Montevideo City Torque vs Club Nacional Montevideo

Match details. Primera Division, Women. Kick-off is Mon 9 Nov, 00:00 Lagos time.

Form. Montevideo City Torque have won eight, drawn one and lost one of their last ten, 2.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W W W L. Club Nacional Montevideo have won five, drawn four and lost one of their last ten, 1.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D L D D.

The numbers. Montevideo City Torque score 3.8 and concede 0.2 a game in their last five at home, with four clean sheets. Montevideo City Torque average 6.0 shots (4.7 on target), 5.7 corners and 2.3 cards a game. Club Nacional Montevideo score 2.3 and concede 1.2 a game in their last six away, with one clean sheet. Club Nacional Montevideo average 15.4 shots (5.6 on target), 6.6 corners and 1.8 cards a game.

Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 11% against the records' 47%.

The read. No firm call: Montevideo City Torque are the better side, but not at this price. An open game. Their goals for and against make Montevideo City Torque the likelier winners; Montevideo City Torque are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Montevideo City Torque. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 57%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: Montevideo City Torque 2-1 Club Nacional Montevideo (10% chance).

The agreed story. No side to back (Montevideo City Torque the favourite), an open game.

Cup and European games. A domestic cup: sides rotate, and the two can come from different divisions. Montevideo City Torque in their last cup games: won 2-0 at CA Penarol Montevideo. Too few cup games to judge the side from.

So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.