Victoria CF vs Racing de Santander

Match details. U19 Division de Honor Juvenil. Kick-off is Sun 8 Nov, 12:15 Lagos time.

Form. Victoria CF have won two, drawn one and lost five of their last eight, 0.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D W L L. Racing de Santander have won four, drawn two and lost four of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D W L L.

The numbers. Victoria CF score 1.2 and concede 2.2 a game over their last eight, with one clean sheet and three games without a goal. Victoria CF average 7.6 shots (3.8 on target), 3.6 corners and 2.2 cards a game. Racing de Santander score 2.2 and concede 2.2 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet. Racing de Santander average 12.3 shots (4.0 on target), 6.3 corners and 3.0 cards a game.

Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 71% against the records' 51%.

The read. No firm call: Racing de Santander are the better side, but not at this price. An open game. Their goals for and against make Racing de Santander the likelier winners; Racing de Santander are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Racing de Santander. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 78%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: Victoria CF 1-2 Racing de Santander (9% chance).

The agreed story. No side to back (Racing de Santander the favourite), an open game.

Cup and European games. A domestic cup: sides rotate, and the two can come from different divisions. Too few cup games on either side to read.

So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.