PORTUGAL - CAMPEONATO DE PORTUGAL
16:00Sun 8 Nov
ADC
AC
Guarda Desportiva FC vs AD Castro Daire
CLASS E
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78
TOTAL GOALS
Class E
Under 3.5 Goals
Guarda Desportiva FC v AD Castro Daire
1.20odds
83%book
-5edge
2/2angles
THE READ
Match details. Campeonato de Portugal. Kick-off is Sun 8 Nov, 16:00 Lagos time.
Form. Guarda Desportiva FC have won two, drawn two and lost six of their last ten, 0.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L L L D. AD Castro Daire have won two, drawn five and lost three of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D D W L.
The numbers. Guarda Desportiva FC score one and concede 1.6 a game in their last five at home, with no clean sheets and two games without a goal. Guarda Desportiva FC average 9.2 shots (3.8 on target), 4.9 corners and 2.7 cards a game. AD Castro Daire score 0.9 and concede 0.9 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets and four games without a goal. AD Castro Daire average 8.0 shots (3.4 on target), 2.8 corners and 2.0 cards a game.
The read. No side to back. A tight game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 19%.
The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.20, rated 78% (Guarda Desportiva FC: under 3.5 goals in 7 of 8; AD Castro Daire: under 3.5 goals in 7 of 8). Predicted score: Guarda Desportiva FC 1-1 AD Castro Daire (14% chance).
The agreed story. No side to back (Guarda Desportiva FC the favourite), a tight game.
So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.
PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
Guarda Desportiva FC (2:0 handicap)PAGE ONLY
no price yet
GUA 8 of 8 (100%) · ADC 7 of 8 (88%)94.8%
Guarda Desportiva FC: the bet landed in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · AD Castro Daire: the bet landed in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 94% · Guarda Desportiva FC: only games against sides at AD Castro Daire's level · AD Castro Daire: only games against sides at Guarda Desportiva FC's level
Guarda Desportiva FC or Under 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
GUA 7 of 8 (88%) · ADC 6 of 8 (75%)63.3%
Guarda Desportiva FC: the bet landed in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · AD Castro Daire: the bet landed in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 81% · Guarda Desportiva FC: only games against sides at AD Castro Daire's level · AD Castro Daire: only games against sides at Guarda Desportiva FC's level
AD Castro Daire or Under 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ADC 7 of 8 (88%) · GUA 7 of 8 (88%)59.1%
AD Castro Daire: the bet landed in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Guarda Desportiva FC: the bet landed in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 88% · AD Castro Daire: only games against sides at Guarda Desportiva FC's level · Guarda Desportiva FC: only games against sides at AD Castro Daire's level
Double Chance: Draw or AD Castro DaireLEANHELD · the odds board 71%
1.41
ADC 6 of 8 (75%) · GUA 7 of 8 (88%)41.3%
AD Castro Daire unbeaten in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Guarda Desportiva FC failed to win 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 81% · AD Castro Daire: only games against sides at Guarda Desportiva FC's level · Guarda Desportiva FC: only games against sides at AD Castro Daire's level
GOALS
Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
GUA 8 of 8 (100%) · ADC 8 of 8 (100%)97%
Guarda Desportiva FC: under 5.5 goals in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · AD Castro Daire: under 5.5 goals in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · Guarda Desportiva FC: only games against sides at AD Castro Daire's level · AD Castro Daire: only games against sides at Guarda Desportiva FC's level
Under 4.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
GUA 8 of 8 (100%) · ADC 8 of 8 (100%)91.2%
Guarda Desportiva FC: under 4.5 goals in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · AD Castro Daire: under 4.5 goals in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · Guarda Desportiva FC: only games against sides at AD Castro Daire's level · AD Castro Daire: only games against sides at Guarda Desportiva FC's level
Under 3.5 GoalsMAININ CODES
1.20
GUA 7 of 8 (88%) · ADC 7 of 8 (88%)78.5%
Guarda Desportiva FC: under 3.5 goals in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · AD Castro Daire: under 3.5 goals in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 88% · Guarda Desportiva FC: only games against sides at AD Castro Daire's level · AD Castro Daire: only games against sides at Guarda Desportiva FC's level
Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
GUA 8 of 8 (100%) · ADC 7 of 8 (88%)72.4%
Guarda Desportiva FC: over 0.5 goals in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · AD Castro Daire: over 0.5 goals in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 94% · Guarda Desportiva FC: only games against sides at AD Castro Daire's level · AD Castro Daire: only games against sides at Guarda Desportiva FC's level
Under 2.5 GoalsLEANHELD · the odds board 63%
1.58
GUA 7 of 8 (88%) · ADC 6 of 8 (75%)38.5%
Guarda Desportiva FC: under 2.5 goals in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · AD Castro Daire: under 2.5 goals in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 81% · Guarda Desportiva FC: only games against sides at AD Castro Daire's level · AD Castro Daire: only games against sides at Guarda Desportiva FC's level
BOTH TEAMS SCORE
Both Teams to Score - NoLEANHELD · the odds board 58%
1.73
GUA 6 of 8 (75%) · ADC 5 of 8 (62%)32.4%
Guarda Desportiva FC: not both scored in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · AD Castro Daire: not both scored in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 69% · Guarda Desportiva FC: only games against sides at AD Castro Daire's level · AD Castro Daire: only games against sides at Guarda Desportiva FC's level
GUARDA DESPORTIVA FC GOALS
Guarda Desportiva FC Under 1.5 goalsLEANHELD · the odds board 73%
1.37
GUA 7 of 8 (88%) · ADC 6 of 8 (75%)44.2%
Guarda Desportiva FC scored under 1.5 in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · AD Castro Daire conceded under 1.5 in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 81% · Guarda Desportiva FC: only games against sides at AD Castro Daire's level · AD Castro Daire: only games against sides at Guarda Desportiva FC's level
AD CASTRO DAIRE GOALS
AD Castro Daire Under 1.5 goalsLEANHELD · the odds board 73%
1.37
ADC 6 of 8 (75%) · GUA 7 of 8 (88%)51.7%
AD Castro Daire scored under 1.5 in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Guarda Desportiva FC conceded under 1.5 in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 81% · AD Castro Daire: only games against sides at Guarda Desportiva FC's level · Guarda Desportiva FC: only games against sides at AD Castro Daire's level
AD Castro Daire Over 0.5 GoalsLEANHELD · the odds board 72%
1.39
ADC 5 of 8 (62%) · GUA 7 of 8 (88%)48.9%
AD Castro Daire scored in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Guarda Desportiva FC conceded in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75% · AD Castro Daire: only games against sides at Guarda Desportiva FC's level · Guarda Desportiva FC: only games against sides at AD Castro Daire's level
CORNERS
Over 6.5 CornersPAGE ONLY
no price yet
GUA 6 of 7 (86%) · ADC 6 of 7 (86%)85.7%
Guarda Desportiva FC's games: over 6.5 corners in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · AD Castro Daire's games: over 6.5 corners in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 86% · Guarda Desportiva FC: only games against sides at AD Castro Daire's level · AD Castro Daire: only games against sides at Guarda Desportiva FC's level
CARDS
Over 2.5 CardsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
GUA 6 of 7 (86%) · ADC 5 of 7 (71%)78.6%
Guarda Desportiva FC's games: over 2.5 cards in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · AD Castro Daire's games: over 2.5 cards in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 79% · Guarda Desportiva FC: only games against sides at AD Castro Daire's level · AD Castro Daire: only games against sides at Guarda Desportiva FC's level
Left off the list: AD Castro Daire 1UP (the numbers (47%) and the records (68%) are on opposite sides, and nothing settles it); AD Castro Daire or Draw (1UP) (the numbers (65%) and the records (90%) are 25 points apart, and nothing settles it); Draw or Under 2.5 Goals (the numbers (62%) and the records (94%) are 32 points apart, and nothing settles it)
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 1–1 13.7%
Guarda Desportiva FC goals →
AD Castro Daire goals ↓
0-010%
1-011%
2-08%
3-03%
4-01%
5-00.3%
0-19%
1-114%
2-18%
3-14%
4-11%
5-10.3%
0-25%
1-27%
2-25%
3-22%
4-20.7%
5-20.2%
0-32%
1-33%
2-32%
3-30.8%
4-30.2%
5-30.1%
0-40.6%
1-40.7%
2-40.5%
3-40.2%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.1%
1-50.2%
2-50.1%
3-50.0%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).
FORM · LAST 10
GUARDA DESPORTIVA FCDLLWLDLLLW0.80 PPG
AD CASTRO DAIRELDLWDLWDDD1.10 PPG
THE NUMBERS
GUARDA DESPORTIVA FC HOMExAD CASTRO DAIRE AWAY
1.20SCORED A GAME0.901.10CONCEDED A GAME0.9020%CLEAN SHEETS30%4.89CORNERS A GAME2.752.67CARDS A GAME2.00
THE BANK
THE BANKER MENU
OVER 1.5 CARDS
–
543 OF 573
PRICE NOT KEPT
Both sides' last 5 games point to 5.2+ cards.
Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.
TRENDS
Guarda Desportiva FC have scored in 50% of their games.
AD Castro Daire have scored in 60% of their games.
Guarda Desportiva FC kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.
AD Castro Daire kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards