SPAIN - SEGUNDA FEDERACION
18:00Sun 8 Nov
CFL
CL
Valencia CF Mestalla vs CF Lorca Deportiva
CLASS E
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Match details. Segunda Federacion. Kick-off is Sun 8 Nov, 18:00 Lagos time.
Form. Valencia CF Mestalla have won two, drawn three and lost five of their last ten, 0.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D L W L. CF Lorca Deportiva have won three, drawn three and lost four of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L D W L.
The numbers. Valencia CF Mestalla score 1.8 and concede 1.2 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet. Valencia CF Mestalla average 9.6 shots (4.4 on target), 5.4 corners and 3.0 cards a game. CF Lorca Deportiva score 1.2 and concede 1.6 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets and two games without a goal. CF Lorca Deportiva average 12.0 shots (4.7 on target), 4.9 corners and 3.0 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. It pulls both ways: their goals for and against make Valencia CF Mestalla the likelier winners, but CF Lorca Deportiva are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Valencia CF Mestalla.
The read. No side to back. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: Valencia CF Mestalla 3-0 CF Lorca Deportiva (12% chance).
The agreed story. No side to back (Valencia CF Mestalla the favourite), goals in between.
The league run. CF Lorca Deportiva: up and down in the league (W L D W L).
So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.
PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
Valencia CF Mestalla or Draw (1UP)PAGE ONLY
no price yet
VAL 5 of 5 (100%) · CFL 5 of 5 (100%)82%
Valencia CF Mestalla scored first 5 of last 5, led or was unbeaten in 5 · led or was unbeaten in 5 of 5 at home · CF Lorca Deportiva trailed or failed to win in 5 of 5 away · Valencia CF Mestalla: only games against sides at CF Lorca Deportiva's level · CF Lorca Deportiva: only games against sides at Valencia CF Mestalla's level
Valencia CF Mestalla 1UPPAGE ONLY
no price yet
VAL 5 of 5 (100%) · CFL 5 of 5 (100%)82%
Valencia CF Mestalla scored first 5 of last 5, led in 5 · led in 5 of 5 at home · CF Lorca Deportiva trailed in 5 of 5 away · Valencia CF Mestalla: only games against sides at CF Lorca Deportiva's level · CF Lorca Deportiva: only games against sides at Valencia CF Mestalla's level
Double Chance: Valencia CF Mestalla or DrawIN CODES
1.29
VAL 4 of 5 (80%) · CFL 4 of 5 (80%)73.4%
Valencia CF Mestalla unbeaten in 4 of 5 at home · CF Lorca Deportiva failed to win 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 60% · Valencia CF Mestalla: only games against sides at CF Lorca Deportiva's level · CF Lorca Deportiva: only games against sides at Valencia CF Mestalla's level
Valencia CF Mestalla or Both Teams ScorePAGE ONLY
no price yet
VAL 5 of 5 (100%) · CFL 5 of 5 (100%)68.5%
Valencia CF Mestalla: the bet landed in 5 of 5 at home · CF Lorca Deportiva: the bet landed in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 70% · Valencia CF Mestalla: only games against sides at CF Lorca Deportiva's level · CF Lorca Deportiva: only games against sides at Valencia CF Mestalla's level
Double Chance: Valencia CF Mestalla or CF Lorca DeportivaIN CODES
1.28
VAL 3 of 5 (60%) · CFL 5 of 5 (100%)67.9%
Valencia CF Mestalla: the bet landed in 3 of 5 at home · CF Lorca Deportiva: the bet landed in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 70% · Valencia CF Mestalla: only games against sides at CF Lorca Deportiva's level · CF Lorca Deportiva: only games against sides at Valencia CF Mestalla's level
Valencia CF Mestalla or Under 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
VAL 4 of 5 (80%) · CFL 4 of 5 (80%)62%
Valencia CF Mestalla: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · CF Lorca Deportiva: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 80% · Valencia CF Mestalla: only games against sides at CF Lorca Deportiva's level · CF Lorca Deportiva: only games against sides at Valencia CF Mestalla's level
Valencia CF Mestalla or Over 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
VAL 3 of 5 (60%) · CFL 5 of 5 (100%)51%
Valencia CF Mestalla: the bet landed in 3 of 5 at home · CF Lorca Deportiva: the bet landed in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 50% · Valencia CF Mestalla: only games against sides at CF Lorca Deportiva's level · CF Lorca Deportiva: only games against sides at Valencia CF Mestalla's level
Draw or Over 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
VAL 5 of 5 (100%) · CFL 3 of 5 (60%)35.4%
Valencia CF Mestalla: the bet landed in 5 of 5 at home · CF Lorca Deportiva: the bet landed in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 65% · Valencia CF Mestalla: only games against sides at CF Lorca Deportiva's level · CF Lorca Deportiva: only games against sides at Valencia CF Mestalla's level
GOALS
Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
VAL 5 of 5 (100%) · CFL 5 of 5 (100%)95.3%
Valencia CF Mestalla: over 0.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · CF Lorca Deportiva: over 0.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 95% · Valencia CF Mestalla: only games against sides at CF Lorca Deportiva's level · CF Lorca Deportiva: only games against sides at Valencia CF Mestalla's level
Under 4.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
VAL 4 of 5 (80%) · CFL 4 of 5 (80%)83.1%
Valencia CF Mestalla: under 4.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home · CF Lorca Deportiva: under 4.5 goals in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 85% · Valencia CF Mestalla: only games against sides at CF Lorca Deportiva's level · CF Lorca Deportiva: only games against sides at Valencia CF Mestalla's level
Under 3.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
VAL 4 of 5 (80%) · CFL 3 of 5 (60%)66%
Valencia CF Mestalla: under 3.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home · CF Lorca Deportiva: under 3.5 goals in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 75% · Valencia CF Mestalla: only games against sides at CF Lorca Deportiva's level · CF Lorca Deportiva: only games against sides at Valencia CF Mestalla's level
Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
VAL 5 of 5 (100%) · CFL 3 of 5 (60%)61.1%
Valencia CF Mestalla: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · CF Lorca Deportiva: over 1.5 goals in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 70% · Valencia CF Mestalla: only games against sides at CF Lorca Deportiva's level · CF Lorca Deportiva: only games against sides at Valencia CF Mestalla's level
VALENCIA CF MESTALLA GOALS
Valencia CF Mestalla Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
VAL 5 of 5 (100%) · CFL 5 of 5 (100%)74.3%
Valencia CF Mestalla scored in 5 of 5 at home · CF Lorca Deportiva conceded in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 70% · Valencia CF Mestalla: only games against sides at CF Lorca Deportiva's level · CF Lorca Deportiva: only games against sides at Valencia CF Mestalla's level
HALVES
1st Half Under 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
VAL 4 of 5 (80%) · CFL 5 of 5 (100%)90%
Valencia CF Mestalla: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · CF Lorca Deportiva: the bet landed in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 90% · on half-time scores · Valencia CF Mestalla: only games against sides at CF Lorca Deportiva's level · CF Lorca Deportiva: only games against sides at Valencia CF Mestalla's level
1st Half CF Lorca Deportiva to Win to Nil: NoPAGE ONLY
1.20
VAL 5 of 5 (100%) · CFL 4 of 5 (80%)83.3%
Valencia CF Mestalla: the bet landed in 5 of 5 at home · CF Lorca Deportiva: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 70% · on half-time scores · Valencia CF Mestalla: only games against sides at CF Lorca Deportiva's level · CF Lorca Deportiva: only games against sides at Valencia CF Mestalla's level
1st Half Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
VAL 5 of 5 (100%) · CFL 3 of 5 (60%)78.3%
Valencia CF Mestalla: the bet landed in 5 of 5 at home · CF Lorca Deportiva: the bet landed in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 75% · on half-time scores · Valencia CF Mestalla: only games against sides at CF Lorca Deportiva's level · CF Lorca Deportiva: only games against sides at Valencia CF Mestalla's level
1st Half Under 1.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
VAL 2 of 5 (40%) · CFL 5 of 5 (100%)69%
Valencia CF Mestalla: the bet landed in 2 of 5 at home · CF Lorca Deportiva: the bet landed in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 75% · on half-time scores · Valencia CF Mestalla: only games against sides at CF Lorca Deportiva's level · CF Lorca Deportiva: only games against sides at Valencia CF Mestalla's level
CORNERS
Over 6.5 CornersPAGE ONLY
no price yet
VAL 5 of 5 (100%) · CFL 4 of 5 (80%)87.8%
Valencia CF Mestalla's games: over 6.5 corners in 5 of 5 at home · CF Lorca Deportiva's games: over 6.5 corners in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 83% · Valencia CF Mestalla: only games against sides at CF Lorca Deportiva's level · CF Lorca Deportiva: only games against sides at Valencia CF Mestalla's level
CARDS
Over 3.5 CardsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
VAL 5 of 5 (100%) · CFL 4 of 5 (80%)91.5%
Valencia CF Mestalla's games: over 3.5 cards in 5 of 5 at home · CF Lorca Deportiva's games: over 3.5 cards in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 94% · Valencia CF Mestalla: only games against sides at CF Lorca Deportiva's level · CF Lorca Deportiva: only games against sides at Valencia CF Mestalla's level
Left off the list: CF Lorca Deportiva or Under 2.5 Goals (the numbers (42%) and the records (65%) are on opposite sides, and nothing settles it)
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 3–0 12.3%
Valencia CF Mestalla goals →
CF Lorca Deportiva goals ↓
0-05%
1-011%
2-014%
3-012%
4-08%
5-04%
0-12%
1-17%
2-18%
3-17%
4-14%
5-12%
0-20.7%
1-22%
2-22%
3-22%
4-21%
5-20.6%
0-30.1%
1-30.3%
2-30.4%
3-30.4%
4-30.2%
5-30.1%
0-40.0%
1-40.0%
2-40.1%
3-40.1%
4-40.0%
5-40.0%
0-50.0%
1-50.0%
2-50.0%
3-50.0%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).
FORM · LAST 10
VALENCIA CF MESTALLAWLDLLLWLDD0.90 PPG
CF LORCA DEPORTIVALDLDWLWDLW1.20 PPG
THE NUMBERS
VALENCIA CF MESTALLA HOMExCF LORCA DEPORTIVA AWAY
1.10SCORED A GAME1.201.50CONCEDED A GAME1.1010%CLEAN SHEETS30%5.38CORNERS A GAME4.893.00CARDS A GAME3.00
THE BANK
THE BANKER MENU
OVER 1.5 CARDS
–
543 OF 573
PRICE NOT KEPT
Both sides' last 5 games point to 5.2+ cards.
Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
70%
NO · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
22%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
94%
VERY GOOD · 85/90
VALENCIA CF MESTALLA OR DRAW
83%
OKAY · 80/85
CF LORCA DEPORTIVA OR DRAW
56%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (4 and 9 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
TRENDS
Valencia CF Mestalla have scored in 70% of their games.
CF Lorca Deportiva have scored in 70% of their games.
Valencia CF Mestalla kept a clean sheet in 10% of their games.
CF Lorca Deportiva kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards