PORTUGAL - CAMPEONATO DE PORTUGAL
16:00Sun 8 Nov
EST
EC
SC Salgueiros vs Estrela Calheta FC
CLASS E
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Match details. Campeonato de Portugal. Kick-off is Sun 8 Nov, 16:00 Lagos time.
Form. SC Salgueiros have won three, drawn six and lost one of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L D D W. Estrela Calheta FC have won one, drawn three and lost five of their last nine, 0.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L W L D.
The numbers. SC Salgueiros score one and concede 0.9 a game in their last seven at home, with two clean sheets. SC Salgueiros average 11.9 shots (4.3 on target), 4.6 corners and 3.2 cards a game. Estrela Calheta FC score one and concede 2.4 a game over their last nine, with one clean sheet and three games without a goal. Estrela Calheta FC average 6.2 shots (2.9 on target), 2.9 corners and 2.1 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 26% against the records' 57%.
The read. No side to back. A tight game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 36%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: SC Salgueiros 1-1 Estrela Calheta FC (13% chance).
The agreed story. No side to back (SC Salgueiros the favourite), a tight game.
So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.
PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
Estrela Calheta FC (0:2 handicap)PAGE ONLY
no price yet
EST 5 of 7 (71%) · SCS 7 of 7 (100%)85.7%
Estrela Calheta FC: the bet landed in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · SC Salgueiros: the bet landed in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 86% · Estrela Calheta FC: only games against sides at SC Salgueiros's level · SC Salgueiros: only games against sides at Estrela Calheta FC's level
SC Salgueiros or Under 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
SCS 7 of 7 (100%) · EST 5 of 7 (71%)67.7%
SC Salgueiros: the bet landed in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Estrela Calheta FC: the bet landed in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 86% · SC Salgueiros: only games against sides at Estrela Calheta FC's level · Estrela Calheta FC: only games against sides at SC Salgueiros's level
Draw or Over 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
SCS 5 of 7 (71%) · EST 7 of 7 (100%)67.7%
SC Salgueiros: the bet landed in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Estrela Calheta FC: the bet landed in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 86% · SC Salgueiros: only games against sides at Estrela Calheta FC's level · Estrela Calheta FC: only games against sides at SC Salgueiros's level
SC Salgueiros or Draw (1UP)PAGE ONLY
no price yet
SCS 4 of 5 (80%) · EST 6 of 7 (86%)65.8%
SC Salgueiros scored first 1 of last 5, led or was unbeaten in 4 · led or was unbeaten in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Estrela Calheta FC trailed or failed to win in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · SC Salgueiros: only games against sides at Estrela Calheta FC's level · Estrela Calheta FC: only games against sides at SC Salgueiros's level
SC Salgueiros or Both Teams ScorePAGE ONLY
no price yet
SCS 5 of 7 (71%) · EST 6 of 7 (86%)60.6%
SC Salgueiros: the bet landed in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Estrela Calheta FC: the bet landed in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 79% · SC Salgueiros: only games against sides at Estrela Calheta FC's level · Estrela Calheta FC: only games against sides at SC Salgueiros's level
Double Chance: SC Salgueiros or DrawHELD · the odds board 90%
1.11
SCS 6 of 7 (86%) · EST 6 of 7 (86%)53.6%
SC Salgueiros unbeaten in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Estrela Calheta FC failed to win 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 86% · SC Salgueiros: only games against sides at Estrela Calheta FC's level · Estrela Calheta FC: only games against sides at SC Salgueiros's level
Estrela Calheta FC or Under 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
EST 3 of 7 (43%) · SCS 7 of 7 (100%)51%
Estrela Calheta FC: the bet landed in 3 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · SC Salgueiros: the bet landed in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 71% · Estrela Calheta FC: only games against sides at SC Salgueiros's level · SC Salgueiros: only games against sides at Estrela Calheta FC's level
Draw or Under 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
SCS 7 of 7 (100%) · EST 3 of 7 (43%)51%
SC Salgueiros: the bet landed in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Estrela Calheta FC: the bet landed in 3 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 71% · SC Salgueiros: only games against sides at Estrela Calheta FC's level · Estrela Calheta FC: only games against sides at SC Salgueiros's level
Estrela Calheta FC or Draw (1UP)LEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
EST 3 of 5 (60%) · SCS 4 of 7 (57%)49.6%
Estrela Calheta FC scored first 2 of last 5, led or was unbeaten in 3 · led or was unbeaten in 4 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · SC Salgueiros trailed or failed to win in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Estrela Calheta FC: only games against sides at SC Salgueiros's level · SC Salgueiros: only games against sides at Estrela Calheta FC's level
GOALS
Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
SCS 7 of 7 (100%) · EST 7 of 7 (100%)96.5%
SC Salgueiros: under 5.5 goals in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Estrela Calheta FC: under 5.5 goals in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · SC Salgueiros: only games against sides at Estrela Calheta FC's level · Estrela Calheta FC: only games against sides at SC Salgueiros's level
Under 4.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
SCS 7 of 7 (100%) · EST 7 of 7 (100%)89.5%
SC Salgueiros: under 4.5 goals in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Estrela Calheta FC: under 4.5 goals in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · SC Salgueiros: only games against sides at Estrela Calheta FC's level · Estrela Calheta FC: only games against sides at SC Salgueiros's level
Under 3.5 GoalsIN CODES
1.30
SCS 7 of 7 (100%) · EST 5 of 7 (71%)75.7%
SC Salgueiros: under 3.5 goals in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Estrela Calheta FC: under 3.5 goals in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 86% · SC Salgueiros: only games against sides at Estrela Calheta FC's level · Estrela Calheta FC: only games against sides at SC Salgueiros's level
Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
SCS 6 of 7 (86%) · EST 6 of 7 (86%)73.5%
SC Salgueiros: over 0.5 goals in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Estrela Calheta FC: over 0.5 goals in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 86% · SC Salgueiros: only games against sides at Estrela Calheta FC's level · Estrela Calheta FC: only games against sides at SC Salgueiros's level
Over 1.5 GoalsHELD · the odds board 78%
1.28
SCS 5 of 7 (71%) · EST 6 of 7 (86%)54.9%
SC Salgueiros: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Estrela Calheta FC: over 1.5 goals in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 79% · SC Salgueiros: only games against sides at Estrela Calheta FC's level · Estrela Calheta FC: only games against sides at SC Salgueiros's level
BOTH TEAMS SCORE
Both Teams to Score - YesLEANPAGE ONLY
1.99
SCS 4 of 7 (57%) · EST 4 of 7 (57%)33.8%
SC Salgueiros: both scored in 4 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Estrela Calheta FC: both scored in 4 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 57% · SC Salgueiros: only games against sides at Estrela Calheta FC's level · Estrela Calheta FC: only games against sides at SC Salgueiros's level
SC SALGUEIROS GOALS
SC Salgueiros Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
SCS 5 of 7 (71%) · EST 6 of 7 (86%)58.3%
SC Salgueiros scored in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Estrela Calheta FC conceded in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 79% · SC Salgueiros: only games against sides at Estrela Calheta FC's level · Estrela Calheta FC: only games against sides at SC Salgueiros's level
SC Salgueiros Under 1.5 goalsLEANPAGE ONLY
2.00
SCS 7 of 7 (100%) · EST 3 of 7 (43%)39.9%
SC Salgueiros scored under 1.5 in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Estrela Calheta FC conceded under 1.5 in 3 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 71% · SC Salgueiros: only games against sides at Estrela Calheta FC's level · Estrela Calheta FC: only games against sides at SC Salgueiros's level
ESTRELA CALHETA FC GOALS
Estrela Calheta FC Over 0.5 goalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.73
EST 4 of 7 (57%) · SCS 5 of 7 (71%)49%
Estrela Calheta FC scored in 4 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · SC Salgueiros conceded in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 64% · Estrela Calheta FC: only games against sides at SC Salgueiros's level · SC Salgueiros: only games against sides at Estrela Calheta FC's level
CORNERS
Over 5.5 CornersPAGE ONLY
no price yet
SCS 7 of 7 (100%) · EST 5 of 7 (71%)85.7%
SC Salgueiros's games: over 5.5 corners in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Estrela Calheta FC's games: over 5.5 corners in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 86% · SC Salgueiros: only games against sides at Estrela Calheta FC's level · Estrela Calheta FC: only games against sides at SC Salgueiros's level
CARDS
Over 3.5 CardsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
SCS 7 of 7 (100%) · EST 5 of 7 (71%)85.7%
SC Salgueiros's games: over 3.5 cards in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Estrela Calheta FC's games: over 3.5 cards in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 86% · SC Salgueiros: only games against sides at Estrela Calheta FC's level · Estrela Calheta FC: only games against sides at SC Salgueiros's level
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 1–1 13.2%
SC Salgueiros goals →
Estrela Calheta FC goals ↓
0-09%
1-011%
2-08%
3-04%
4-01%
5-00.4%
0-18%
1-113%
2-19%
3-14%
4-12%
5-10.4%
0-25%
1-27%
2-25%
3-22%
4-20.9%
5-20.2%
0-32%
1-33%
2-32%
3-30.9%
4-30.3%
5-30.1%
0-40.5%
1-40.7%
2-40.5%
3-40.2%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.1%
1-50.2%
2-50.1%
3-50.1%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).
FORM · LAST 10
SC SALGUEIROSDDWDWWDDLD1.50 PPG
ESTRELA CALHETA FCLDLLDLWLD0.67 PPG
THE NUMBERS
SC SALGUEIROS HOMExESTRELA CALHETA FC AWAY
0.90SCORED A GAME1.000.80CONCEDED A GAME2.4430%CLEAN SHEETS11%4.60CORNERS A GAME2.883.20CARDS A GAME2.12
THE BANK
THE BANKER MENU
OVER 1.5 CARDS
–
543 OF 573
PRICE NOT KEPT
Both sides' last 5 games point to 5.2+ cards.
Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.
TRENDS
SC Salgueiros have scored in 80% of their games.
Estrela Calheta FC have scored in 67% of their games.
SC Salgueiros kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.
Estrela Calheta FC kept a clean sheet in 11% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards