THE READ
Match details. Campeonato de Portugal. Kick-off is Sun 8 Nov, 16:00 Lagos time.
Form. SC Mineiro Aljustrelense have won one, drawn three and lost six of their last ten, 0.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D L L L. FC Serpa have won three, drawn five and lost two of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L W D D.
The numbers. SC Mineiro Aljustrelense score 0.6 and concede two a game over their last ten, with one clean sheet and six games without a goal. SC Mineiro Aljustrelense average 7.9 shots (2.7 on target), 3.8 corners and 2.3 cards a game. FC Serpa score 1.5 and concede 1.2 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets. FC Serpa average 9.8 shots (5.1 on target), 3.2 corners and 4.2 cards a game.
The read. A draw. A tight game. Little separates them, and both sides draw often. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 44%.
The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.25, rated 75% (SC Mineiro Aljustrelense: under 3.5 goals in 7 of 8; FC Serpa: under 3.5 goals in 5 of 8). Full cover: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.32. Whenever the best bet loses, this one wins. Predicted score: SC Mineiro Aljustrelense 1-1 FC Serpa (13% chance).
The agreed story. No side to back (SC Mineiro Aljustrelense the favourite), a tight game.
So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.
PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
FC Serpa or Under 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
FCS 5 of 8 (62%) · SCM 8 of 8 (100%)63.3%
FC Serpa: the bet landed in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · SC Mineiro Aljustrelense: the bet landed in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 81% · FC Serpa: only games against sides at SC Mineiro Aljustrelense's level · SC Mineiro Aljustrelense: only games against sides at FC Serpa's level
Draw or Over 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
SCM 6 of 8 (75%) · FCS 7 of 8 (88%)63.3%
SC Mineiro Aljustrelense: the bet landed in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · FC Serpa: the bet landed in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 81% · SC Mineiro Aljustrelense: only games against sides at FC Serpa's level · FC Serpa: only games against sides at SC Mineiro Aljustrelense's level
SC Mineiro Aljustrelense or Under 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
SCM 5 of 8 (62%) · FCS 6 of 8 (75%)50.8%
SC Mineiro Aljustrelense: the bet landed in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · FC Serpa: the bet landed in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 69% · SC Mineiro Aljustrelense: only games against sides at FC Serpa's level · FC Serpa: only games against sides at SC Mineiro Aljustrelense's level
FC Serpa or Over 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
FCS 5 of 8 (62%) · SCM 5 of 8 (62%)44.5%
FC Serpa: the bet landed in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · SC Mineiro Aljustrelense: the bet landed in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 62% · FC Serpa: only games against sides at SC Mineiro Aljustrelense's level · SC Mineiro Aljustrelense: only games against sides at FC Serpa's level
Double Chance: Draw or FC SerpaLEANHELD · the odds board 76%
1.31
FCS 6 of 8 (75%) · SCM 8 of 8 (100%)43.5%
FC Serpa unbeaten in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · SC Mineiro Aljustrelense failed to win 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 88% · FC Serpa: only games against sides at SC Mineiro Aljustrelense's level · SC Mineiro Aljustrelense: only games against sides at FC Serpa's level
FC Serpa 1UPLEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
FCS 2 of 5 (40%) · SCM 4 of 7 (57%)38.2%
FC Serpa scored first 2 of last 5, led in 2 · led in 4 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · SC Mineiro Aljustrelense trailed in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · FC Serpa: only games against sides at SC Mineiro Aljustrelense's level · SC Mineiro Aljustrelense: only games against sides at FC Serpa's level
GOALS
no price yet
SCM 8 of 8 (100%) · FCS 7 of 8 (88%)96.5%
SC Mineiro Aljustrelense: under 5.5 goals in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · FC Serpa: under 5.5 goals in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 94% · SC Mineiro Aljustrelense: only games against sides at FC Serpa's level · FC Serpa: only games against sides at SC Mineiro Aljustrelense's level
no price yet
SCM 8 of 8 (100%) · FCS 7 of 8 (88%)89.5%
SC Mineiro Aljustrelense: under 4.5 goals in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · FC Serpa: under 4.5 goals in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 94% · SC Mineiro Aljustrelense: only games against sides at FC Serpa's level · FC Serpa: only games against sides at SC Mineiro Aljustrelense's level
Under 3.5 GoalsMAININ CODES
1.25
SCM 7 of 8 (88%) · FCS 5 of 8 (62%)75.8%
SC Mineiro Aljustrelense: under 3.5 goals in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · FC Serpa: under 3.5 goals in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75% · SC Mineiro Aljustrelense: only games against sides at FC Serpa's level · FC Serpa: only games against sides at SC Mineiro Aljustrelense's level
no price yet
SCM 8 of 8 (100%) · FCS 7 of 8 (88%)73.5%
SC Mineiro Aljustrelense: over 0.5 goals in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · FC Serpa: over 0.5 goals in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 94% · SC Mineiro Aljustrelense: only games against sides at FC Serpa's level · FC Serpa: only games against sides at SC Mineiro Aljustrelense's level
Over 1.5 GoalsFULL COVERHELD · the odds board 76%
1.32
SCM 8 of 8 (100%) · FCS 7 of 8 (88%)54.9%
SC Mineiro Aljustrelense: over 1.5 goals in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · FC Serpa: over 1.5 goals in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 94% · SC Mineiro Aljustrelense: only games against sides at FC Serpa's level · FC Serpa: only games against sides at SC Mineiro Aljustrelense's level
FC SERPA GOALS
FC Serpa Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
FCS 7 of 8 (88%) · SCM 8 of 8 (100%)52.5%
FC Serpa scored in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · SC Mineiro Aljustrelense conceded in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 94% · FC Serpa: only games against sides at SC Mineiro Aljustrelense's level · SC Mineiro Aljustrelense: only games against sides at FC Serpa's level
CARDS
no price yet
SCM 5 of 7 (71%) · FCS 7 of 7 (100%)85.7%
SC Mineiro Aljustrelense's games: over 3.5 cards in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · FC Serpa's games: over 3.5 cards in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 86% · SC Mineiro Aljustrelense: only games against sides at FC Serpa's level · FC Serpa: only games against sides at SC Mineiro Aljustrelense's level
OTHER
1.10
SCM 8 of 8 (100%) · FCS 6 of 8 (75%)88.5%
SC Mineiro Aljustrelense: the bet landed in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · FC Serpa: the bet landed in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 88% · SC Mineiro Aljustrelense: only games against sides at FC Serpa's level · FC Serpa: only games against sides at SC Mineiro Aljustrelense's level
Left off the list: FC Serpa or Draw (1UP) (the numbers (67%) and the records (89%) are 21 points apart, and nothing settles it); Over 6.5 Corners (the numbers (60%) and the records (86%) are 26 points apart, and nothing settles it); SC Mineiro Aljustrelense Clean Sheet: No (the numbers (70%) and the records (94%) are 23 points apart, and nothing settles it)
THE BANK
THE BANKER MENU
OVER 1.5 CARDS
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543 OF 573
PRICE NOT KEPT
Both sides' last 5 games point to 5.2+ cards.
Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.