CD Illescas vs UD Almansa
Match details. Tercera Federacion, Group 18. Kick-off is Sun 8 Nov, 12:00 Lagos time.
Form. CD Illescas have won four, drawn three and lost three of their last ten league games, 1.5 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: L L L W W. UD Almansa have won four, drawn three and lost three of their last ten league games, 1.5 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: D L D W L.
The numbers. CD Illescas score 0.6 and concede 0.2 a game in their last five at home, with four clean sheets and three games without a goal. CD Illescas average 11.0 shots (4.5 on target), 5.2 corners and 3.5 cards a game. UD Almansa score one and concede 1.2 a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets and three games without a goal. UD Almansa average 11.0 shots (4.2 on target), 4.9 corners and 3.8 cards a game.
The read. No side to back. A tight game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 28%.
The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.26, rated 83% (CD Illescas: under 3.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home; UD Almansa: under 3.5 goals in 4 of 5 away). Backup: CD Illescas Under 1.5 Goals at 1.77. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Predicted score: CD Illescas 0-0 UD Almansa (17% chance).
The agreed story. No side to back (CD Illescas the favourite), a tight game.
So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).