LELON

23:00Wed 11 Nov

NAU

Londrina EC PR vs Nautico PE

CLASS E

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THE READ

Match details. Brasileiro Serie B. Kick-off is Wed 11 Nov, 23:00 Lagos time.

Form. Londrina EC PR have won one, drawn one and lost five of their last seven league games, 0.6 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: L L L W D. Nautico PE have won two, drawn three and lost five of their last ten league games, 0.9 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: L W L D L.

The numbers. Londrina EC PR score 0.9 and concede 2.1 a game over their last seven, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. Londrina EC PR average 5.4 corners and 2.3 cards a game. Nautico PE score 0.8 and concede 1.9 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and six games without a goal. Nautico PE average 6.2 corners and 2.8 cards a game.

Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 20% against the records' 46%.

The read. No firm call: Nautico PE are the better side, but not at this price. A tight game. Nautico PE are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Nautico PE.

The bets. No best bet on this one: too close to call. Predicted score: Londrina EC PR 1-1 Nautico PE (14% chance).

The agreed story. No side to back (Nautico PE the favourite), a tight game. The app, the Bank and the tipsters together.

The league run. Londrina EC PR: lost their last two league games (L L L W L). Nautico PE: up and down in the league (L W L D L).

So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.

PICKSONE LIST

RESULT

Londrina EC PR or Over 2.5 GoalsHELD · the odds board 81%

1.23

LON 6 of 7 (86%) · NAU 7 of 10 (70%)59.2%

Londrina EC PR: the bet landed in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Nautico PE: the bet landed in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 78% · Londrina EC PR: only games against sides at Nautico PE's level · Nautico PE: only games against sides at Londrina EC PR's level

Londrina EC PR or Both Teams ScoreHELD · the odds board 91%

1.10

LON 5 of 7 (71%) · NAU 8 of 10 (80%)54.8%

Londrina EC PR: the bet landed in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Nautico PE: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 76% · Londrina EC PR: only games against sides at Nautico PE's level · Nautico PE: only games against sides at Londrina EC PR's level

Nautico PE or Under 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

1.76

NAU 6 of 10 (60%) · LON 6 of 7 (86%)52.9%

Nautico PE: the bet landed in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Londrina EC PR: the bet landed in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 73% · Nautico PE: only games against sides at Londrina EC PR's level · Londrina EC PR: only games against sides at Nautico PE's level

Draw or Over 2.5 GoalsHELD · the odds board 78%

1.28

LON 5 of 7 (71%) · NAU 7 of 10 (70%)52.7%

Londrina EC PR: the bet landed in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Nautico PE: the bet landed in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 71% · Londrina EC PR: only games against sides at Nautico PE's level · Nautico PE: only games against sides at Londrina EC PR's level

Nautico PE or Over 2.5 GoalsHELD · the odds board 70%

1.43

NAU 6 of 10 (60%) · LON 6 of 7 (86%)49.7%

Nautico PE win or both teams scoreLEANHELD · the odds board 68%

1.46

NAU 4 of 10 (40%) · LON 6 of 7 (86%)44.9%

Nautico PE: the bet landed in 4 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Londrina EC PR: the bet landed in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 63% · Nautico PE: only games against sides at Londrina EC PR's level · Londrina EC PR: only games against sides at Nautico PE's level

GOALS

Under 4.5 GoalsIN CODES

1.20

LON 7 of 7 (100%) · NAU 9 of 10 (90%)94.8%

Londrina EC PR: under 4.5 goals in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Nautico PE: under 4.5 goals in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 95% · Londrina EC PR: only games against sides at Nautico PE's level · Nautico PE: only games against sides at Londrina EC PR's level

Over 1.5 GoalsHELD · the odds board 83%

1.20

LON 6 of 7 (86%) · NAU 8 of 10 (80%)52.5%

Londrina EC PR: over 1.5 goals in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Nautico PE: over 1.5 goals in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 83% · Londrina EC PR: only games against sides at Nautico PE's level · Nautico PE: only games against sides at Londrina EC PR's level

BOTH TEAMS SCORE

Both Teams to Score - YesLEANHELD · the odds board 60%

1.67

LON 4 of 7 (57%) · NAU 3 of 10 (30%)33.9%

Londrina EC PR: both scored in 4 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Nautico PE: both scored in 3 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 44% · Londrina EC PR: only games against sides at Nautico PE's level · Nautico PE: only games against sides at Londrina EC PR's level

LONDRINA EC PR GOALS

Londrina EC PR Under 3.5 goalsIN CODES

1.13

LON 7 of 7 (100%) · NAU 9 of 10 (90%)97%

Londrina EC PR scored under 3.5 in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Nautico PE conceded under 3.5 in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 95% · Londrina EC PR: only games against sides at Nautico PE's level · Nautico PE: only games against sides at Londrina EC PR's level

Londrina EC PR Under 2.5 goalsIN CODES

1.42

LON 7 of 7 (100%) · NAU 6 of 10 (60%)88.8%

Londrina EC PR scored under 2.5 in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Nautico PE conceded under 2.5 in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 80% · Londrina EC PR: only games against sides at Nautico PE's level · Nautico PE: only games against sides at Londrina EC PR's level

Londrina EC PR Over 0.5 goalsHELD · the odds board 90%

1.11

LON 5 of 7 (71%) · NAU 8 of 10 (80%)52.1%

Londrina EC PR scored in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Nautico PE conceded in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 76% · Londrina EC PR: only games against sides at Nautico PE's level · Nautico PE: only games against sides at Londrina EC PR's level

NAUTICO PE GOALS

Nautico PE Over 0.5 goalsIN CODES

1.48

NAU 4 of 10 (40%) · LON 6 of 7 (86%)55.1%

Nautico PE scored in 4 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Londrina EC PR conceded in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 63% · Nautico PE: only games against sides at Londrina EC PR's level · Londrina EC PR: only games against sides at Nautico PE's level

HALVES

2nd Half - Over/Under: Under 2.5PAGE ONLY

1.26

LON 7 of 7 (100%) · NAU 8 of 10 (80%)89.3%

Londrina EC PR: the bet landed in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Nautico PE: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 90% · on half-time scores · Londrina EC PR: only games against sides at Nautico PE's level · Nautico PE: only games against sides at Londrina EC PR's level

1st Half Under 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

1.15

LON 7 of 7 (100%) · NAU 10 of 10 (100%)84.8%

Londrina EC PR: the bet landed in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Nautico PE: the bet landed in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · on half-time scores · Londrina EC PR: only games against sides at Nautico PE's level · Nautico PE: only games against sides at Londrina EC PR's level

Excluded Number of Goals - First Half: 3+PAGE ONLY

1.14

LON 7 of 7 (100%) · NAU 10 of 10 (100%)84.8%

2nd Half Nautico PE to Win to Nil: NoPAGE ONLY

1.10

LON 5 of 7 (71%) · NAU 10 of 10 (100%)76.7%

Londrina EC PR: the bet landed in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Nautico PE: the bet landed in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 86% · on half-time scores · Londrina EC PR: only games against sides at Nautico PE's level · Nautico PE: only games against sides at Londrina EC PR's level

1st Half Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

1.29

LON 6 of 7 (86%) · NAU 9 of 10 (90%)74.9%

Londrina EC PR: the bet landed in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Nautico PE: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 88% · on half-time scores · Londrina EC PR: only games against sides at Nautico PE's level · Nautico PE: only games against sides at Londrina EC PR's level

Excluded Number of Goals - First Half: 0HELD · the odds board 78%

1.28

LON 6 of 7 (86%) · NAU 9 of 10 (90%)56.9%

OTHER

Londrina EC PR To Score 3 or More Goals in a Row: NoIN CODES

1.27

LON 5 of 5 (100%) · NAU 7 of 7 (100%)91%

Londrina EC PR scored first 2 of last 5, never scored 3 in a row in 5 · never scored 3 in a row in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Nautico PE never conceded 3 in a row in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Londrina EC PR: only games against sides at Nautico PE's level · Nautico PE: only games against sides at Londrina EC PR's level

Londrina EC PR to lead by 3 Goals at any time: NoIN CODES

1.22

LON 5 of 5 (100%) · NAU 7 of 7 (100%)90%

Londrina EC PR scored first 2 of last 5, never led by 3 in 5 · never led by 3 in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Nautico PE never trailed by 3 in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Londrina EC PR: only games against sides at Nautico PE's level · Nautico PE: only games against sides at Londrina EC PR's level

GG/NG 2+: NoIN CODES

1.15

LON 6 of 7 (86%) · NAU 9 of 10 (90%)88.9%

Londrina EC PR: the bet landed in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Nautico PE: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 88% · Londrina EC PR: only games against sides at Nautico PE's level · Nautico PE: only games against sides at Londrina EC PR's level

Londrina EC PR to lead by 2 Goals at any time: NoHELD · the odds board 60%

1.67

LON 5 of 5 (100%) · NAU 7 of 7 (100%)83.3%

Londrina EC PR scored first 2 of last 5, never led by 2 in 5 · never led by 2 in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Nautico PE never trailed by 2 in 5 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Londrina EC PR: only games against sides at Nautico PE's level · Nautico PE: only games against sides at Londrina EC PR's level

Londrina EC PR To Score 2 or More Goals in a Row: NoLEANPAGE ONLY

1.97

LON 5 of 5 (100%) · NAU 7 of 7 (100%)70%

Londrina EC PR scored first 2 of last 5, never scored 2 in a row in 5 · never scored 2 in a row in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Nautico PE never conceded 2 in a row in 4 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Londrina EC PR: only games against sides at Nautico PE's level · Nautico PE: only games against sides at Londrina EC PR's level

Nautico PE To Score 2 or More Goals in a Row: NoLEANPAGE ONLY

1.19

NAU 5 of 5 (100%) · LON 8 of 10 (80%)69%

Nautico PE scored first 1 of last 5, never scored 2 in a row in 5 · never scored 2 in a row in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Londrina EC PR never conceded 2 in a row in 2 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Nautico PE: only games against sides at Londrina EC PR's level · Londrina EC PR: only games against sides at Nautico PE's level

Nautico PE to lead by 2 Goals at any time: NoLEANHELD · the odds board 92%

1.09

NAU 5 of 5 (100%) · LON 8 of 10 (80%)69%

Nautico PE scored first 1 of last 5, never led by 2 in 5 · never led by 2 in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Londrina EC PR never trailed by 2 in 2 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Nautico PE: only games against sides at Londrina EC PR's level · Londrina EC PR: only games against sides at Nautico PE's level

Londrina EC PR to lead by 1 Goal at any time: NoLEANHELD · the odds board 31%

3.27

LON 3 of 5 (60%) · NAU 5 of 7 (71%)60.5%

Londrina EC PR scored first 2 of last 5, never led by 1 in 3 · never led by 1 in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Nautico PE never trailed by 1 in 5 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Londrina EC PR: only games against sides at Nautico PE's level · Nautico PE: only games against sides at Londrina EC PR's level

Left off the list: Nautico PE to lead by 1 Goal at any time: No (the numbers (46%) and the records (56%) are on opposite sides, and nothing settles it)

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–1 13.5%

Londrina EC PR goals →

Nautico PE goals ↓

0-09%

1-09%

2-06%

3-02%

4-00.7%

5-00.2%

0-110%

1-114%

2-18%

3-13%

4-10.9%

5-10.2%

0-27%

1-28%

2-25%

3-22%

4-20.6%

5-20.1%

0-33%

1-34%

2-32%

3-30.9%

4-30.3%

5-30.1%

0-41.0%

1-41%

2-40.7%

3-40.3%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.3%

1-50.3%

2-50.2%

3-50.1%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the Model's table).

FORM · LAST 10

LONDRINA EC PRLLDLWLDDLL0.60 PPG

NAUTICO PELWLDLLDWLD0.90 PPG

THE NUMBERS

LONDRINA EC PR HOMExNAUTICO PE AWAY

1.22SCORED A GAME1.081.57CONCEDED A GAME1.3230%CLEAN SHEETS20%5.41CORNERS A GAME6.162.30CARDS A GAME2.84

THE BANK

THE BANKER MENU

LONDRINA EC PR 3:0 HANDICAP

–

134 OF 142

PRICE NOT KEPT

The tips say a tight game and the Bank expects under 2.3 goals.

BOTH HALVES OVER 1.5: NO

–

138 OF 151

PRICE NOT KEPT

The tips say a tight game and the Bank expects under 2.3 goals.

NO TEAM SCORES 3 IN A ROW

–

85 OF 93

PRICE NOT KEPT

The tips say a tight or mixed game, the Bank expects under 2.3 goals, and the favourite fails to score in 1 game in 4 or more.

Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.

THE QUALITY READ

0.60POINTS A GAME1.12-0.93GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-0.69-5.2SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST-4.30.6LAST 5: POINTS A GAME0.815LEAGUE GAMES16

No quality side: neither club is ahead on more of these.

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

69%

NO · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

47%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

99%

VERY GOOD · 85/90

LONDRINA EC PR OR DRAW

84%

OKAY · 80/85

NAUTICO PE OR DRAW

70%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (15 and 16 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

LONDRINA EC PRxNAUTICO PE

6GAMES80.50SCORED A GAME0.381.17CONCEDED A GAME1.621.7GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.050%OVER 1.5 GOALS75%33%OVER 2.5 GOALS38%33%BOTH SCORE38%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES3.4–CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES13.0

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

TRENDS

Londrina EC PR have scored in 60% of their games.

Nautico PE have scored in 40% of their games.

Londrina EC PR kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.

Nautico PE kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards