Match details. National League, Women. Kick-off is Sun 8 Nov, 04:30 Lagos time.
Form. Fencibles Utd have won three, drawn none and lost three of their last six, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L W L W. Wellington Phoenix have won four, drawn one and lost five of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W L L W.
The numbers. Fencibles Utd score 1.5 and concede 1.7 a game over their last six, with three clean sheets. Wellington Phoenix score 1.4 and concede 2.8 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 76% against the records' 50%.
The read. No firm call: Fencibles Utd are the better side, but not at this price. An open game. Their goals for and against make Fencibles Utd the likelier winners; Fencibles Utd are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Fencibles Utd. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 77%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: Fencibles Utd 2-1 Wellington Phoenix (9% chance).
The agreed story. No side to back (Fencibles Utd the favourite), an open game.
Cup and European games. A domestic cup: sides rotate, and the two can come from different divisions. Too few cup games on either side to read.
So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.
PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
Draw or Over 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
FEN 4 of 6 (67%) · WEL 7 of 8 (88%)78.1%
Fencibles Utd: the bet landed in 4 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Wellington Phoenix: the bet landed in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 77% · Fencibles Utd: only games against sides at Wellington Phoenix's level · Wellington Phoenix: only games against sides at Fencibles Utd's level
Double Chance: Fencibles Utd or Wellington PhoenixIN CODES
1.12
FEN 6 of 6 (100%) · WEL 7 of 8 (88%)75.8%
Fencibles Utd: the bet landed in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Wellington Phoenix: the bet landed in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 94% · Fencibles Utd: only games against sides at Wellington Phoenix's level · Wellington Phoenix: only games against sides at Fencibles Utd's level
Fencibles Utd or Both Teams ScorePAGE ONLY
no price yet
FEN 5 of 6 (83%) · WEL 8 of 8 (100%)73.7%
Fencibles Utd: the bet landed in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Wellington Phoenix: the bet landed in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 92% · Fencibles Utd: only games against sides at Wellington Phoenix's level · Wellington Phoenix: only games against sides at Fencibles Utd's level
Wellington Phoenix or Over 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
WEL 7 of 8 (88%) · FEN 4 of 6 (67%)59.1%
Wellington Phoenix: the bet landed in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Fencibles Utd: the bet landed in 4 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 77% · Wellington Phoenix: only games against sides at Fencibles Utd's level · Fencibles Utd: only games against sides at Wellington Phoenix's level
GOALS
Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
FEN 6 of 6 (100%) · WEL 8 of 8 (100%)97%
Fencibles Utd: over 0.5 goals in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Wellington Phoenix: over 0.5 goals in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · Fencibles Utd: only games against sides at Wellington Phoenix's level · Wellington Phoenix: only games against sides at Fencibles Utd's level
Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
FEN 5 of 6 (83%) · WEL 8 of 8 (100%)92.7%
Fencibles Utd: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Wellington Phoenix: over 1.5 goals in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 92% · Fencibles Utd: only games against sides at Wellington Phoenix's level · Wellington Phoenix: only games against sides at Fencibles Utd's level
Over 2.5 GoalsIN CODES
1.26
FEN 4 of 6 (67%) · WEL 7 of 8 (88%)78.1%
Fencibles Utd: over 2.5 goals in 4 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Wellington Phoenix: over 2.5 goals in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 77% · Fencibles Utd: only games against sides at Wellington Phoenix's level · Wellington Phoenix: only games against sides at Fencibles Utd's level
FENCIBLES UTD GOALS
Fencibles Utd Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
FEN 5 of 6 (83%) · WEL 8 of 8 (100%)91.7%
Fencibles Utd scored in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Wellington Phoenix conceded in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 92% · Fencibles Utd: only games against sides at Wellington Phoenix's level · Wellington Phoenix: only games against sides at Fencibles Utd's level
HALVES
1st Half Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
FEN 5 of 6 (83%) · WEL 7 of 8 (88%)85.4%
Fencibles Utd: the bet landed in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Wellington Phoenix: the bet landed in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 85% · on half-time scores · Fencibles Utd: only games against sides at Wellington Phoenix's level · Wellington Phoenix: only games against sides at Fencibles Utd's level
Left off the list: Fencibles Utd or Over 2.5 Goals (the numbers (80%) and the records (100%) are 20 points apart, and nothing settles it)
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 2–19%
Fencibles Utd goals →
Wellington Phoenix goals ↓
0-04%
1-05%
2-06%
3-04%
4-02%
5-00.8%
0-14%
1-110%
2-19%
3-16%
4-13%
5-11%
0-23%
1-27%
2-27%
3-25%
4-22%
5-20.9%
0-32%
1-33%
2-33%
3-32%
4-31%
5-30.5%
0-40.6%
1-41%
2-41%
3-40.9%
4-40.4%
5-40.2%
0-50.2%
1-50.4%
2-50.4%
3-50.3%
4-50.1%
5-50.1%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).
FORM · LAST 10
FENCIBLES UTDWWLWLL1.50 PPG
WELLINGTON PHOENIXLWDWLWLLWL1.30 PPG
THE NUMBERS
FENCIBLES UTD HOMExWELLINGTON PHOENIX AWAY
1.50SCORED A GAME1.701.67CONCEDED A GAME2.4050%CLEAN SHEETS10%
TRENDS
Fencibles Utd have scored in 83% of their games.
Wellington Phoenix have scored in 70% of their games.
Fencibles Utd kept a clean sheet in 50% of their games.
Wellington Phoenix kept a clean sheet in 10% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague table