Aris Filiaton vs AO Plataria

Match details. Gamma Ethniki, Group 6 - 7. Kick-off is Sun 8 Nov, 14:00 Lagos time.

What's at stake. Aris Filiaton are 8th on 6 points after 6 games, 1 point behind Plataria, 2 points clear of Agios Matthaios. A win would take them above Plataria. AO Plataria are 7th on 7 points after 6 games, 2 points behind Tilikratis, 1 point clear of Aris Filiates. A win would take them above Tilikratis.

Form. Aris Filiaton have won three, drawn one and lost six of their last ten, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W L L L. AO Plataria have won two, drawn one and lost three of their last six league games, 1.2 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: L L W L W.

The numbers. Aris Filiaton score 1.3 and concede 1.2 a game over their last ten, with four clean sheets and four games without a goal. Aris Filiaton average 11.2 shots (3.3 on target), 5.0 corners and 4.0 cards a game. AO Plataria score 0.7 and concede 1.3 a game over their last six, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. AO Plataria average 2.7 corners and 2.3 cards a game.

Where it pulls both ways. It pulls both ways: their goals for and against make Aris Filiaton the likelier winners, but Aris Filiaton are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour AO Plataria.

The read. No side to back. A tight game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 42%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: Aris Filiaton 1-1 AO Plataria (13% chance).

The agreed story. No side to back (Aris Filiaton the favourite), a tight game.

So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.