PORTUGAL - CAMPEONATO DE PORTUGAL
16:00Sun 8 Nov
MOR
MF
AD Nogueirense vs Mortagua FC
CLASS E
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Match details. Campeonato de Portugal. Kick-off is Sun 8 Nov, 16:00 Lagos time.
Form. AD Nogueirense have won one, drawn six and lost one of their last eight, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L D W D. Mortagua FC have won five, drawn three and lost two of their last ten, 1.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W L L D.
The numbers. AD Nogueirense score 1.5 and concede 1.8 a game over their last eight, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. AD Nogueirense average 7.8 shots (3.4 on target), 4.2 corners and 2.5 cards a game. Mortagua FC score 1.3 and concede 0.8 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets and four games without a goal. Mortagua FC average 8.9 shots (2.7 on target), 4.4 corners and 1.9 cards a game.
The read. No side to back. An open game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 54%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: AD Nogueirense 2-1 Mortagua FC (9% chance).
The agreed story. No side to back (AD Nogueirense the favourite), an open game.
So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.
PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
AD Nogueirense (2:0 handicap)PAGE ONLY
no price yet
ADN 6 of 7 (86%) · MOR 5 of 8 (62%)74.1%
AD Nogueirense: the bet landed in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Mortagua FC: the bet landed in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 74% · AD Nogueirense: only games against sides at Mortagua FC's level · Mortagua FC: only games against sides at AD Nogueirense's level
Draw or Over 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ADN 7 of 7 (100%) · MOR 6 of 8 (75%)72.5%
AD Nogueirense: the bet landed in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Mortagua FC: the bet landed in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 88% · AD Nogueirense: only games against sides at Mortagua FC's level · Mortagua FC: only games against sides at AD Nogueirense's level
Mortagua FC or Draw (1UP)PAGE ONLY
no price yet
MOR 4 of 5 (80%) · ADN 7 of 8 (88%)66.4%
Mortagua FC scored first 3 of last 5, led or was unbeaten in 4 · led or was unbeaten in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · AD Nogueirense trailed or failed to win in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Mortagua FC: only games against sides at AD Nogueirense's level · AD Nogueirense: only games against sides at Mortagua FC's level
AD Nogueirense or Both Teams ScorePAGE ONLY
no price yet
ADN 5 of 7 (71%) · MOR 6 of 8 (75%)55.2%
AD Nogueirense: the bet landed in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Mortagua FC: the bet landed in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 73% · AD Nogueirense: only games against sides at Mortagua FC's level · Mortagua FC: only games against sides at AD Nogueirense's level
AD Nogueirense or Draw (1UP)LEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ADN 4 of 5 (80%) · MOR 6 of 7 (86%)49.7%
AD Nogueirense scored first 2 of last 5, led or was unbeaten in 4 · led or was unbeaten in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Mortagua FC trailed or failed to win in 3 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · AD Nogueirense: only games against sides at Mortagua FC's level · Mortagua FC: only games against sides at AD Nogueirense's level
GOALS
Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ADN 6 of 7 (86%) · MOR 7 of 8 (88%)92.9%
AD Nogueirense: over 0.5 goals in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Mortagua FC: over 0.5 goals in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 87% · AD Nogueirense: only games against sides at Mortagua FC's level · Mortagua FC: only games against sides at AD Nogueirense's level
Over 1.5 GoalsIN CODES
1.34
ADN 6 of 7 (86%) · MOR 6 of 8 (75%)77.3%
AD Nogueirense: over 1.5 goals in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Mortagua FC: over 1.5 goals in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 80% · AD Nogueirense: only games against sides at Mortagua FC's level · Mortagua FC: only games against sides at AD Nogueirense's level
BOTH TEAMS SCORE
Both Teams to Score - YesLEANPAGE ONLY
1.79
ADN 5 of 7 (71%) · MOR 5 of 8 (62%)57%
AD Nogueirense: both scored in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Mortagua FC: both scored in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 67% · AD Nogueirense: only games against sides at Mortagua FC's level · Mortagua FC: only games against sides at AD Nogueirense's level
AD NOGUEIRENSE GOALS
AD Nogueirense Over 0.5 GoalsIN CODES
1.36
ADN 5 of 7 (71%) · MOR 6 of 8 (75%)75.7%
AD Nogueirense scored in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Mortagua FC conceded in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 73% · AD Nogueirense: only games against sides at Mortagua FC's level · Mortagua FC: only games against sides at AD Nogueirense's level
MORTAGUA FC GOALS
Mortagua FC Over 0.5 goalsIN CODES
1.37
MOR 6 of 8 (75%) · ADN 6 of 7 (86%)73.2%
Mortagua FC scored in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · AD Nogueirense conceded in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 80% · Mortagua FC: only games against sides at AD Nogueirense's level · AD Nogueirense: only games against sides at Mortagua FC's level
CORNERS
Over 5.5 CornersPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ADN 7 of 7 (100%) · MOR 7 of 8 (88%)93.8%
AD Nogueirense's games: over 5.5 corners in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Mortagua FC's games: over 5.5 corners in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 94% · AD Nogueirense: only games against sides at Mortagua FC's level · Mortagua FC: only games against sides at AD Nogueirense's level
CARDS
Over 2.5 CardsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ADN 5 of 7 (71%) · MOR 6 of 8 (75%)73.2%
AD Nogueirense's games: over 2.5 cards in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Mortagua FC's games: over 2.5 cards in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 73% · AD Nogueirense: only games against sides at Mortagua FC's level · Mortagua FC: only games against sides at AD Nogueirense's level
OTHER
GG/NG 2+: NoHELD · the odds board 92%
1.09
ADN 4 of 7 (57%) · MOR 8 of 8 (100%)60.6%
AD Nogueirense: the bet landed in 4 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Mortagua FC: the bet landed in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 79% · AD Nogueirense: only games against sides at Mortagua FC's level · Mortagua FC: only games against sides at AD Nogueirense's level
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 2–1 8.6%
AD Nogueirense goals →
Mortagua FC goals ↓
0-07%
1-08%
2-07%
3-03%
4-01%
5-00.3%
0-18%
1-113%
2-19%
3-14%
4-11%
5-10.4%
0-26%
1-28%
2-26%
3-23%
4-20.9%
5-20.3%
0-32%
1-33%
2-32%
3-31%
4-30.4%
5-30.1%
0-40.8%
1-41%
2-40.8%
3-40.4%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.2%
1-50.3%
2-50.2%
3-50.1%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).
FORM · LAST 10
AD NOGUEIRENSEDDDDWDLD1.12 PPG
MORTAGUA FCWWWDWDLLWD1.80 PPG
THE NUMBERS
AD NOGUEIRENSE HOMExMORTAGUA FC AWAY
1.50SCORED A GAME1.301.75CONCEDED A GAME0.8012%CLEAN SHEETS30%4.25CORNERS A GAME4.402.50CARDS A GAME1.90
THE BANK
THE BANKER MENU
OVER 1.5 CARDS
–
649 OF 684
PRICE NOT KEPT
The league averages 5.0+ cards a game.
Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.
TRENDS
AD Nogueirense have scored in 75% of their games.
Mortagua FC have scored in 60% of their games.
AD Nogueirense kept a clean sheet in 12% of their games.
Mortagua FC kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards