Colchester United vs Ipswich Town U21
Match details. EFL Trophy, Group South - 4. Kick-off is Tue 10 Nov, 20:45 Lagos time. It is played at Colchester Community Stadium.
Form. Colchester United have won one, drawn five and lost four of their last ten, 0.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L L D D. In this competition Colchester United have gone L. Ipswich Town U21 have won four, drawn one and lost five of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L L W L. In this competition Ipswich Town U21 have gone L L.
The numbers. Colchester United score 0.8 and concede one a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets. Colchester United average 12.1 shots (3.4 on target), 4.0 corners and 1.5 cards a game, with 53% of the ball. Ipswich Town U21 score two and concede 2.3 a game in their last six away, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal.
The read. No side to back. An open game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 53%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: Colchester United 2-1 Ipswich Town U21 (8% chance).
The agreed story. No side to back (Colchester United the favourite), an open game.
Cup and European games. A domestic cup: sides rotate, and the two can come from different divisions. Colchester United in their last cup games: won 1-0 v Worcester City (3 divisions below), drew 1-1 v Luton (a division above), lost 1-3 at Peterborough United (a division above). Ipswich Town U21 in their last cup games: won 5-0 at Aldershot Town FC, lost 0-1 at Coventry City U21, won 2-1 at Worthing FC.
So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).