CA Vianes vs CD Calahorra
CA Vianes: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · CD Calahorra: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 55% · CA Vianes: only games against sides at CD Calahorra's level · CD Calahorra: only games against sides at CA Vianes's level
Match details. Tercera Federacion, Group 16. Kick-off is Sun 8 Nov, 17:00 Lagos time.
Form. CA Vianes have won two, drawn one and lost seven of their last ten league games, 0.7 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: L L L W L. CD Calahorra have won six, drawn none and lost three of their last nine league games, 2.0 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: W W L W L.
The numbers. CA Vianes score two and concede 1.6 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet. CA Vianes average 1.0 corners and 5.0 cards a game. CD Calahorra score 2.9 and concede 1.1 a game over their last nine, with five clean sheets.
Where it pulls both ways. It pulls both ways: their goals for and against make CA Vianes the likelier winners, but CD Calahorra are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour CA Vianes.
The read. No side to back. An open game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 85%.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.25, rated 88% (CA Vianes: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home; CD Calahorra: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 5 away). The safer one: CA Vianes or CD Calahorra at 1.16 (92%). Predicted score: CA Vianes 2-1 CD Calahorra (9% chance).
The agreed story. No side to back (CA Vianes the favourite), an open game.
So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).