THE READ
Match details. Tercera Federacion, Group 2. Kick-off is Sun 8 Nov, 16:45 Lagos time.
Form. CD Mosconia have won four, drawn three and lost two of their last nine league games, 1.7 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: L W L D D. Sporting Atletico have won six, drawn two and lost one of their last nine league games, 2.2 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: L W W D D.
The numbers. CD Mosconia score 1.7 and concede 1.4 a game over their last nine, with four clean sheets and three games without a goal. CD Mosconia average 9.9 shots (5.0 on target), 4.2 corners and 1.6 cards a game. Sporting Atletico score 1.8 and concede 0.9 a game over their last nine, with two clean sheets. Sporting Atletico average 12.7 shots (6.7 on target), 5.7 corners and 2.7 cards a game.
The case against. CD Mosconia's record still gives them 25% to win.
The read. Sporting Atletico to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make Sporting Atletico the likelier winners; Sporting Atletico are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Sporting Atletico. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 55%.
The bets. Best bet: Draw or Sporting Atletico at 1.29, rated 75% (Sporting Atletico unbeaten in 9 of 10; CD Mosconia failed to win 6 of 10). Full cover: CD Mosconia Over 0.5 Goals at 1.36. Whenever the best bet loses, this one wins. Predicted score: CD Mosconia 1-2 Sporting Atletico (9% chance).
The agreed story. Sporting Atletico or the draw, an open game.
So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.
PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
CD Mosconia (2:0 handicap)PAGE ONLY
no price yet
CDM 8 of 10 (80%) · SPO 8 of 10 (80%)80%
CD Mosconia: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Sporting Atletico: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 80% · CD Mosconia: only games against sides at Sporting Atletico's level · Sporting Atletico: only games against sides at CD Mosconia's level
Sporting Atletico or Draw (1UP)PAGE ONLY
no price yet
SPO 4 of 5 (80%) · CDM 6 of 7 (86%)77.1%
Sporting Atletico scored first 4 of last 5, led or was unbeaten in 4 · led or was unbeaten in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · CD Mosconia trailed or failed to win in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Sporting Atletico: only games against sides at CD Mosconia's level · CD Mosconia: only games against sides at Sporting Atletico's level
Double Chance: Draw or Sporting AtleticoMAININ CODES
1.29
SPO 9 of 10 (90%) · CDM 6 of 10 (60%)76%
Sporting Atletico unbeaten in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · CD Mosconia failed to win 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75% · Sporting Atletico: only games against sides at CD Mosconia's level · CD Mosconia: only games against sides at Sporting Atletico's level
Draw or Over 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CDM 8 of 10 (80%) · SPO 8 of 10 (80%)72.2%
CD Mosconia: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Sporting Atletico: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 80% · CD Mosconia: only games against sides at Sporting Atletico's level · Sporting Atletico: only games against sides at CD Mosconia's level
Sporting Atletico (Draw No Bet)LEANPAGE ONLY
1.53
SPO 6 of 7 (86%) · CDM 3 of 7 (43%)65.3%
Sporting Atletico won 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · CD Mosconia lost 3 of 7 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · both last 10: 64% · Sporting Atletico: only games against sides at CD Mosconia's level · CD Mosconia: only games against sides at Sporting Atletico's level · won 3, refunded 2, lost 3
Sporting Atletico or Over 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
SPO 6 of 10 (60%) · CDM 6 of 10 (60%)61%
Sporting Atletico: the bet landed in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · CD Mosconia: the bet landed in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 60% · Sporting Atletico: only games against sides at CD Mosconia's level · CD Mosconia: only games against sides at Sporting Atletico's level
Sporting Atletico 1UPLEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
SPO 4 of 5 (80%) · CDM 5 of 7 (71%)40.8%
Sporting Atletico scored first 4 of last 5, led in 4 · led in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · CD Mosconia trailed in 2 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Sporting Atletico: only games against sides at CD Mosconia's level · CD Mosconia: only games against sides at Sporting Atletico's level
GOALS
no price yet
CDM 8 of 10 (80%) · SPO 9 of 10 (90%)85%
CD Mosconia: over 0.5 goals in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Sporting Atletico: over 0.5 goals in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 85% · CD Mosconia: only games against sides at Sporting Atletico's level · Sporting Atletico: only games against sides at CD Mosconia's level
1.28
CDM 7 of 10 (70%) · SPO 8 of 10 (80%)76%
CD Mosconia: over 1.5 goals in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Sporting Atletico: over 1.5 goals in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75% · CD Mosconia: only games against sides at Sporting Atletico's level · Sporting Atletico: only games against sides at CD Mosconia's level
BOTH TEAMS SCORE
Both Teams to Score - YesLEANHELD · the odds board 59%
1.70
CDM 5 of 10 (50%) · SPO 6 of 10 (60%)37%
CD Mosconia: both scored in 5 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Sporting Atletico: both scored in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 55% · CD Mosconia: only games against sides at Sporting Atletico's level · Sporting Atletico: only games against sides at CD Mosconia's level
CD MOSCONIA GOALS
CD Mosconia Over 0.5 goalsFULL COVERHELD · the odds board 74%
1.36
CDM 7 of 10 (70%) · SPO 7 of 10 (70%)52%
CD Mosconia scored in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Sporting Atletico conceded in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 70% · CD Mosconia: only games against sides at Sporting Atletico's level · Sporting Atletico: only games against sides at CD Mosconia's level
SPORTING ATLETICO GOALS
Sporting Atletico Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
SPO 8 of 10 (80%) · CDM 6 of 10 (60%)70%
Sporting Atletico scored in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · CD Mosconia conceded in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 70% · Sporting Atletico: only games against sides at CD Mosconia's level · CD Mosconia: only games against sides at Sporting Atletico's level
CARDS
no price yet
CDM 5 of 8 (62%) · SPO 6 of 7 (86%)74.1%
CD Mosconia's games: over 3.5 cards in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Sporting Atletico's games: over 3.5 cards in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 74% · CD Mosconia: only games against sides at Sporting Atletico's level · Sporting Atletico: only games against sides at CD Mosconia's level
OTHER
1.11
CDM 8 of 10 (80%) · SPO 10 of 10 (100%)72%
CD Mosconia: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Sporting Atletico: the bet landed in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 90% · CD Mosconia: only games against sides at Sporting Atletico's level · Sporting Atletico: only games against sides at CD Mosconia's level
Left off the list: Over 6.5 Corners (the numbers (51%) and the records (74%) are 23 points apart, and nothing settles it)