THE READ
Match details. Mocambola. Kick-off is Sun 8 Nov, 14:00 Lagos time.
Form. Baia de Pemba FC have won four, drawn two and lost four of their last ten league games, 1.4 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: D L L L W. Black Bulls FC have won five, drawn one and lost none of their last six league games, 2.7 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: W W D W W.
The numbers. Baia de Pemba FC score 1.1 and concede 0.7 a game in their last seven at home, with four clean sheets. Baia de Pemba FC average 3.4 corners and 1.1 cards a game. Black Bulls FC score 1.5 and concede 0.5 a game over their last six, with four clean sheets. Black Bulls FC average 6.8 corners and 1.6 cards a game.
The case against. Baia de Pemba FC's record still gives them 26% to win.
The read. Black Bulls FC to win. A tight game. Black Bulls FC are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Black Bulls FC. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 38%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: Baia de Pemba FC 0-1 Black Bulls FC (17% chance).
The agreed story. Black Bulls FC or the draw, a tight game.
So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.
PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
Black Bulls FC or Draw (1UP)PAGE ONLY
no price yet
BLA 5 of 5 (100%) · BAI 6 of 6 (100%)89.9%
Black Bulls FC scored first 5 of last 5, led or was unbeaten in 5 · led or was unbeaten in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Baia de Pemba FC trailed or failed to win in 4 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Black Bulls FC: only games against sides at Baia de Pemba FC's level · Baia de Pemba FC: only games against sides at Black Bulls FC's level
Baia de Pemba FC (2:0 handicap)PAGE ONLY
no price yet
BAI 7 of 7 (100%) · BLA 5 of 6 (83%)86.7%
Baia de Pemba FC: the bet landed in 7 of 7 at home · Black Bulls FC: the bet landed in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 77% · Baia de Pemba FC: only games against sides at Black Bulls FC's level · Black Bulls FC: only games against sides at Baia de Pemba FC's level
Black Bulls FC or Under 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
BLA 5 of 6 (83%) · BAI 5 of 7 (71%)71.5%
Black Bulls FC: the bet landed in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Baia de Pemba FC: the bet landed in 5 of 7 at home · both last 10: 82% · Black Bulls FC: only games against sides at Baia de Pemba FC's level · Baia de Pemba FC: only games against sides at Black Bulls FC's level
Double Chance: Draw or Black Bulls FCLEANPAGE ONLY
1.14
BLA 6 of 6 (100%) · BAI 3 of 7 (43%)70%
Black Bulls FC unbeaten in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Baia de Pemba FC failed to win 3 of 7 at home · both last 10: 80% · Black Bulls FC: only games against sides at Baia de Pemba FC's level · Baia de Pemba FC: only games against sides at Black Bulls FC's level
Black Bulls FC (Draw No Bet)LEANPAGE ONLY
1.23
BLA 5 of 5 (100%) · BAI 1 of 5 (20%)66%
Black Bulls FC won 5 of 5 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · Baia de Pemba FC lost 1 of 5 at home (draws left out) · both last 10: 75% · Black Bulls FC: only games against sides at Baia de Pemba FC's level · Baia de Pemba FC: only games against sides at Black Bulls FC's level · won 7, refunded 2, lost 4
Double Chance: Baia de Pemba FC or Black Bulls FCIN CODES
1.29
BAI 5 of 7 (71%) · BLA 5 of 6 (83%)60.8%
Baia de Pemba FC: the bet landed in 5 of 7 at home · Black Bulls FC: the bet landed in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 82% · Baia de Pemba FC: only games against sides at Black Bulls FC's level · Black Bulls FC: only games against sides at Baia de Pemba FC's level
Draw or Under 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
BAI 5 of 7 (71%) · BLA 5 of 6 (83%)59.1%
Baia de Pemba FC: the bet landed in 5 of 7 at home · Black Bulls FC: the bet landed in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 77% · Baia de Pemba FC: only games against sides at Black Bulls FC's level · Black Bulls FC: only games against sides at Baia de Pemba FC's level
Black Bulls FC or Over 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
BLA 6 of 6 (100%) · BAI 3 of 7 (43%)51%
Black Bulls FC: the bet landed in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Baia de Pemba FC: the bet landed in 3 of 7 at home · both last 10: 80% · Black Bulls FC: only games against sides at Baia de Pemba FC's level · Baia de Pemba FC: only games against sides at Black Bulls FC's level
GOALS
no price yet
BAI 7 of 7 (100%) · BLA 6 of 6 (100%)97%
Baia de Pemba FC: under 4.5 goals in 7 of 7 at home · Black Bulls FC: under 4.5 goals in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · Baia de Pemba FC: only games against sides at Black Bulls FC's level · Black Bulls FC: only games against sides at Baia de Pemba FC's level
no price yet
BAI 7 of 7 (100%) · BLA 6 of 6 (100%)97%
Baia de Pemba FC: under 5.5 goals in 7 of 7 at home · Black Bulls FC: under 5.5 goals in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · Baia de Pemba FC: only games against sides at Black Bulls FC's level · Black Bulls FC: only games against sides at Baia de Pemba FC's level
no price yet
BAI 6 of 7 (86%) · BLA 5 of 6 (83%)86.2%
Baia de Pemba FC: under 3.5 goals in 6 of 7 at home · Black Bulls FC: under 3.5 goals in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 87% · Baia de Pemba FC: only games against sides at Black Bulls FC's level · Black Bulls FC: only games against sides at Baia de Pemba FC's level
no price yet
BAI 6 of 7 (86%) · BLA 6 of 6 (100%)75.6%
Baia de Pemba FC: over 0.5 goals in 6 of 7 at home · Black Bulls FC: over 0.5 goals in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 95% · Baia de Pemba FC: only games against sides at Black Bulls FC's level · Black Bulls FC: only games against sides at Baia de Pemba FC's level
Under 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
BAI 4 of 7 (57%) · BLA 4 of 6 (67%)44.4%
Baia de Pemba FC: under 2.5 goals in 4 of 7 at home · Black Bulls FC: under 2.5 goals in 4 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 63% · Baia de Pemba FC: only games against sides at Black Bulls FC's level · Black Bulls FC: only games against sides at Baia de Pemba FC's level
BOTH TEAMS SCORE
Both Teams to Score - NoLEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
BAI 4 of 7 (57%) · BLA 4 of 6 (67%)46%
Baia de Pemba FC: not both scored in 4 of 7 at home · Black Bulls FC: not both scored in 4 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 68% · Baia de Pemba FC: only games against sides at Black Bulls FC's level · Black Bulls FC: only games against sides at Baia de Pemba FC's level
BLACK BULLS FC GOALS
Black Bulls FC Over 0.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
BLA 6 of 6 (100%) · BAI 3 of 7 (43%)51%
Black Bulls FC scored in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Baia de Pemba FC conceded in 3 of 7 at home · both last 10: 80% · Black Bulls FC: only games against sides at Baia de Pemba FC's level · Baia de Pemba FC: only games against sides at Black Bulls FC's level
HALVES
1st Half Under 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
BAI 6 of 7 (86%) · BLA 5 of 6 (83%)93.9%
Baia de Pemba FC: the bet landed in 6 of 7 at home · Black Bulls FC: the bet landed in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 87% · on half-time scores · Baia de Pemba FC: only games against sides at Black Bulls FC's level · Black Bulls FC: only games against sides at Baia de Pemba FC's level
1st Half Under 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
BAI 5 of 7 (71%) · BLA 5 of 6 (83%)76.4%
Baia de Pemba FC: the bet landed in 5 of 7 at home · Black Bulls FC: the bet landed in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 82% · on half-time scores · Baia de Pemba FC: only games against sides at Black Bulls FC's level · Black Bulls FC: only games against sides at Baia de Pemba FC's level
Left off the list: Black Bulls FC to Win (the numbers (42%) and the records (53%) are on opposite sides, and nothing settles it); Black Bulls FC 1UP (the numbers (53%) and the records (89%) are 36 points apart, and nothing settles it)