Jubbah Club vs AL Kawkab
Match details. Second Division, Regular Season - 6. Kick-off is Sun 8 Nov, 13:25 Lagos time.
What's at stake. Jubbah Club are 28th on 3 points after 5 games, level on points with Jerash, level on points with Al Baten. A win would take them above Jerash. AL Kawkab are 13th on 7 points after 4 games, level on points with Al Rawdhah, level on points with Al Loa. A win would take them above Al Rawdhah.
Form. Jubbah Club have won two, drawn five and lost three of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L D D L. AL Kawkab have won three, drawn four and lost three of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L W W D.
The numbers. Jubbah Club score 1.6 and concede 1.6 a game in their last five at home, with no clean sheets. AL Kawkab score 1.4 and concede 1.8 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets. AL Kawkab average 7.3 shots (1.7 on target), 7.7 corners and 2.3 cards a game.
The read. No side to back. An open game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 68%.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.38, rated 76% (Jubbah Club: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home; AL Kawkab: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 5 away). The safer one: AL Kawkab Under 2.5 Goals at 1.15 (88%). Predicted score: Jubbah Club 2-1 AL Kawkab (9% chance).
The agreed story. No side to back (Jubbah Club the favourite), an open game.
So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).