EDGE PICKCasalarreina CF Under 1.5 goals · 42% · @1.53
Book 65% · Us 42%-23price too short
Backed by
Casalarreina CF scored under 1.5 in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Yague CF conceded under 1.5 in 3 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 60% · Casalarreina CF: only games against sides at Yague CF's level · Yague CF: only games against sides at Casalarreina CF's level
· main loses on: 0-0, 1-0, 0-1 | hedge wins on all of them
THE READ
Match details. Tercera Federacion, Group 16. Kick-off is Sun 8 Nov, 11:30 Lagos time.
Form. Casalarreina CF have won one, drawn none and lost nine of their last ten league games, 0.3 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: L L L L L. Yague CF have won three, drawn one and lost six of their last ten league games, 1.0 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: W L L L W.
The numbers. Casalarreina CF score 0.6 and concede 2.5 a game over their last ten, with no clean sheets and five games without a goal. Casalarreina CF average 10.5 shots (3.0 on target), 2.5 corners and 3.5 cards a game. Yague CF score 1.3 and concede 2.3 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and four games without a goal. Yague CF average 9.8 shots (4.8 on target), 4.2 corners and 2.5 cards a game.
The case against. Casalarreina CF's record still gives them 35% to win.
The read. Yague CF to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make Yague CF the likelier winners; Yague CF are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Yague CF. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 80%.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.21, rated 85% (Casalarreina CF: over 1.5 goals in 8 of 10; Yague CF: over 1.5 goals in 9 of 10). Full cover: GG/NG 2+: No at 1.17. Whenever the best bet loses, this one wins. Predicted score: Casalarreina CF 1-2 Yague CF (10% chance).
The agreed story. Yague CF or the draw, an open game.
So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.
PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
Draw or Over 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CAS 7 of 10 (70%) · YAG 9 of 10 (90%)81%
Casalarreina CF: the bet landed in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Yague CF: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 80% · Casalarreina CF: only games against sides at Yague CF's level · Yague CF: only games against sides at Casalarreina CF's level
Casalarreina CF (2:0 handicap)PAGE ONLY
no price yet
CAS 5 of 10 (50%) · YAG 9 of 10 (90%)70%
Casalarreina CF: the bet landed in 5 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Yague CF: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 70% · Casalarreina CF: only games against sides at Yague CF's level · Yague CF: only games against sides at Casalarreina CF's level
GOALS
Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CAS 10 of 10 (100%) · YAG 10 of 10 (100%)97%
Casalarreina CF: over 0.5 goals in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Yague CF: over 0.5 goals in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · Casalarreina CF: only games against sides at Yague CF's level · Yague CF: only games against sides at Casalarreina CF's level
Over 1.5 GoalsMAININ CODES
1.21
CAS 8 of 10 (80%) · YAG 9 of 10 (90%)86%
Casalarreina CF: over 1.5 goals in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Yague CF: over 1.5 goals in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 85% · Casalarreina CF: only games against sides at Yague CF's level · Yague CF: only games against sides at Casalarreina CF's level
Over 2.5 GoalsHELD · the odds board 59%
1.69
CAS 7 of 10 (70%) · YAG 9 of 10 (90%)81%
Casalarreina CF: over 2.5 goals in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Yague CF: over 2.5 goals in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 80% · Casalarreina CF: only games against sides at Yague CF's level · Yague CF: only games against sides at Casalarreina CF's level
CASALARREINA CF GOALS
Casalarreina CF Over 0.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CAS 5 of 10 (50%) · YAG 8 of 10 (80%)47%
Casalarreina CF scored in 5 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Yague CF conceded in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 65% · Casalarreina CF: only games against sides at Yague CF's level · Yague CF: only games against sides at Casalarreina CF's level
Casalarreina CF Under 1.5 goalsLEANHELD · the odds board 65%
1.53
CAS 9 of 10 (90%) · YAG 3 of 10 (30%)42%
Casalarreina CF scored under 1.5 in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Yague CF conceded under 1.5 in 3 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 60% · Casalarreina CF: only games against sides at Yague CF's level · Yague CF: only games against sides at Casalarreina CF's level
YAGUE CF GOALS
Yague CF Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
YAG 6 of 10 (60%) · CAS 10 of 10 (100%)80%
Yague CF scored in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Casalarreina CF conceded in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 80% · Yague CF: only games against sides at Casalarreina CF's level · Casalarreina CF: only games against sides at Yague CF's level
OTHER
Casalarreina CF Clean Sheet: NoIN CODES
1.20
CAS 10 of 10 (100%) · YAG 6 of 10 (60%)80%
Casalarreina CF: the bet landed in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Yague CF: the bet landed in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 80% · Casalarreina CF: only games against sides at Yague CF's level · Yague CF: only games against sides at Casalarreina CF's level
GG/NG 2+: NoFULL COVERIN CODES
1.17
CAS 10 of 10 (100%) · YAG 9 of 10 (90%)77%
Casalarreina CF: the bet landed in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Yague CF: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 95% · Casalarreina CF: only games against sides at Yague CF's level · Yague CF: only games against sides at Casalarreina CF's level
Left off the list: Yague CF or Over 2.5 Goals (the numbers (77%) and the records (100%) are 23 points apart, and nothing settles it)
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 1–29.6%
Casalarreina CF goals →
Yague CF goals ↓
0-04%
1-04%
2-03%
3-01%
4-00.5%
5-00.1%
0-17%
1-110%
2-16%
3-13%
4-10.9%
5-10.2%
0-27%
1-210%
2-26%
3-23%
4-20.9%
5-20.2%
0-35%
1-36%
2-34%
3-32%
4-30.6%
5-30.1%
0-42%
1-43%
2-42%
3-40.9%
4-40.3%
5-40.1%
0-50.9%
1-51%
2-50.8%
3-50.3%
4-50.1%
5-50.0%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).
FORM · LAST 10
CASALARREINA CFLWLLLLLLLL0.30 PPG
YAGUE CFDLLWLWLLLW1.00 PPG
THE NUMBERS
CASALARREINA CF HOMExYAGUE CF AWAY
0.60SCORED A GAME1.302.50CONCEDED A GAME2.300%CLEAN SHEETS20%2.50CORNERS A GAME4.253.50CARDS A GAME2.50
TRENDS
Casalarreina CF have scored in 50% of their games.
Yague CF have scored in 60% of their games.
Casalarreina CF kept a clean sheet in 0% of their games.
Yague CF kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards