Match details. Es5, Group 14 - 10. Kick-off is Sun 8 Nov, 12:15 Lagos time.
What's at stake. EF Puebla de la Calzada are 6th on 14 points after 9 games, 3 points behind Villanovense, 1 point clear of Cabeza Buey. A win would take them level on points with Villanovense. CD Cabeza Del Buey are 7th on 13 points after 9 games, 1 point behind Puebla Calzada, 1 point clear of CD Zafra. A win would take them above Puebla Calzada.
Form. EF Puebla de la Calzada have won four, drawn two and lost four of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W L L D. CD Cabeza Del Buey have won four, drawn four and lost two of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D W D D.
The numbers. EF Puebla de la Calzada score 1.5 and concede 1.2 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets and two games without a goal. EF Puebla de la Calzada average 4.5 shots (0.5 on target), 2.5 corners and 0.2 cards a game, with 45% of the ball. CD Cabeza Del Buey score 1.5 and concede 1.2 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. CD Cabeza Del Buey average 5.8 shots (2.5 on target), 2.0 corners and 1.5 cards a game, with 43% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last two meetings EF Puebla de la Calzada have won none, drawn one and lost one. None of the two went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in none. The last time they met, on 10 May 2026, it finished EF Puebla de la Calzada 0-1 CD Cabeza Del Buey.
The case against. EF Puebla de la Calzada's record still gives them 20% to win.
The read. CD Cabeza Del Buey to win. An open game. CD Cabeza Del Buey are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour CD Cabeza Del Buey. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 55%.
The bets. Best bet: Draw or CD Cabeza Del Buey at 1.44, rated 80% (CD Cabeza Del Buey unbeaten in 8 of 10; EF Puebla de la Calzada failed to win 4 of 5). Backup: GG/NG 2+: No at 1.10. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Predicted score: EF Puebla de la Calzada 1-2 CD Cabeza Del Buey (8% chance).
The agreed story. CD Cabeza Del Buey or the draw, an open game.
So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).