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BRAZIL - COPA SANTA CATARINA
CN Marcilio Dias SC crestCMCNM
21:00Sun 8 Nov
FIGFigueirense FC SC crestFF

CN Marcilio Dias SC vs Figueirense FC SC

CLASS D
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THE READ

Match details. Copa Santa Catarina, Semi-finals. Kick-off is Sun 8 Nov, 21:00 Lagos time.

What's at stake. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.

Form. CN Marcilio Dias SC have won three, drawn five and lost two of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D D D W. Figueirense FC SC have won six, drawn three and lost one of their last ten, 2.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W D W W.

The numbers. CN Marcilio Dias SC score 2.6 and concede 1.8 a game in their last five at home, with no clean sheets. CN Marcilio Dias SC average 6.7 shots (2.9 on target), 3.8 corners and 3.7 cards a game. Figueirense FC SC score 1.4 and concede 1.2 a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets. Figueirense FC SC average 11.4 shots (4.4 on target), 6.8 corners and 2.5 cards a game.

Head to head. In the last nine meetings CN Marcilio Dias SC have won four, drawn two and lost three. Six of the nine went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in five. In the last four, CN Marcilio Dias SC won two, one was drawn and Figueirense FC SC won one. The last time they met, on 16 Oct 2026, it finished CN Marcilio Dias SC 2-2 Figueirense FC SC.

The read. A draw. An open game. Little separates them, and both sides draw often. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 63%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: CN Marcilio Dias SC 2-2 Figueirense FC SC (7% chance).

The agreed story. No side to back (CN Marcilio Dias SC the favourite), an open game.

Cup and European games. A domestic cup: sides rotate, and the two can come from different divisions. CN Marcilio Dias SC in their last cup games: drew 2-2 v Barra FC SC. Figueirense FC SC in their last cup games: lost 2-3 at Blumenau EC SC, won 1-0 v Joinville EC SC. Too few cup games to judge the side from.

So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.

PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
CN Marcilio Dias SC (2:0 handicap)PAGE ONLY
no price yet
CNM 5 of 5 (100%) · FIG 5 of 5 (100%)97%
CN Marcilio Dias SC: the bet landed in 5 of 5 at home · Figueirense FC SC: the bet landed in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 95%
Draw or Over 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CNM 5 of 5 (100%) · FIG 4 of 5 (80%)79.9%
CN Marcilio Dias SC: the bet landed in 5 of 5 at home · Figueirense FC SC: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 75%
CN Marcilio Dias SC or Draw (1UP)PAGE ONLY
no price yet
CNM 5 of 5 (100%) · FIG 5 of 5 (100%)68.7%
CN Marcilio Dias SC scored first 4 of last 5, led or was unbeaten in 5 · led or was unbeaten in 5 of 5 at home · Figueirense FC SC trailed or failed to win in 3 of 5 away
Figueirense FC SC or Over 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
FIG 4 of 5 (80%) · CNM 4 of 5 (80%)60.3%
Figueirense FC SC: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · CN Marcilio Dias SC: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · both last 10: 75%
CN Marcilio Dias SC or Both Teams ScorePAGE ONLY
no price yet
CNM 5 of 5 (100%) · FIG 3 of 5 (60%)57%
CN Marcilio Dias SC: the bet landed in 5 of 5 at home · Figueirense FC SC: the bet landed in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 65%
Double Chance: Draw or Figueirense FC SCIN CODES
1.46
FIG 4 of 5 (80%) · CNM 3 of 5 (60%)55.3%
Figueirense FC SC unbeaten in 4 of 5 away · CN Marcilio Dias SC failed to win 3 of 5 at home · both last 10: 80%
Double Chance: CN Marcilio Dias SC or DrawIN CODES
1.36
CNM 5 of 5 (100%) · FIG 3 of 5 (60%)55.3%
CN Marcilio Dias SC unbeaten in 5 of 5 at home · Figueirense FC SC failed to win 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 60%
CN Marcilio Dias SC 1UPLEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CNM 4 of 5 (80%) · FIG 4 of 5 (80%)48.7%
CN Marcilio Dias SC scored first 4 of last 5, led in 4 · led in 4 of 5 at home · Figueirense FC SC trailed in 2 of 5 away
GOALS
Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CNM 5 of 5 (100%) · FIG 4 of 5 (80%)90%
CN Marcilio Dias SC: over 0.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · Figueirense FC SC: over 0.5 goals in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 90%
Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CNM 5 of 5 (100%) · FIG 3 of 5 (60%)77.7%
CN Marcilio Dias SC: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · Figueirense FC SC: over 1.5 goals in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 70%
BOTH TEAMS SCORE
Both Teams to Score - YesPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CNM 5 of 5 (100%) · FIG 3 of 5 (60%)76%
CN Marcilio Dias SC: both scored in 5 of 5 at home · Figueirense FC SC: both scored in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 65%
CN MARCILIO DIAS SC GOALS
CN Marcilio Dias SC Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CNM 5 of 5 (100%) · FIG 3 of 5 (60%)75%
CN Marcilio Dias SC scored in 5 of 5 at home · Figueirense FC SC conceded in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 65%
FIGUEIRENSE FC SC GOALS
Figueirense FC SC Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
FIG 4 of 5 (80%) · CNM 5 of 5 (100%)90%
Figueirense FC SC scored in 4 of 5 away · CN Marcilio Dias SC conceded in 5 of 5 at home · both last 10: 90%
HALVES
1st Half Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CNM 5 of 5 (100%) · FIG 3 of 5 (60%)75%
CN Marcilio Dias SC: the bet landed in 5 of 5 at home · Figueirense FC SC: the bet landed in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 65% · on half-time scores
CORNERS
Over 7.5 CornersPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CNM 3 of 5 (60%) · FIG 5 of 5 (100%)77.6%
CN Marcilio Dias SC's games: over 7.5 corners in 3 of 5 at home · Figueirense FC SC's games: over 7.5 corners in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 73%
CARDS
Over 2.5 CardsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CNM 5 of 5 (100%) · FIG 4 of 5 (80%)91.7%
CN Marcilio Dias SC's games: over 2.5 cards in 5 of 5 at home · Figueirense FC SC's games: over 2.5 cards in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 95%
Left off the list: Figueirense FC SC (Draw No Bet) (the numbers (44%) and the records (63%) are on opposite sides, and nothing settles it); Figueirense FC SC or Draw (1UP) (the numbers (66%) and the records (87%) are 20 points apart, and nothing settles it); Figueirense FC SC Over 1.5 Goals (the numbers (46%) and the records (65%) are on opposite sides, and nothing settles it)
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 2–2 6.8%
CN Marcilio Dias SC goals →
Figueirense FC SC goals ↓
0-04%
1-06%
2-06%
3-03%
4-01%
5-00.5%
0-15%
1-111%
2-19%
3-15%
4-12%
5-10.8%
0-24%
1-28%
2-27%
3-24%
4-22%
5-20.6%
0-32%
1-34%
2-33%
3-32%
4-30.9%
5-30.3%
0-40.9%
1-42%
2-41%
3-40.8%
4-40.3%
5-40.1%
0-50.3%
1-50.5%
2-50.4%
3-50.2%
4-50.1%
5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).

FORM · LAST 10
CN MARCILIO DIAS SCDLWWLWDDDD1.40 PPG
FIGUEIRENSE FC SCDWDWWWWDWL2.10 PPG
THE NUMBERS
CN MARCILIO DIAS SC HOMExFIGUEIRENSE FC SC AWAY
2.00SCORED A GAME1.301.60CONCEDED A GAME0.8010%CLEAN SHEETS50%12%FAILED TO SCORE0%3.78CORNERS A GAME6.803.67CARDS A GAME2.50
HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 9
CN MARCILIO DIAS SC 4 · 44%DRAW 2FIGUEIRENSE FC SC 3 · 33%
5 of 9BOTH TEAMS SCORED
6 of 9OVER 1.5 GOALS
6 of 9OVER 2.5 GOALS
2 of 9OVER 3.5 GOALS
2025-02-22CN Marcilio Dias SC 2 – 1 Figueirense FC SC
2025-09-15CN Marcilio Dias SC 1 – 2 Figueirense FC SC
2025-10-04CN Marcilio Dias SC 2 – 2 Figueirense FC SC
2025-11-02CN Marcilio Dias SC 0 – 3 Figueirense FC SC
2025-11-09CN Marcilio Dias SC 2 – 1 Figueirense FC SC
2026-01-10CN Marcilio Dias SC 0 – 1 Figueirense FC SC
2026-02-13CN Marcilio Dias SC 1 – 0 Figueirense FC SC
2026-02-20CN Marcilio Dias SC 1 – 0 Figueirense FC SC
TRENDS
CN Marcilio Dias SC have scored in 80% of their games.
Figueirense FC SC have scored in 90% of their games.
CN Marcilio Dias SC kept a clean sheet in 10% of their games.
Figueirense FC SC kept a clean sheet in 50% of their games.
BUILT FROM
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