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ENGLAND - EFL TROPHY
Crawley Town crestCTCRA
20:30Tue 10 Nov
BREBrentford U21 crestBU

Crawley Town vs Brentford U21

CLASS E
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THE READ

Match details. L2, Group South - 8. Kick-off is Tue 10 Nov, 20:30 Lagos time. It is played at Broadfield Stadium, Crawley.

Form. Crawley Town have won one, drawn none and lost one of their last two league games, 1.5 points a game. Their last two in the league, newest first: W L. Brentford U21 have won one, drawn none and lost one of their last two league games, 1.5 points a game. Their last two in the league, newest first: L W.

The numbers. Crawley Town score 2.5 and concede two a game over their last two, with one clean sheet. Crawley Town average 13.6 shots (5.6 on target), 4.2 corners and 2.1 cards a game, with 49% of the ball. Brentford U21 score one and concede 3.5 a game over their last two, with one clean sheet. Brentford U21 average 12.1 shots (4.3 on target), 5.1 corners and 1.6 cards a game, with 52% of the ball.

Where it pulls both ways. It pulls both ways: their goals for and against make Crawley Town the likelier winners, but Brentford U21 are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Brentford U21.

The read. No side to back. An open game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 69%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: Crawley Town 2-1 Brentford U21 (8% chance).

The agreed story. No side to back (Brentford U21 the favourite), an open game.

Cup and European games. A domestic cup: sides rotate, and the two can come from different divisions. Crawley Town in their last cup games: lost 0-2 at Wimborne Town (3 divisions below), won 4-0 v Bromley FC (a division above), lost 1-4 at Milton Keynes Dons (a division above). Brentford U21 in their last cup games: won 2-1 at Wycombe Wanderers Development Team. Too few cup games to judge the side from.

So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.

PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
Crawley Town to Win to Nil: NoIN CODES
1.29
CRA 4 of 5 (80%) · BRE 6 of 6 (100%)86.7%
Crawley Town: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · Brentford U21: the bet landed in 6 of 6 away · both last 10: 80%
Draw or Over 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
1.15
CRA 5 of 5 (100%) · BRE 5 of 6 (83%)81.1%
Crawley Town: the bet landed in 5 of 5 at home · Brentford U21: the bet landed in 5 of 6 away · both last 10: 70%
Brentford U21 win or both teams scoreIN CODES
1.33
BRE 6 of 6 (100%) · CRA 4 of 5 (80%)68.7%
Brentford U21: the bet landed in 6 of 6 away · Crawley Town: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · both last 10: 80%
Brentford U21 or Over 2.5 GoalsHELD · the odds board 82%
1.22
BRE 5 of 6 (83%) · CRA 4 of 5 (80%)61.4%
Brentford U21: the bet landed in 5 of 6 away · Crawley Town: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · both last 10: 75%
Crawley Town or Over 2.5 GoalsHELD · the odds board 90%
1.11
CRA 4 of 5 (80%) · BRE 4 of 6 (67%)55.9%
Crawley Town: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · Brentford U21: the bet landed in 4 of 6 away · both last 10: 75%
GOALS
Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CRA 5 of 5 (100%) · BRE 6 of 6 (100%)97%
Crawley Town: over 0.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · Brentford U21: over 0.5 goals in 6 of 6 away · both last 10: 100%
Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CRA 5 of 5 (100%) · BRE 5 of 6 (83%)92.1%
Crawley Town: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · Brentford U21: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 6 away · both last 10: 90%
Over 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.31
CRA 4 of 5 (80%) · BRE 4 of 6 (67%)69.9%
Crawley Town: over 2.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home · Brentford U21: over 2.5 goals in 4 of 6 away · both last 10: 60%
BOTH TEAMS SCORE
Both Teams to Score - YesPAGE ONLY
1.43
CRA 4 of 5 (80%) · BRE 5 of 6 (83%)77.1%
Crawley Town: both scored in 4 of 5 at home · Brentford U21: both scored in 5 of 6 away · both last 10: 65%
CRAWLEY TOWN GOALS
Crawley Town Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CRA 5 of 5 (100%) · BRE 5 of 6 (83%)89.4%
Crawley Town scored in 5 of 5 at home · Brentford U21 conceded in 5 of 6 away · both last 10: 85%
BRENTFORD U21 GOALS
Brentford U21 Over 0.5 goalsIN CODES
1.34
BRE 6 of 6 (100%) · CRA 4 of 5 (80%)86.7%
Brentford U21 scored in 6 of 6 away · Crawley Town conceded in 4 of 5 at home · both last 10: 80%
HALVES
Both Halves Under 1.5: NoPAGE ONLY
1.17
CRA 5 of 5 (100%) · BRE 5 of 6 (83%)78.1%
Crawley Town: the bet landed in 5 of 5 at home · Brentford U21: the bet landed in 5 of 6 away · both last 10: 80% · on half-time scores
Over 0.5 first-half goalsPAGE ONLY
1.16
CRA 4 of 5 (80%) · BRE 5 of 6 (83%)77.7%
Crawley Town: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · Brentford U21: the bet landed in 5 of 6 away · both last 10: 80% · on half-time scores
1st Half Brentford U21 to Win to Nil: NoPAGE ONLY
1.11
CRA 4 of 5 (80%) · BRE 6 of 6 (100%)70.1%
Crawley Town: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · Brentford U21: the bet landed in 6 of 6 away · both last 10: 70% · on half-time scores
Left off the list: Brentford U21 or Under 2.5 Goals (the numbers (50%) and the records (67%) are on opposite sides, and nothing settles it)
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 2–1 8.1%
Crawley Town goals →
Brentford U21 goals ↓
0-02%
1-04%
2-05%
3-03%
4-02%
5-00.8%
0-13%
1-18%
2-18%
3-16%
4-13%
5-11%
0-23%
1-27%
2-27%
3-25%
4-23%
5-21%
0-32%
1-34%
2-34%
3-33%
4-32%
5-30.7%
0-40.8%
1-42%
2-42%
3-41%
4-40.7%
5-40.3%
0-50.3%
1-50.6%
2-50.6%
3-50.5%
4-50.3%
5-50.1%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).

FORM · LAST 10
CRAWLEY TOWNLLLWDLLDWL0.80 PPG
BRENTFORD U21DLLWLWLWWL1.30 PPG
THE NUMBERS
CRAWLEY TOWN HOMExBRENTFORD U21 AWAY
1.30SCORED A GAME1.601.90CONCEDED A GAME2.3018%CLEAN SHEETS15%25%FAILED TO SCORE29%4.25CORNERS A GAME5.142.12CARDS A GAME1.57
TRENDS
Crawley Town have scored in 71% of their games.
Brentford U21 have scored in 85% of their games.
Crawley Town kept a clean sheet in 18% of their games.
Brentford U21 kept a clean sheet in 15% of their games.
BUILT FROM
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