PORTUGAL - CAMPEONATO DE PORTUGAL
16:00Sun 8 Nov
OSM
OM
Sport Benfica Castelo Branco vs Os Marialvas
CLASS E
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Match details. Campeonato de Portugal. Kick-off is Sun 8 Nov, 16:00 Lagos time.
Form. Sport Benfica Castelo Branco have won three, drawn one and lost six of their last ten, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L W L W. Os Marialvas have won seven, drawn one and lost two of their last ten, 2.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W L D W.
The numbers. Sport Benfica Castelo Branco score 1.4 and concede 2.3 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets. Sport Benfica Castelo Branco average 10.3 shots (4.2 on target), 4.7 corners and 2.7 cards a game. Os Marialvas score two and concede 0.5 a game in their last six away, with four clean sheets. Os Marialvas average 12.2 shots (4.4 on target), 5.3 corners and 2.9 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 75%.
The case against. Sport Benfica Castelo Branco's record still gives them 24% to win.
The read. Os Marialvas to win. Os Marialvas are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Os Marialvas.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: Sport Benfica Castelo Branco 0-1 Os Marialvas (8% chance).
The agreed story. Os Marialvas or the draw, goals in between.
So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.
PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
Os Marialvas or Under 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
OSM 6 of 7 (86%) · SPO 7 of 9 (78%)72.1%
Os Marialvas: the bet landed in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Sport Benfica Castelo Branco: the bet landed in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 82% · Os Marialvas: only games against sides at Sport Benfica Castelo Branco's level · Sport Benfica Castelo Branco: only games against sides at Os Marialvas's level
Draw or Over 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
SPO 7 of 9 (78%) · OSM 6 of 7 (86%)63.7%
Sport Benfica Castelo Branco: the bet landed in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Os Marialvas: the bet landed in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 82% · Sport Benfica Castelo Branco: only games against sides at Os Marialvas's level · Os Marialvas: only games against sides at Sport Benfica Castelo Branco's level
Os Marialvas or Over 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
OSM 6 of 7 (86%) · SPO 7 of 9 (78%)62.6%
Os Marialvas: the bet landed in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Sport Benfica Castelo Branco: the bet landed in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 82% · Os Marialvas: only games against sides at Sport Benfica Castelo Branco's level · Sport Benfica Castelo Branco: only games against sides at Os Marialvas's level
Double Chance: Draw or Os MarialvasLEANPAGE ONLY
1.29
OSM 6 of 7 (86%) · SPO 6 of 9 (67%)62.5%
Os Marialvas unbeaten in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Sport Benfica Castelo Branco failed to win 6 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 76% · Os Marialvas: only games against sides at Sport Benfica Castelo Branco's level · Sport Benfica Castelo Branco: only games against sides at Os Marialvas's level
Double Chance: Sport Benfica Castelo Branco or Os MarialvasHELD · the odds board 78%
1.29
SPO 8 of 9 (89%) · OSM 6 of 7 (86%)54.4%
Sport Benfica Castelo Branco: the bet landed in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Os Marialvas: the bet landed in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 87% · Sport Benfica Castelo Branco: only games against sides at Os Marialvas's level · Os Marialvas: only games against sides at Sport Benfica Castelo Branco's level
Os Marialvas (Draw No Bet)LEANPAGE ONLY
1.51
OSM 5 of 6 (83%) · SPO 5 of 8 (62%)47.8%
Os Marialvas won 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · Sport Benfica Castelo Branco lost 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · both last 10: 73% · Os Marialvas: only games against sides at Sport Benfica Castelo Branco's level · Sport Benfica Castelo Branco: only games against sides at Os Marialvas's level · won 9, refunded 0, lost 1
GOALS
Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
SPO 9 of 9 (100%) · OSM 6 of 7 (86%)92%
Sport Benfica Castelo Branco: over 0.5 goals in 9 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Os Marialvas: over 0.5 goals in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 93% · Sport Benfica Castelo Branco: only games against sides at Os Marialvas's level · Os Marialvas: only games against sides at Sport Benfica Castelo Branco's level
Under 4.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
SPO 5 of 9 (56%) · OSM 7 of 7 (100%)87.7%
Sport Benfica Castelo Branco: under 4.5 goals in 5 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Os Marialvas: under 4.5 goals in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 78% · Sport Benfica Castelo Branco: only games against sides at Os Marialvas's level · Os Marialvas: only games against sides at Sport Benfica Castelo Branco's level
