapagar Over 1.5 goalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.75
CDG 2 of 5 (40%) · UDS 2 of 5 (40%)57.6%
CD Galapagar scored over 1.5 in 2 of 5 at home · UD Sanse conceded over 1.5 in 2 of 5 away · both last 10: 65% · CD Galapagar: only games against sides at UD Sanse's level · UD Sanse: only games against sides at CD Galapagar's level
UD SANSE GOALS
UD Sanse Under 1.5 goalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.43
UDS 1 of 5 (20%) · CDG 4 of 5 (80%)50.4%
UD Sanse scored under 1.5 in 1 of 5 away · CD Galapagar conceded under 1.5 in 4 of 5 at home · both last 10: 45% · UD Sanse: only games against sides at CD Galapagar's level · CD Galapagar: only games against sides at UD Sanse's level
UD Sanse Over 0.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
UDS 5 of 5 (100%) · CDG 5 of 5 (100%)50%
UD Sanse scored in 5 of 5 away · CD Galapagar conceded in 5 of 5 at home · both last 10: 85% · UD Sanse: only games against sides at CD Galapagar's level · CD Galapagar: only games against sides at UD Sanse's level
CARDS
no price yet
CDG 3 of 5 (60%) · UDS 8 of 9 (89%)76.1%
CD Galapagar's games: over 3.5 cards in 3 of 5 at home · UD Sanse's games: over 3.5 cards in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 79% · CD Galapagar: only games against sides at UD Sanse's level · UD Sanse: only games against sides at CD Galapagar's level
OTHER
UD Sanse Clean Sheet: NoIN CODES
1.15
UDS 3 of 5 (60%) · CDG 5 of 5 (100%)81.7%
UD Sanse: the bet landed in 3 of 5 away · CD Galapagar: the bet landed in 5 of 5 at home · both last 10: 85% · UD Sanse: only games against sides at CD Galapagar's level · CD Galapagar: only games against sides at UD Sanse's level
GG/NG 2+: NoHELD · the odds board 85%
1.17
CDG 5 of 5 (100%) · UDS 3 of 5 (60%)57%
CD Galapagar: the bet landed in 5 of 5 at home · UD Sanse: the bet landed in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 65% · CD Galapagar: only games against sides at UD Sanse's level · UD Sanse: only games against sides at CD Galapagar's level
Left off the list: Over 5.5 Corners (the numbers (56%) and the records (76%) are 20 points apart, and nothing settles it)