Match details. Tercera Federacion, Group 14, Group 14 - 10. Kick-off is Sun 8 Nov, 16:30 Lagos time.
What's at stake. CD Gevora are 11th on 11 points after 9 games, 1 point behind Jerez, 1 point clear of Villafranca. A win would take them above Jerez. CD Azuaga are 1st on 22 points after 9 games, 1 point clear of Llerenense.
Form. CD Gevora have won three, drawn two and lost five of their last ten league games, 1.1 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: L W L L D. CD Azuaga have won seven, drawn one and lost one of their last nine league games, 2.4 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: D W W L W.
The numbers. CD Gevora score 1.4 and concede 1.9 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and three games without a goal. CD Gevora average 3.0 corners and 4.0 cards a game. CD Azuaga score 2.1 and concede 0.8 a game over their last nine, with four clean sheets and two games without a goal. CD Azuaga average 7.0 corners and 2.0 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last two meetings CD Gevora have won none, drawn one and lost one. One of the two went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in one. The last time they met, on 15 Mar 2026, it finished CD Gevora 0-2 CD Azuaga.
The case against. CD Gevora's record still gives them 23% to win.
The read. CD Azuaga to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make CD Azuaga the likelier winners; CD Azuaga are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour CD Azuaga. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 63%.
The bets. Best bet: Draw or CD Azuaga at 1.19, rated 77% (CD Azuaga unbeaten in 4 of 5 away; CD Gevora failed to win 7 of 10). Full cover: CD Gevora or CD Azuaga at 1.27. Whenever the best bet loses, this one wins. Predicted score: CD Gevora 1-2 CD Azuaga (10% chance).
The agreed story. CD Azuaga or the draw, an open game.
So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).