Venda Nova FC MG vs Novo Esporte MG
Match details. Mineiro, Segunda Divisao. Kick-off is Sun 8 Nov, 14:00 Lagos time.
Form. Venda Nova FC MG have won four, drawn three and lost none of their last seven, 2.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W D W D. Novo Esporte MG have won three, drawn three and lost four of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D W W D.
The numbers. Venda Nova FC MG score 2.3 and concede 0.4 a game over their last seven, with four clean sheets. Venda Nova FC MG average 13.8 shots (6.0 on target), 3.2 corners and 2.6 cards a game. Novo Esporte MG score five and concede 2.4 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet and three games without a goal. Novo Esporte MG average 23.7 shots (14.3 on target), 4.8 corners and 3.8 cards a game.
The read. Venda Nova FC MG to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make Venda Nova FC MG the likelier winners; Venda Nova FC MG are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Venda Nova FC MG. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 56%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: Venda Nova FC MG 2-1 Novo Esporte MG (8% chance).
The agreed story. Venda Nova FC MG or the draw, an open game.
So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).