SPAIN AMATEUR - TERCERA FEDERACION, GROUP 5
12:00Sun 8 Nov
UET
UT
CF Montanesa vs UE Tona
CLASS E
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57
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE
Class E
Both Teams to Score - No
CF Montanesa v UE Tona
1.78odds
56%book
+1edge
4/4angles
THE READ
Match details. Tercera Federacion, Group 5. Kick-off is Sun 8 Nov, 12:00 Lagos time.
Form. CF Montanesa have won five, drawn one and lost four of their last ten league games, 1.6 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: W D L W L. UE Tona have won five, drawn one and lost four of their last ten league games, 1.6 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: W D W W L.
The numbers. CF Montanesa score 1.3 and concede 1.2 a game over their last ten, with five clean sheets and three games without a goal. CF Montanesa average 8.9 shots (4.2 on target), 3.7 corners and 3.0 cards a game. UE Tona score 0.9 and concede 0.9 a game over their last ten, with six clean sheets and two games without a goal. UE Tona average 11.0 shots (6.3 on target), 3.7 corners and 3.0 cards a game.
The read. No side to back. A tight game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 35%.
The bets. No best bet: the strongest pick did not fit the read of this game. Predicted score: CF Montanesa 1-1 UE Tona (14% chance).
The agreed story. No side to back (CF Montanesa the favourite), a tight game.
So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.
PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
CF Montanesa or Under 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CFM 7 of 10 (70%) · UET 10 of 10 (100%)67%
CF Montanesa: the bet landed in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · UE Tona: the bet landed in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 85% · CF Montanesa: only games against sides at UE Tona's level · UE Tona: only games against sides at CF Montanesa's level
UE Tona or Under 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
UET 7 of 10 (70%) · CFM 8 of 10 (80%)57%
UE Tona: the bet landed in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · CF Montanesa: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75% · UE Tona: only games against sides at CF Montanesa's level · CF Montanesa: only games against sides at UE Tona's level
UE Tona or Over 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
UET 8 of 10 (80%) · CFM 6 of 10 (60%)52%
UE Tona: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · CF Montanesa: the bet landed in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 70% · UE Tona: only games against sides at CF Montanesa's level · CF Montanesa: only games against sides at UE Tona's level
Draw or Under 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CFM 7 of 10 (70%) · UET 7 of 10 (70%)52%
CF Montanesa: the bet landed in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · UE Tona: the bet landed in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 70% · CF Montanesa: only games against sides at UE Tona's level · UE Tona: only games against sides at CF Montanesa's level
UE Tona or Draw (1UP)LEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
UET 5 of 5 (100%) · CFM 6 of 6 (100%)51%
UE Tona scored first 5 of last 5, led or was unbeaten in 5 · led or was unbeaten in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · CF Montanesa trailed or failed to win in 4 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · UE Tona: only games against sides at CF Montanesa's level · CF Montanesa: only games against sides at UE Tona's level
GOALS
Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CFM 10 of 10 (100%) · UET 10 of 10 (100%)97%
CF Montanesa: under 5.5 goals in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · UE Tona: under 5.5 goals in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · CF Montanesa: only games against sides at UE Tona's level · UE Tona: only games against sides at CF Montanesa's level
Under 4.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CFM 8 of 10 (80%) · UET 10 of 10 (100%)91%
CF Montanesa: under 4.5 goals in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · UE Tona: under 4.5 goals in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 90% · CF Montanesa: only games against sides at UE Tona's level · UE Tona: only games against sides at CF Montanesa's level
Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CFM 10 of 10 (100%) · UET 9 of 10 (90%)77%
CF Montanesa: over 0.5 goals in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · UE Tona: over 0.5 goals in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 95% · CF Montanesa: only games against sides at UE Tona's level · UE Tona: only games against sides at CF Montanesa's level
Under 3.5 GoalsIN CODES
1.23
CFM 7 of 10 (70%) · UET 8 of 10 (80%)76%
CF Montanesa: under 3.5 goals in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · UE Tona: under 3.5 goals in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75% · CF Montanesa: only games against sides at UE Tona's level · UE Tona: only games against sides at CF Montanesa's level
Under 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.64
CFM 6 of 10 (60%) · UET 7 of 10 (70%)47%
CF Montanesa: under 2.5 goals in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · UE Tona: under 2.5 goals in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 65% · CF Montanesa: only games against sides at UE Tona's level · UE Tona: only games against sides at CF Montanesa's level
BOTH TEAMS SCORE
Both Teams to Score - NoMAININ CODES
1.78
CFM 8 of 10 (80%) · UET 7 of 10 (70%)57%
CF Montanesa: not both scored in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · UE Tona: not both scored in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75% · CF Montanesa: only games against sides at UE Tona's level · UE Tona: only games against sides at CF Montanesa's level
UE TONA GOALS
UE Tona Over 0.5 goalsLEANHELD · the odds board 69%
1.44
UET 8 of 10 (80%) · CFM 5 of 10 (50%)47%
UE Tona scored in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · CF Montanesa conceded in 5 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 65% · UE Tona: only games against sides at CF Montanesa's level · CF Montanesa: only games against sides at UE Tona's level
CARDS
Over 3.5 CardsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CFM 6 of 9 (67%) · UET 5 of 6 (83%)75%
CF Montanesa's games: over 3.5 cards in 6 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · UE Tona's games: over 3.5 cards in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75% · CF Montanesa: only games against sides at UE Tona's level · UE Tona: only games against sides at CF Montanesa's level
OTHER
GG/NG 2+: NoBACKUPIN CODES
1.09
CFM 8 of 10 (80%) · UET 10 of 10 (100%)91%
CF Montanesa: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · UE Tona: the bet landed in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 90% · CF Montanesa: only games against sides at UE Tona's level · UE Tona: only games against sides at CF Montanesa's level
Left off the list: Over 5.5 Corners (the numbers (55%) and the records (78%) are 23 points apart, and nothing settles it); UE Tona 1UP (the numbers (47%) and the records (69%) are on opposite sides, and nothing settles it); Double Chance: CF Montanesa or UE Tona (the numbers (68%) and the records (90%) are 22 points apart, and nothing settles it)
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 1–1 14.3%
CF Montanesa goals →
UE Tona goals ↓
0-013%
1-012%
2-07%
3-03%
4-00.7%
5-00.1%
0-112%
1-114%
2-17%
3-13%
4-10.7%
5-10.2%
0-26%
1-27%
2-24%
3-21%
4-20.4%
5-20.1%
0-32%
1-32%
2-31%
3-30.5%
4-30.1%
5-30.0%
0-40.6%
1-40.6%
2-40.3%
3-40.1%
4-40.0%
5-40.0%
0-50.1%
1-50.1%
2-50.1%
3-50.0%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).
FORM · LAST 10
CF MONTANESALWWWLLWLDW1.60 PPG
UE TONAWLWLLLWWDW1.60 PPG
THE NUMBERS
CF MONTANESA HOMExUE TONA AWAY
1.30SCORED A GAME0.901.20CONCEDED A GAME0.9050%CLEAN SHEETS60%3.67CORNERS A GAME3.673.00CARDS A GAME3.00
THE BANK
THE BANKER MENU
OVER 1.5 CARDS
–
543 OF 573
PRICE NOT KEPT
Both sides' last 5 games point to 5.2+ cards.
Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.
TRENDS
CF Montanesa have scored in 70% of their games.
UE Tona have scored in 80% of their games.
CF Montanesa kept a clean sheet in 50% of their games.
UE Tona kept a clean sheet in 60% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards