PORTUGAL - CAMPEONATO DE PORTUGAL
16:00Sun 8 Nov
ADO
AO
Florgrade FC vs AD Ovarense
CLASS E
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75
TOTAL GOALS
Class E
Under 3.5 Goals
Florgrade FC v AD Ovarense
1.27odds
79%book
-4edge
4/4angles
THE READ
Match details. Campeonato de Portugal. Kick-off is Sun 8 Nov, 16:00 Lagos time.
Form. Florgrade FC have won four, drawn three and lost three of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W L L W. AD Ovarense have won seven, drawn two and lost one of their last ten, 2.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W D L W.
The numbers. Florgrade FC score 1.2 and concede 0.4 a game in their last five at home, with four clean sheets. Florgrade FC average 6.5 shots (2.3 on target), 4.6 corners and 3.1 cards a game. AD Ovarense score 2.3 and concede 0.7 a game over their last ten, with five clean sheets. AD Ovarense average 14.1 shots (4.6 on target), 7.0 corners and 2.4 cards a game.
The case against. Florgrade FC's record still gives them 21% to win.
The read. AD Ovarense to win. A tight game. AD Ovarense are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour AD Ovarense. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 29%.
The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.27, rated 74% (Florgrade FC: under 3.5 goals in 6 of 7; AD Ovarense: under 3.5 goals in 6 of 7). Full cover: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.30. Whenever the best bet loses, this one wins. Predicted score: Florgrade FC 0-1 AD Ovarense (8% chance).
The agreed story. AD Ovarense or the draw, a tight game.
So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.
PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
AD Ovarense or Draw (1UP)PAGE ONLY
no price yet
ADO 5 of 5 (100%) · FLO 7 of 7 (100%)86.7%
AD Ovarense scored first 4 of last 5, led or was unbeaten in 5 · led or was unbeaten in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Florgrade FC trailed or failed to win in 4 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · AD Ovarense: only games against sides at Florgrade FC's level · Florgrade FC: only games against sides at AD Ovarense's level
Double Chance: Draw or AD OvarenseLEANHELD · the odds board 83%
1.21
ADO 7 of 7 (100%) · FLO 4 of 7 (57%)61.5%
AD Ovarense unbeaten in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Florgrade FC failed to win 4 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 79% · AD Ovarense: only games against sides at Florgrade FC's level · Florgrade FC: only games against sides at AD Ovarense's level
Double Chance: Florgrade FC or AD OvarenseHELD · the odds board 79%
1.26
FLO 5 of 7 (71%) · ADO 6 of 7 (86%)54.2%
Florgrade FC: the bet landed in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · AD Ovarense: the bet landed in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 79% · Florgrade FC: only games against sides at AD Ovarense's level · AD Ovarense: only games against sides at Florgrade FC's level
Draw or Under 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
FLO 6 of 7 (86%) · ADO 5 of 7 (71%)48.3%
Florgrade FC: the bet landed in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · AD Ovarense: the bet landed in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 79% · Florgrade FC: only games against sides at AD Ovarense's level · AD Ovarense: only games against sides at Florgrade FC's level
AD Ovarense or Over 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ADO 7 of 7 (100%) · FLO 2 of 7 (29%)46.3%
AD Ovarense: the bet landed in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Florgrade FC: the bet landed in 2 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 64% · AD Ovarense: only games against sides at Florgrade FC's level · Florgrade FC: only games against sides at AD Ovarense's level
GOALS
Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
FLO 7 of 7 (100%) · ADO 7 of 7 (100%)96.3%
Florgrade FC: under 5.5 goals in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · AD Ovarense: under 5.5 goals in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · Florgrade FC: only games against sides at AD Ovarense's level · AD Ovarense: only games against sides at Florgrade FC's level
Under 4.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
FLO 7 of 7 (100%) · ADO 7 of 7 (100%)89.1%
Florgrade FC: under 4.5 goals in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · AD Ovarense: under 4.5 goals in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · Florgrade FC: only games against sides at AD Ovarense's level · AD Ovarense: only games against sides at Florgrade FC's level
Under 3.5 GoalsMAININ CODES
1.27
FLO 6 of 7 (86%) · ADO 6 of 7 (86%)75.2%
Florgrade FC: under 3.5 goals in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · AD Ovarense: under 3.5 goals in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 86% · Florgrade FC: only games against sides at AD Ovarense's level · AD Ovarense: only games against sides at Florgrade FC's level
Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
FLO 7 of 7 (100%) · ADO 7 of 7 (100%)73.7%
Florgrade FC: over 0.5 goals in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · AD Ovarense: over 0.5 goals in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · Florgrade FC: only games against sides at AD Ovarense's level · AD Ovarense: only games against sides at Florgrade FC's level
Over 1.5 GoalsFULL COVERHELD · the odds board 77%
1.30
FLO 5 of 7 (71%) · ADO 6 of 7 (86%)55.4%
Florgrade FC: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · AD Ovarense: over 1.5 goals in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 79% · Florgrade FC: only games against sides at AD Ovarense's level · AD Ovarense: only games against sides at Florgrade FC's level
Under 2.5 GoalsLEANHELD · the odds board 57%
1.74
FLO 6 of 7 (86%) · ADO 4 of 7 (57%)34.6%
Florgrade FC: under 2.5 goals in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · AD Ovarense: under 2.5 goals in 4 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 71% · Florgrade FC: only games against sides at AD Ovarense's level · AD Ovarense: only games against sides at Florgrade FC's level
AD OVARENSE GOALS
AD Ovarense Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ADO 7 of 7 (100%) · FLO 4 of 7 (57%)52.3%
AD Ovarense scored in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Florgrade FC conceded in 4 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 79% · AD Ovarense: only games against sides at Florgrade FC's level · Florgrade FC: only games against sides at AD Ovarense's level
CORNERS
Over 7.5 CornersPAGE ONLY
no price yet
FLO 5 of 7 (71%) · ADO 6 of 7 (86%)78.6%
Florgrade FC's games: over 7.5 corners in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · AD Ovarense's games: over 7.5 corners in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 79% · Florgrade FC: only games against sides at AD Ovarense's level · AD Ovarense: only games against sides at Florgrade FC's level
CARDS
Over 3.5 CardsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
FLO 7 of 7 (100%) · ADO 6 of 7 (86%)92.9%
Florgrade FC's games: over 3.5 cards in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · AD Ovarense's games: over 3.5 cards in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 93% · Florgrade FC: only games against sides at AD Ovarense's level · AD Ovarense: only games against sides at Florgrade FC's level
OTHER
GG/NG 2+: NoIN CODES
1.09
FLO 7 of 7 (100%) · ADO 6 of 7 (86%)93.9%
Florgrade FC: the bet landed in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · AD Ovarense: the bet landed in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 93% · Florgrade FC: only games against sides at AD Ovarense's level · AD Ovarense: only games against sides at Florgrade FC's level
Left off the list: AD Ovarense or Under 2.5 Goals (the numbers (71%) and the records (93%) are 22 points apart, and nothing settles it); AD Ovarense 1UP (the numbers (50%) and the records (70%) are on opposite sides, and nothing settles it)
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 0–1 8.5%
Florgrade FC goals →
AD Ovarense goals ↓
0-08%
1-010%
2-07%
3-03%
4-01%
5-00.3%
0-19%
1-113%
2-19%
3-14%
4-11%
5-10.4%
0-26%
1-28%
2-25%
3-22%
4-20.8%
5-20.2%
0-32%
1-33%
2-32%
3-30.9%
4-30.3%
5-30.1%
0-40.7%
1-40.9%
2-40.6%
3-40.3%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.2%
1-50.2%
2-50.2%
3-50.1%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).
FORM · LAST 10
FLORGRADE FCDWDLWWLLWD1.50 PPG
AD OVARENSEWDWWWWLDWW2.30 PPG
THE NUMBERS
FLORGRADE FC HOMExAD OVARENSE AWAY
0.90SCORED A GAME2.300.90CONCEDED A GAME0.7050%CLEAN SHEETS50%4.60CORNERS A GAME7.003.10CARDS A GAME2.38
THE BANK
THE BANKER MENU
OVER 1.5 CARDS
–
543 OF 573
PRICE NOT KEPT
Both sides' last 5 games point to 5.2+ cards.
Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.
TRENDS
Florgrade FC have scored in 70% of their games.
AD Ovarense have scored in 90% of their games.
Florgrade FC kept a clean sheet in 50% of their games.
AD Ovarense kept a clean sheet in 50% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards