Avenir Beggen: the bet landed in 5 of 5 at home · FC Una Strassen: the bet landed in 2 of 6 away · both last 10: 75%
Match details. Coupe de Luxembourg, Round of 32. Kick-off is Sun 8 Nov, 16:00 Lagos time. It is played at Stade rue Henri Dunant, Beggen.
What's at stake. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.
Form. Avenir Beggen have won three, drawn two and lost five of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L L L W. FC Una Strassen have won nine, drawn one and lost none of their last ten, 2.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W D W W. In this competition FC Una Strassen have gone W.
The numbers. Avenir Beggen score 1.2 and concede 1.6 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet. FC Una Strassen score three and concede 0.2 a game in their last six away, with five clean sheets. FC Una Strassen average 15.2 shots (6.2 on target), 6.2 corners and 2.0 cards a game.
Head to head. The last time they met, on 3 Oct 2021, it finished Avenir Beggen 2-5 FC Una Strassen.
The read. FC Una Strassen to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make FC Una Strassen the likelier winners; FC Una Strassen are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour FC Una Strassen. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 63%.
The bets. No best bet: the strongest pick did not fit the read of this game. Predicted score: Avenir Beggen 1-2 FC Una Strassen (10% chance).
The agreed story. FC Una Strassen or the draw, an open game.
Cup and European games. A domestic cup: sides rotate, and the two can come from different divisions. Too few cup games on either side to read.
So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).