THE READ
Match details. Tercera Federacion, Group 2. Kick-off is Sun 8 Nov, 17:30 Lagos time.
Form. Caudal Deportivo have won five, drawn three and lost one of their last nine league games, 2.0 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: W W D D D. CD Llanes have won one, drawn four and lost five of their last ten league games, 0.7 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: W L D L D.
The numbers. Caudal Deportivo score 1.3 and concede 0.9 a game over their last nine, with four clean sheets and two games without a goal. Caudal Deportivo average 10.8 shots (4.6 on target), 4.3 corners and 2.0 cards a game. CD Llanes score 0.6 and concede 1.6 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets and two games without a goal. CD Llanes average 8.0 shots (3.3 on target), 3.0 corners and 3.7 cards a game.
The read. Caudal Deportivo to win. A tight game. Their goals for and against make Caudal Deportivo the likelier winners; Caudal Deportivo are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Caudal Deportivo. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 42%.
The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.42, rated 83% (Caudal Deportivo: under 3.5 goals in 8 of 9; CD Llanes: under 3.5 goals in 4 of 5 away). Full cover: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.20. Whenever the best bet loses, this one wins. Predicted score: Caudal Deportivo 1-0 CD Llanes (13% chance).
The agreed story. Caudal Deportivo or the draw, a tight game.
So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.
PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
Caudal Deportivo or Under 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CAU 8 of 9 (89%) · CDL 5 of 5 (100%)85.1%
Caudal Deportivo: the bet landed in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · CD Llanes: the bet landed in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 89% · Caudal Deportivo: only games against sides at CD Llanes's level · CD Llanes: only games against sides at Caudal Deportivo's level
CD Llanes (0:2 handicap)HELD · the odds board 54%
1.85
CDL 4 of 5 (80%) · CAU 7 of 9 (78%)78.9%
CD Llanes: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · Caudal Deportivo: the bet landed in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 79% · CD Llanes: only games against sides at Caudal Deportivo's level · Caudal Deportivo: only games against sides at CD Llanes's level
Caudal Deportivo or Both Teams ScorePAGE ONLY
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CAU 7 of 9 (78%) · CDL 5 of 5 (100%)69.2%
Caudal Deportivo: the bet landed in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · CD Llanes: the bet landed in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 84% · Caudal Deportivo: only games against sides at CD Llanes's level · CD Llanes: only games against sides at Caudal Deportivo's level
Draw or Over 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CAU 7 of 9 (78%) · CDL 3 of 5 (60%)52.6%
Caudal Deportivo: the bet landed in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · CD Llanes: the bet landed in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 74% · Caudal Deportivo: only games against sides at CD Llanes's level · CD Llanes: only games against sides at Caudal Deportivo's level
Caudal Deportivo or Over 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
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CAU 6 of 9 (67%) · CDL 4 of 5 (80%)52%
Caudal Deportivo: the bet landed in 6 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · CD Llanes: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 63% · Caudal Deportivo: only games against sides at CD Llanes's level · CD Llanes: only games against sides at Caudal Deportivo's level
Caudal Deportivo or Draw & Over 1.5LEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CAU 6 of 9 (67%) · CDL 3 of 5 (60%)41.4%
Caudal Deportivo: the bet landed in 6 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · CD Llanes: the bet landed in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 68% · Caudal Deportivo: only games against sides at CD Llanes's level · CD Llanes: only games against sides at Caudal Deportivo's level
GOALS
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CAU 9 of 9 (100%) · CDL 5 of 5 (100%)97%
Caudal Deportivo: under 4.5 goals in 9 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · CD Llanes: under 4.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 95% · Caudal Deportivo: only games against sides at CD Llanes's level · CD Llanes: only games against sides at Caudal Deportivo's level
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CAU 9 of 9 (100%) · CDL 5 of 5 (100%)97%
Caudal Deportivo: under 5.5 goals in 9 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · CD Llanes: under 5.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 95% · Caudal Deportivo: only games against sides at CD Llanes's level · CD Llanes: only games against sides at Caudal Deportivo's level
Under 3.5 GoalsMAININ CODES
1.42
CAU 8 of 9 (89%) · CDL 4 of 5 (80%)83.8%
Caudal Deportivo: under 3.5 goals in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · CD Llanes: under 3.5 goals in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 79% · Caudal Deportivo: only games against sides at CD Llanes's level · CD Llanes: only games against sides at Caudal Deportivo's level
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CAU 8 of 9 (89%) · CDL 5 of 5 (100%)76.4%
Caudal Deportivo: over 0.5 goals in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · CD Llanes: over 0.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 94% · Caudal Deportivo: only games against sides at CD Llanes's level · CD Llanes: only games against sides at Caudal Deportivo's level
Over 1.5 GoalsFULL COVERHELD · the odds board 83%
1.20
CAU 7 of 9 (78%) · CDL 3 of 5 (60%)52.6%
Caudal Deportivo: over 1.5 goals in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · CD Llanes: over 1.5 goals in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 74% · Caudal Deportivo: only games against sides at CD Llanes's level · CD Llanes: only games against sides at Caudal Deportivo's level
CAUDAL DEPORTIVO GOALS
Caudal Deportivo Under 2.5 goalsHELD · the odds board 65%
1.53
CAU 8 of 9 (89%) · CDL 4 of 5 (80%)85.4%
Caudal Deportivo scored under 2.5 in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · CD Llanes conceded under 2.5 in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 84% · Caudal Deportivo: only games against sides at CD Llanes's level · CD Llanes: only games against sides at Caudal Deportivo's level
Caudal Deportivo Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
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CAU 7 of 9 (78%) · CDL 5 of 5 (100%)69.2%
Caudal Deportivo scored in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · CD Llanes conceded in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 84% · Caudal Deportivo: only games against sides at CD Llanes's level · CD Llanes: only games against sides at Caudal Deportivo's level
CD LLANES GOALS
CD Llanes Over 0.5 goalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.91
CDL 3 of 5 (60%) · CAU 5 of 9 (56%)43.1%
CD Llanes scored in 3 of 5 away · Caudal Deportivo conceded in 5 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 68% · CD Llanes: only games against sides at Caudal Deportivo's level · Caudal Deportivo: only games against sides at CD Llanes's level
Left off the list: Both Teams to Score - Yes (the numbers (47%) and the records (54%) are on opposite sides, and nothing settles it); Caudal Deportivo to Win (the numbers (50%) and the records (63%) are on opposite sides, and nothing settles it)
TRENDS
Caudal Deportivo have scored in 80% of their games.
CD Llanes have scored in 80% of their games.
Caudal Deportivo kept a clean sheet in 40% of their games.
CD Llanes kept a clean sheet in 10% of their games.