Montaneses FC vs Los Cabos United
Match details. Liga Primera Premier, Regular Season - 11. Kick-off is Sun 8 Nov, 19:00 Lagos time.
What's at stake. Montaneses FC are 14th on 10 points after 10 games, level on points with Los Cabos United, 2 points clear of H2O Purepechas. A win would take them above Los Cabos United. Los Cabos United are 13th on 10 points after 9 games, level on points with Cordobés, level on points with Montañeses. A win would take them above Cordobés.
Form. Montaneses FC have won two, drawn one and lost six of their last nine league games, 0.8 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: L L L W L. In this competition Montaneses FC have gone L L L W L W. Los Cabos United have won three, drawn one and lost six of their last ten, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D L L W.
The numbers. Montaneses FC score 1.4 and concede two a game in their last five at home, with no clean sheets. Montaneses FC average 3.1 corners and 2.6 cards a game. Los Cabos United score one and concede one a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets. Los Cabos United average 10.5 shots (3.7 on target), 4.3 corners and 2.2 cards a game.
The read. No side to back. An open game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side.
The bets. No best bet on this one: too close to call. Predicted score: Montaneses FC 1-1 Los Cabos United (13% chance).
The agreed story. No side to back (Los Cabos United the favourite), an open game.
The league run. Montaneses FC: lost their last two league games (L L L W L). Los Cabos United: lost their last two league games (L L L W W).
So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the Model's table).