PORTUGAL - CAMPEONATO DE PORTUGAL
12:00Sun 8 Nov
ADM
AM
AD Sanjoanense vs AD Machico
CLASS E
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75
TOTAL GOALS
Class E
Under 3.5 Goals
AD Sanjoanense v AD Machico
1.22odds
82%book
-7edge
3/3angles
THE READ
Match details. Campeonato de Portugal. Kick-off is Sun 8 Nov, 12:00 Lagos time.
Form. AD Sanjoanense have won six, drawn two and lost two of their last ten, 2.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L W W W. AD Machico have won five, drawn five and lost none of their last ten, 2.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W W W D.
The numbers. AD Sanjoanense score 1.8 and concede 0.4 a game in their last five at home, with three clean sheets. AD Sanjoanense average 12.9 shots (5.5 on target), 6.0 corners and 2.2 cards a game. AD Machico score 1.2 and concede 0.4 a game in their last five away, with three clean sheets. AD Machico average 11.5 shots (4.7 on target), 4.3 corners and 2.6 cards a game.
The read. No side to back. A tight game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 32%.
The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.22, rated 74% (AD Sanjoanense: under 3.5 goals in 6 of 7; AD Machico: under 3.5 goals in 5 of 5 away). Full cover: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.37. Whenever the best bet loses, this one wins. Predicted score: AD Sanjoanense 1-1 AD Machico (13% chance).
The agreed story. No side to back (AD Sanjoanense the favourite), a tight game.
So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.
PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
AD Sanjoanense (2:0 handicap)PAGE ONLY
no price yet
ADS 6 of 7 (86%) · ADM 4 of 5 (80%)83.5%
AD Sanjoanense: the bet landed in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · AD Machico: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 82% · AD Sanjoanense: only games against sides at AD Machico's level · AD Machico: only games against sides at AD Sanjoanense's level
AD Sanjoanense or Under 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ADS 6 of 7 (86%) · ADM 4 of 5 (80%)63.6%
AD Sanjoanense: the bet landed in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · AD Machico: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 82% · AD Sanjoanense: only games against sides at AD Machico's level · AD Machico: only games against sides at AD Sanjoanense's level
AD Machico or Under 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ADM 5 of 5 (100%) · ADS 5 of 7 (71%)56.6%
AD Machico: the bet landed in 5 of 5 away · AD Sanjoanense: the bet landed in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 86% · AD Machico: only games against sides at AD Sanjoanense's level · AD Sanjoanense: only games against sides at AD Machico's level
Draw or Over 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ADS 5 of 7 (71%) · ADM 3 of 5 (60%)48.8%
AD Sanjoanense: the bet landed in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · AD Machico: the bet landed in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 69% · AD Sanjoanense: only games against sides at AD Machico's level · AD Machico: only games against sides at AD Sanjoanense's level
Draw or Under 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ADS 4 of 7 (57%) · ADM 4 of 5 (80%)47.7%
AD Sanjoanense: the bet landed in 4 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · AD Machico: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 67% · AD Sanjoanense: only games against sides at AD Machico's level · AD Machico: only games against sides at AD Sanjoanense's level
Double Chance: Draw or AD MachicoLEANHELD · the odds board 65%
1.53
ADM 5 of 5 (100%) · ADS 4 of 7 (57%)41.2%
AD Machico unbeaten in 5 of 5 away · AD Sanjoanense failed to win 4 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 79% · AD Machico: only games against sides at AD Sanjoanense's level · AD Sanjoanense: only games against sides at AD Machico's level
GOALS
Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ADS 7 of 7 (100%) · ADM 5 of 5 (100%)96.1%
AD Sanjoanense: under 5.5 goals in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · AD Machico: under 5.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 100% · AD Sanjoanense: only games against sides at AD Machico's level · AD Machico: only games against sides at AD Sanjoanense's level
Under 4.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ADS 7 of 7 (100%) · ADM 5 of 5 (100%)88.8%
AD Sanjoanense: under 4.5 goals in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · AD Machico: under 4.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 100% · AD Sanjoanense: only games against sides at AD Machico's level · AD Machico: only games against sides at AD Sanjoanense's level
Under 3.5 GoalsMAININ CODES
1.22
ADS 6 of 7 (86%) · ADM 5 of 5 (100%)74.7%
AD Sanjoanense: under 3.5 goals in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · AD Machico: under 3.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 87% · AD Sanjoanense: only games against sides at AD Machico's level · AD Machico: only games against sides at AD Sanjoanense's level
Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ADS 7 of 7 (100%) · ADM 4 of 5 (80%)73.9%
AD Sanjoanense: over 0.5 goals in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · AD Machico: over 0.5 goals in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 83% · AD Sanjoanense: only games against sides at AD Machico's level · AD Machico: only games against sides at AD Sanjoanense's level
Over 1.5 GoalsFULL COVERIN CODES
1.37
ADS 6 of 7 (86%) · ADM 3 of 5 (60%)55.8%
AD Sanjoanense: over 1.5 goals in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · AD Machico: over 1.5 goals in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 65% · AD Sanjoanense: only games against sides at AD Machico's level · AD Machico: only games against sides at AD Sanjoanense's level
Under 2.5 GoalsLEANHELD · the odds board 62%
1.61
ADS 4 of 7 (57%) · ADM 4 of 5 (80%)34%
AD Sanjoanense: under 2.5 goals in 4 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · AD Machico: under 2.5 goals in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 67% · AD Sanjoanense: only games against sides at AD Machico's level · AD Machico: only games against sides at AD Sanjoanense's level
AD SANJOANENSE GOALS
AD Sanjoanense Under 1.5 goalsLEANHELD · the odds board 68%
1.48
ADS 5 of 7 (71%) · ADM 5 of 5 (100%)41.3%
AD Sanjoanense scored under 1.5 in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · AD Machico conceded under 1.5 in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 86% · AD Sanjoanense: only games against sides at AD Machico's level · AD Machico: only games against sides at AD Sanjoanense's level
AD MACHICO GOALS
AD Machico Over 0.5 goalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.41
ADM 4 of 5 (80%) · ADS 6 of 7 (86%)51.8%
AD Machico scored in 4 of 5 away · AD Sanjoanense conceded in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 76% · AD Machico: only games against sides at AD Sanjoanense's level · AD Sanjoanense: only games against sides at AD Machico's level
CARDS
Over 3.5 CardsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ADS 6 of 7 (86%) · ADM 3 of 5 (60%)75.8%
AD Sanjoanense's games: over 3.5 cards in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · AD Machico's games: over 3.5 cards in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 82% · AD Sanjoanense: only games against sides at AD Machico's level · AD Machico: only games against sides at AD Sanjoanense's level
Left off the list: AD Machico 1UP (the numbers (49%) and the records (77%) are on opposite sides, and nothing settles it); AD Machico or Draw (1UP) (the numbers (66%) and the records (95%) are 30 points apart, and nothing settles it); Over 7.5 Corners (the numbers (52%) and the records (76%) are 23 points apart, and nothing settles it)
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 1–1 13.2%
AD Sanjoanense goals →
AD Machico goals ↓
0-08%
1-010%
2-07%
3-03%
4-01%
5-00.3%
0-18%
1-113%
2-19%
3-14%
4-11%
5-10.4%
0-25%
1-27%
2-25%
3-22%
4-20.8%
5-20.2%
0-32%
1-33%
2-32%
3-31.0%
4-30.3%
5-30.1%
0-40.6%
1-40.9%
2-40.6%
3-40.3%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.2%
1-50.2%
2-50.1%
3-50.1%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).
FORM · LAST 10
AD SANJOANENSEDDWWLWWWLW2.00 PPG
AD MACHICODWDWDDWWWD2.00 PPG
THE NUMBERS
AD SANJOANENSE HOMExAD MACHICO AWAY
1.70SCORED A GAME1.300.90CONCEDED A GAME0.4030%CLEAN SHEETS70%6.00CORNERS A GAME4.302.20CARDS A GAME2.60
THE BANK
THE BANKER MENU
OVER 1.5 CARDS
–
649 OF 684
PRICE NOT KEPT
The league averages 5.0+ cards a game.
Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.
TRENDS
AD Sanjoanense have scored in 90% of their games.
AD Machico have scored in 70% of their games.
AD Sanjoanense kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.
AD Machico kept a clean sheet in 70% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards