THE READ
Match details. Tercera Federacion, Group 18. Kick-off is Sun 8 Nov, 17:00 Lagos time.
Form. CD Tarancon have won four, drawn three and lost two of their last nine league games, 1.7 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: D D W W D. CF La Solana have won three, drawn none and lost seven of their last ten league games, 0.9 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: W L W L L.
The numbers. CD Tarancon score 1.8 and concede 1.2 a game over their last nine, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. CD Tarancon average 12.4 shots (4.8 on target), 4.2 corners and 3.4 cards a game. CF La Solana score none and concede two a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets and five games without a goal. CF La Solana average 11.5 shots (3.5 on target), 5.3 corners and 2.7 cards a game.
The case against. CF La Solana's record still gives them 23% to win.
The read. CD Tarancon to win. A tight game. Their goals for and against make CD Tarancon the likelier winners; CD Tarancon are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour CD Tarancon. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 33%.
The bets. Best bet: CD Tarancon or Draw at 1.11, rated 77% (CD Tarancon unbeaten in 3 of 5 at home; CF La Solana failed to win 5 of 5 away). Full cover: CD Tarancon or CF La Solana at 1.21. Whenever the best bet loses, this one wins. Predicted score: CD Tarancon 1-0 CF La Solana (17% chance).
The agreed story. CD Tarancon or the draw, a tight game.
So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.
PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
CF La Solana (0:2 handicap)PAGE ONLY
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CFL 3 of 5 (60%) · CDT 5 of 5 (100%)81.7%
CF La Solana: the bet landed in 3 of 5 away · CD Tarancon: the bet landed in 5 of 5 at home · both last 10: 85% · CF La Solana: only games against sides at CD Tarancon's level · CD Tarancon: only games against sides at CF La Solana's level
CD Tarancon or Under 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
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CDT 5 of 5 (100%) · CFL 5 of 5 (100%)77.7%
CD Tarancon: the bet landed in 5 of 5 at home · CF La Solana: the bet landed in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 85% · CD Tarancon: only games against sides at CF La Solana's level · CF La Solana: only games against sides at CD Tarancon's level
Double Chance: CD Tarancon or DrawMAININ CODES
1.11
CDT 3 of 5 (60%) · CFL 5 of 5 (100%)77.7%
CD Tarancon unbeaten in 3 of 5 at home · CF La Solana failed to win 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 70% · CD Tarancon: only games against sides at CF La Solana's level · CF La Solana: only games against sides at CD Tarancon's level
CD Tarancon (Draw No Bet)IN CODES
1.16
CDT 4 of 7 (57%) · CFL 5 of 5 (100%)74.6%
CD Tarancon won 4 of 7 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · CF La Solana lost 5 of 5 away (draws left out) · both last 10: 64% · CD Tarancon: only games against sides at CF La Solana's level · CF La Solana: only games against sides at CD Tarancon's level · won 7, refunded 1, lost 2
Double Chance: CD Tarancon or CF La SolanaFULL COVERIN CODES
1.21
CDT 4 of 5 (80%) · CFL 5 of 5 (100%)70.3%
CD Tarancon: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · CF La Solana: the bet landed in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 85% · CD Tarancon: only games against sides at CF La Solana's level · CF La Solana: only games against sides at CD Tarancon's level
CD Tarancon or Draw (1UP)LEANPAGE ONLY
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CDT 3 of 5 (60%) · CFL 3 of 5 (60%)68.8%
CD Tarancon scored first 3 of last 5, led or was unbeaten in 3 · led or was unbeaten in 3 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · CF La Solana trailed or failed to win in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · CD Tarancon: only games against sides at CF La Solana's level · CF La Solana: only games against sides at CD Tarancon's level
CD Tarancon or Both Teams ScorePAGE ONLY
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CDT 3 of 5 (60%) · CFL 5 of 5 (100%)58.7%
CD Tarancon: the bet landed in 3 of 5 at home · CF La Solana: the bet landed in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 70% · CD Tarancon: only games against sides at CF La Solana's level · CF La Solana: only games against sides at CD Tarancon's level
Draw or Under 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
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CDT 4 of 5 (80%) · CFL 3 of 5 (60%)52%
CD Tarancon: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · CF La Solana: the bet landed in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 70% · CD Tarancon: only games against sides at CF La Solana's level · CF La Solana: only games against sides at CD Tarancon's level
CD Tarancon or Over 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
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CDT 2 of 5 (40%) · CFL 5 of 5 (100%)51%
CD Tarancon: the bet landed in 2 of 5 at home · CF La Solana: the bet landed in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 70% · CD Tarancon: only games against sides at CF La Solana's level · CF La Solana: only games against sides at CD Tarancon's level
CD Tarancon 1UPLEANPAGE ONLY
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CDT 3 of 5 (60%) · CFL 3 of 5 (60%)49.8%
CD Tarancon scored first 3 of last 5, led in 3 · led in 3 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · CF La Solana trailed in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · CD Tarancon: only games against sides at CF La Solana's level · CF La Solana: only games against sides at CD Tarancon's level
CD Tarancon to WinLEANHELD · the odds board 67%
1.49
CDT 2 of 5 (40%) · CFL 5 of 5 (100%)47%
CD Tarancon won 2 of 5 at home · CF La Solana lost 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 55% · CD Tarancon: only games against sides at CF La Solana's level · CF La Solana: only games against sides at CD Tarancon's level
GOALS
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CDT 5 of 5 (100%) · CFL 5 of 5 (100%)97%
CD Tarancon: under 4.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · CF La Solana: under 4.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 95% · CD Tarancon: only games against sides at CF La Solana's level · CF La Solana: only games against sides at CD Tarancon's level
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CDT 5 of 5 (100%) · CFL 5 of 5 (100%)97%
CD Tarancon: under 5.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · CF La Solana: under 5.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 95% · CD Tarancon: only games against sides at CF La Solana's level · CF La Solana: only games against sides at CD Tarancon's level
1.26
CDT 5 of 5 (100%) · CFL 4 of 5 (80%)86%
CD Tarancon: under 3.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · CF La Solana: under 3.5 goals in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 75% · CD Tarancon: only games against sides at CF La Solana's level · CF La Solana: only games against sides at CD Tarancon's level
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CDT 5 of 5 (100%) · CFL 5 of 5 (100%)82%
CD Tarancon: over 0.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · CF La Solana: over 0.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 100% · CD Tarancon: only games against sides at CF La Solana's level · CF La Solana: only games against sides at CD Tarancon's level
Under 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.70
CDT 4 of 5 (80%) · CFL 3 of 5 (60%)48.7%
CD Tarancon: under 2.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home · CF La Solana: under 2.5 goals in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 60% · CD Tarancon: only games against sides at CF La Solana's level · CF La Solana: only games against sides at CD Tarancon's level
BOTH TEAMS SCORE
Both Teams to Score - NoIN CODES
1.60
CDT 3 of 5 (60%) · CFL 5 of 5 (100%)58.7%
CD Tarancon: not both scored in 3 of 5 at home · CF La Solana: not both scored in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 70% · CD Tarancon: only games against sides at CF La Solana's level · CF La Solana: only games against sides at CD Tarancon's level
CD TARANCON GOALS
CD Tarancon Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
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CDT 3 of 5 (60%) · CFL 5 of 5 (100%)58.7%
CD Tarancon scored in 3 of 5 at home · CF La Solana conceded in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 70% · CD Tarancon: only games against sides at CF La Solana's level · CF La Solana: only games against sides at CD Tarancon's level
CD Tarancon Under 1.5 goalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.92
CDT 4 of 5 (80%) · CFL 3 of 5 (60%)50.3%
CD Tarancon scored under 1.5 in 4 of 5 at home · CF La Solana conceded under 1.5 in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 65% · CD Tarancon: only games against sides at CF La Solana's level · CF La Solana: only games against sides at CD Tarancon's level
CORNERS
Over 7.5 CornersPAGE ONLY
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CDT 4 of 5 (80%) · CFL 5 of 6 (83%)81.7%
CD Tarancon's games: over 7.5 corners in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · CF La Solana's games: over 7.5 corners in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 82% · CD Tarancon: only games against sides at CF La Solana's level · CF La Solana: only games against sides at CD Tarancon's level
CARDS
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CDT 4 of 5 (80%) · CFL 4 of 6 (67%)73.3%
CD Tarancon's games: over 3.5 cards in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · CF La Solana's games: over 3.5 cards in 4 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 73% · CD Tarancon: only games against sides at CF La Solana's level · CF La Solana: only games against sides at CD Tarancon's level