Match details. Tercera Federacion, Group 15. Kick-off is Sun 8 Nov, 16:00 Lagos time.
Form. CD Cantolagua have won three, drawn one and lost six of their last ten league games, 1.0 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: W W L L L. CD Cortes Navarre have won one, drawn three and lost six of their last ten league games, 0.6 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: D L L D L.
The numbers. CD Cantolagua score 1.2 and concede 1.6 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. CD Cantolagua average 8.0 shots (3.0 on target), 4.0 corners and 5.0 cards a game. CD Cortes Navarre score 0.4 and concede 2.4 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet and three games without a goal. CD Cortes Navarre average 1.0 corners and 0.0 cards a game.
The case against. CD Cortes Navarre's record still gives them 25% to win.
The read. CD Cantolagua to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make CD Cantolagua the likelier winners; CD Cantolagua are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour CD Cantolagua. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 57%.
The bets. Best bet: CD Cantolagua or Draw at 1.42, rated 75% (CD Cantolagua unbeaten in 3 of 5 at home; CD Cortes Navarre failed to win 5 of 5 away). The safer one: CD Cantolagua or CD Cortes Navarre at 1.31 (80%). Predicted score: CD Cantolagua 2-1 CD Cortes Navarre (10% chance).
The agreed story. CD Cantolagua or the draw, an open game.
So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).