Under 3.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
1.26
SPO 3 of 9 (33%) · OSM 7 of 7 (100%)73.5%
Sport Benfica Castelo Branco: under 3.5 goals in 3 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Os Marialvas: under 3.5 goals in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 67% · Sport Benfica Castelo Branco: only games against sides at Os Marialvas's level · Os Marialvas: only games against sides at Sport Benfica Castelo Branco's level
Over 1.5 GoalsHELD · the odds board 76%
1.31
SPO 7 of 9 (78%) · OSM 5 of 7 (71%)56%
Sport Benfica Castelo Branco: over 1.5 goals in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Os Marialvas: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75% · Sport Benfica Castelo Branco: only games against sides at Os Marialvas's level · Os Marialvas: only games against sides at Sport Benfica Castelo Branco's level
SPORT BENFICA CASTELO BRANCO GOALS
Sport Benfica Castelo Branco Over 0.5 goalsPAGE ONLY
1.39
SPO 9 of 9 (100%) · OSM 3 of 7 (43%)56.1%
Sport Benfica Castelo Branco scored in 9 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Os Marialvas conceded in 3 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 71% · Sport Benfica Castelo Branco: only games against sides at Os Marialvas's level · Os Marialvas: only games against sides at Sport Benfica Castelo Branco's level
OS MARIALVAS GOALS
Os Marialvas Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
OSM 6 of 7 (86%) · SPO 7 of 9 (78%)71.4%
Os Marialvas scored in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Sport Benfica Castelo Branco conceded in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 82% · Os Marialvas: only games against sides at Sport Benfica Castelo Branco's level · Sport Benfica Castelo Branco: only games against sides at Os Marialvas's level
CORNERS
Over 6.5 CornersPAGE ONLY
no price yet
SPO 7 of 9 (78%) · OSM 5 of 7 (71%)74.6%
Sport Benfica Castelo Branco's games: over 6.5 corners in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Os Marialvas's games: over 6.5 corners in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75% · Sport Benfica Castelo Branco: only games against sides at Os Marialvas's level · Os Marialvas: only games against sides at Sport Benfica Castelo Branco's level
CARDS
Over 3.5 CardsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
SPO 8 of 9 (89%) · OSM 6 of 7 (86%)87.3%
Sport Benfica Castelo Branco's games: over 3.5 cards in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Os Marialvas's games: over 3.5 cards in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 87% · Sport Benfica Castelo Branco: only games against sides at Os Marialvas's level · Os Marialvas: only games against sides at Sport Benfica Castelo Branco's level
OTHER
GG/NG 2+: NoIN CODES
1.10
SPO 6 of 9 (67%) · OSM 7 of 7 (100%)83.3%
Sport Benfica Castelo Branco: the bet landed in 6 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Os Marialvas: the bet landed in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 83% · Sport Benfica Castelo Branco: only games against sides at Os Marialvas's level · Os Marialvas: only games against sides at Sport Benfica Castelo Branco's level
Sport Benfica Castelo Branco Clean Sheet: NoIN CODES
1.23
SPO 7 of 9 (78%) · OSM 6 of 7 (86%)81.7%
Sport Benfica Castelo Branco: the bet landed in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Os Marialvas: the bet landed in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 82% · Sport Benfica Castelo Branco: only games against sides at Os Marialvas's level · Os Marialvas: only games against sides at Sport Benfica Castelo Branco's level
Left off the list: Sport Benfica Castelo Branco or Over 2.5 Goals (the numbers (64%) and the records (86%) are 21 points apart, and nothing settles it); Os Marialvas 1UP (the numbers (51%) and the records (78%) are 27 points apart, and nothing settles it); Os Marialvas or Draw (1UP) (the numbers (68%) and the records (93%) are 25 points apart, and nothing settles it)
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 0–1 8.5%
Sport Benfica Castelo… goals →
Os Marialvas goals ↓
0-08%
1-09%
2-07%
3-03%
4-01%
5-00.3%
0-18%
1-113%
2-18%
3-14%
4-11%
5-10.3%
0-26%
1-28%
2-25%
3-22%
4-20.8%
5-20.2%
0-32%
1-33%
2-32%
3-31.0%
4-30.3%
5-30.1%
0-40.8%
1-41%
2-40.7%
3-40.3%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.2%
1-50.3%
2-50.2%
3-50.1%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call).
FORM · LAST 10
SPORT BENFICA CASTELO BRANCOLLWLLWLWLD1.00 PPG
OS MARIALVASWLWWWWDLWW2.20 PPG
THE NUMBERS
SPORT BENFICA CASTELO BRANCO HOMExOS MARIALVAS AWAY
1.40SCORED A GAME1.802.30CONCEDED A GAME0.6020%CLEAN SHEETS60%4.70CORNERS A GAME5.302.70CARDS A GAME2.90
THE BANK
THE BANKER MENU
OVER 1.5 CARDS
–
649 OF 684
PRICE NOT KEPT
The league averages 5.0+ cards a game.
Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.
TRENDS
Sport Benfica Castelo Branco have scored in 100% of their games.
Os Marialvas have scored in 90% of their games.
Sport Benfica Castelo Branco kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.
Os Marialvas kept a clean sheet in 60% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards