ACASD

14:30Sun 8 Nov

USV

ASD Castrumfavara vs US Vibonese Calcio

CLASS E

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THE READ

Match details. Serie D, Group I. Kick-off is Sun 8 Nov, 14:30 Lagos time.

Form. ASD Castrumfavara have won two, drawn two and lost six of their last ten league games, 0.8 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: L D L W L. US Vibonese Calcio have won six, drawn three and lost one of their last ten league games, 2.1 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: W W D D W.

The numbers. ASD Castrumfavara score 1.8 and concede 1.2 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet. US Vibonese Calcio score 2.6 and concede 1.2 a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets. US Vibonese Calcio average 4.0 corners and 1.2 cards a game.

The case against. ASD Castrumfavara's record still gives them 25% to win.

The read. US Vibonese Calcio to win. An open game. US Vibonese Calcio are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour US Vibonese Calcio.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: ASD Castrumfavara 0-1 US Vibonese Calcio (9% chance).

The agreed story. US Vibonese Calcio or the draw, an open game.

The league run. ASD Castrumfavara: no win in their last three league games (L D L W L). US Vibonese Calcio: unbeaten in their last five league games (W W D D W).

So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.

PICKSONE LIST

RESULT

Draw or Over 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

ASD 4 of 5 (80%) · USV 4 of 5 (80%)68.3%

ASD Castrumfavara: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · US Vibonese Calcio: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 70% · ASD Castrumfavara: only games against sides at US Vibonese Calcio's level · US Vibonese Calcio: only games against sides at ASD Castrumfavara's level

ASD Castrumfavara (2:0 handicap)LEANPAGE ONLY

no price yet

ASD 5 of 5 (100%) · USV 2 of 5 (40%)68.3%

ASD Castrumfavara: the bet landed in 5 of 5 at home · US Vibonese Calcio: the bet landed in 2 of 5 away · both last 10: 65% · ASD Castrumfavara: only games against sides at US Vibonese Calcio's level · US Vibonese Calcio: only games against sides at ASD Castrumfavara's level

US Vibonese Calcio or Over 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

USV 4 of 5 (80%) · ASD 4 of 5 (80%)59.8%

US Vibonese Calcio: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · ASD Castrumfavara: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · both last 10: 80% · US Vibonese Calcio: only games against sides at ASD Castrumfavara's level · ASD Castrumfavara: only games against sides at US Vibonese Calcio's level

US Vibonese Calcio (Draw No Bet)LEANPAGE ONLY

no price yet

USV 6 of 7 (86%) · ASD 6 of 8 (75%)54.6%

US Vibonese Calcio won 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · ASD Castrumfavara lost 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · both last 10: 80% · US Vibonese Calcio: only games against sides at ASD Castrumfavara's level · ASD Castrumfavara: only games against sides at US Vibonese Calcio's level · won 4, refunded 3, lost 3

GOALS

Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

ASD 5 of 5 (100%) · USV 5 of 5 (100%)92%

ASD Castrumfavara: over 0.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · US Vibonese Calcio: over 0.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 100% · ASD Castrumfavara: only games against sides at US Vibonese Calcio's level · US Vibonese Calcio: only games against sides at ASD Castrumfavara's level

Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

ASD 4 of 5 (80%) · USV 5 of 5 (100%)80.5%

ASD Castrumfavara: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home · US Vibonese Calcio: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 85% · ASD Castrumfavara: only games against sides at US Vibonese Calcio's level · US Vibonese Calcio: only games against sides at ASD Castrumfavara's level

BOTH TEAMS SCORE

Both Teams to Score - YesLEANPAGE ONLY

no price yet

ASD 3 of 5 (60%) · USV 3 of 5 (60%)35.6%

ASD Castrumfavara: both scored in 3 of 5 at home · US Vibonese Calcio: both scored in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 55% · ASD Castrumfavara: only games against sides at US Vibonese Calcio's level · US Vibonese Calcio: only games against sides at ASD Castrumfavara's level

ASD CASTRUMFAVARA GOALS

ASD Castrumfavara Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

ASD 4 of 5 (80%) · USV 3 of 5 (60%)53.3%

ASD Castrumfavara scored in 4 of 5 at home · US Vibonese Calcio conceded in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 60% · ASD Castrumfavara: only games against sides at US Vibonese Calcio's level · US Vibonese Calcio: only games against sides at ASD Castrumfavara's level

US VIBONESE CALCIO GOALS

US Vibonese Calcio Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

USV 5 of 5 (100%) · ASD 4 of 5 (80%)74.3%

US Vibonese Calcio scored in 5 of 5 away · ASD Castrumfavara conceded in 4 of 5 at home · both last 10: 95% · US Vibonese Calcio: only games against sides at ASD Castrumfavara's level · ASD Castrumfavara: only games against sides at US Vibonese Calcio's level

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 0–1 9.3%

ASD Castrumfavara goals →

US Vibonese Calcio goals ↓

0-08%

1-08%

2-06%

3-02%

4-00.7%

5-00.2%

0-19%

1-113%

2-18%

3-13%

4-11%

5-10.3%

0-27%

1-29%

2-25%

3-22%

4-20.7%

5-20.2%

0-33%

1-34%

2-32%

3-31.0%

4-30.3%

5-30.1%

0-41%

1-41%

2-40.8%

3-40.3%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.3%

1-50.4%

2-50.2%

3-50.1%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call).

FORM · LAST 10

ASD CASTRUMFAVARALDLWLLLDLW0.80 PPG

US VIBONESE CALCIOWWDDWWWLDW2.10 PPG

THE NUMBERS

ASD CASTRUMFAVARA HOMExUS VIBONESE CALCIO AWAY

1.10SCORED A GAME2.201.70CONCEDED A GAME0.9050%BOTH SCORED60%10%CLEAN SHEETS40%

THE BANK

THE QUALITY READ

0.88POINTS A GAME1.71-0.62GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.57–SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST–0.8LAST 5: POINTS A GAME2.28LEAGUE GAMES7

US Vibonese Calcio: the quality side - more points a game, a better goal difference, better form (last 5).

US VIBONESE CALCIO 0:2 HANDICAP

–

373 OF 433

PRICE NOT KEPT

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

87%

VERY GOOD · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

46%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

80%

NO · 85/90

ASD CASTRUMFAVARA OR DRAW

70%

NO · 80/85

US VIBONESE CALCIO OR DRAW

56%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (8 and 7 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

ASD CASTRUMFAVARAxUS VIBONESE CALCIO

5GAMES51.20SCORED A GAME1.802.40CONCEDED A GAME0.803.6GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.680%OVER 1.5 GOALS100%60%OVER 2.5 GOALS40%60%BOTH SCORE80%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

TRENDS

ASD Castrumfavara have scored in 60% of their games.

US Vibonese Calcio have scored in 100% of their games.

ASD Castrumfavara kept a clean sheet in 10% of their games.

US Vibonese Calcio kept a clean sheet in 40% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague table