VENEZUELA - SEGUNDA DIVISION
20:30Sun 8 Nov
URE
US
Monagas SC B vs Urena SC
CLASS E
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84
DOUBLE CHANCE
Class E
Double Chance: Monagas SC B or Draw
Monagas SC B v Urena SC
1.15odds
87%book
-3edge
2/2angles
EDGE PICKUrena SC Over 0.5 goals · 44.9% · @1.50
Book 67% · Us 45% -22 price too short
Backed by
· main loses on: 0-1, 0-2, 1-2, 0-3, 1-3, 0-4, 2-3, 1-4, 0-5, 2-4, 1-5, 0-6 and 43 more up to 10-10 | hedge wins on all of themUrena SC scored in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Monagas SC B conceded in 3 of 5 at home · both last 10: 66% · Urena SC: only games against sides at Monagas SC B's level · Monagas SC B: only games against sides at Urena SC's level
THE READ
Match details. Segunda Division. Kick-off is Sun 8 Nov, 20:30 Lagos time.
Form. Monagas SC B have won five, drawn three and lost two of their last ten, 1.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L W W L. Urena SC have won one, drawn five and lost four of their last ten, 0.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D L L D.
The numbers. Monagas SC B score 1.6 and concede 0.8 a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets. Monagas SC B average 3.5 corners and 3.4 cards a game. Urena SC score 1.6 and concede 2.6 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets. Urena SC average 4.3 corners and 2.9 cards a game.
The read. Monagas SC B to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make Monagas SC B the likelier winners; Monagas SC B are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Monagas SC B. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 68%.
The bets. Best bet: Monagas SC B or Draw at 1.15, rated 90% (Monagas SC B unbeaten in 5 of 5 at home; Urena SC failed to win 7 of 8). Backup: Urena SC Clean Sheet: No at 1.11. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Predicted score: Monagas SC B 2-1 Urena SC (10% chance).
The agreed story. Monagas SC B or the draw, an open game.
The league run. Monagas SC B: one defeat in their last five league games (D D W W L). Urena SC: no win in their last three league games (D D L D D).
So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.
PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
Monagas SC B or Draw (1UP)PAGE ONLY
no price yet
MON 5 of 5 (100%) · URE 5 of 5 (100%)97%
Monagas SC B scored first 4 of last 5, led or was unbeaten in 5 · led or was unbeaten in 5 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · Urena SC trailed or failed to win in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Monagas SC B: only games against sides at Urena SC's level · Urena SC: only games against sides at Monagas SC B's level
Double Chance: Monagas SC B or DrawMAININ CODES
1.15
MON 5 of 5 (100%) · URE 7 of 8 (88%)84.3%
Monagas SC B unbeaten in 5 of 5 at home · Urena SC failed to win 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 84% · Monagas SC B: only games against sides at Urena SC's level · Urena SC: only games against sides at Monagas SC B's level
Urena SC (0:2 handicap)PAGE ONLY
no price yet
URE 5 of 8 (62%) · MON 5 of 5 (100%)79.6%
Urena SC: the bet landed in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Monagas SC B: the bet landed in 5 of 5 at home · both last 10: 76% · Urena SC: only games against sides at Monagas SC B's level · Monagas SC B: only games against sides at Urena SC's level
1st Half - Double Chance: Monagas SC B or DrawPAGE ONLY
1.15
MON 4 of 5 (80%) · URE 7 of 8 (88%)79.3%
Monagas SC B: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · Urena SC: the bet landed in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 88% · on half-time scores · Monagas SC B: only games against sides at Urena SC's level · Urena SC: only games against sides at Monagas SC B's level
Monagas SC B (Draw No Bet)IN CODES
1.21
MON 5 of 7 (71%) · URE 4 of 5 (80%)76.7%
Monagas SC B won 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · Urena SC lost 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · both last 10: 76% · Monagas SC B: only games against sides at Urena SC's level · won 6, refunded 3, lost 1
Draw or Over 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
MON 3 of 5 (60%) · URE 8 of 8 (100%)70.3%
Monagas SC B: the bet landed in 3 of 5 at home · Urena SC: the bet landed in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 90% · Monagas SC B: only games against sides at Urena SC's level · Urena SC: only games against sides at Monagas SC B's level
Monagas SC B or Over 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
MON 5 of 5 (100%) · URE 6 of 8 (75%)65%
Monagas SC B: the bet landed in 5 of 5 at home · Urena SC: the bet landed in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 78% · Monagas SC B: only games against sides at Urena SC's level · Urena SC: only games against sides at Monagas SC B's level
Monagas SC B or Both Teams ScorePAGE ONLY
no price yet
MON 5 of 5 (100%) · URE 7 of 8 (88%)63.1%
Monagas SC B: the bet landed in 5 of 5 at home · Urena SC: the bet landed in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 94% · Monagas SC B: only games against sides at Urena SC's level · Urena SC: only games against sides at Monagas SC B's level
Monagas SC B or Draw & Over 1.5LEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
MON 3 of 5 (60%) · URE 6 of 8 (75%)58.8%
Monagas SC B: the bet landed in 3 of 5 at home · Urena SC: the bet landed in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 68% · Monagas SC B: only games against sides at Urena SC's level · Urena SC: only games against sides at Monagas SC B's level
Monagas SC B to WinLEANHELD · the odds board 65%
1.54
MON 4 of 5 (80%) · URE 3 of 8 (38%)28.5%
Monagas SC B won 4 of 5 at home · Urena SC lost 3 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 44% · Monagas SC B: only games against sides at Urena SC's level · Urena SC: only games against sides at Monagas SC B's level
GOALS
Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
MON 5 of 5 (100%) · URE 7 of 8 (88%)93.8%
Monagas SC B: over 0.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · Urena SC: over 0.5 goals in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 94% · Monagas SC B: only games against sides at Urena SC's level · Urena SC: only games against sides at Monagas SC B's level
Over 1.5 GoalsIN CODES
1.21
MON 3 of 5 (60%) · URE 7 of 8 (88%)77.1%
Monagas SC B: over 1.5 goals in 3 of 5 at home · Urena SC: over 1.5 goals in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 84% · Monagas SC B: only games against sides at Urena SC's level · Urena SC: only games against sides at Monagas SC B's level
Over 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.67
MON 3 of 5 (60%) · URE 6 of 8 (75%)61.2%
Monagas SC B: over 2.5 goals in 3 of 5 at home · Urena SC: over 2.5 goals in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 68% · Monagas SC B: only games against sides at Urena SC's level · Urena SC: only games against sides at Monagas SC B's level
BOTH TEAMS SCORE
Both Teams to Score - YesLEANPAGE ONLY
1.72
MON 3 of 5 (60%) · URE 5 of 8 (62%)44.9%
Monagas SC B: both scored in 3 of 5 at home · Urena SC: both scored in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 66% · Monagas SC B: only games against sides at Urena SC's level · Urena SC: only games against sides at Monagas SC B's level
MONAGAS SC B GOALS
Monagas SC B Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
MON 5 of 5 (100%) · URE 7 of 8 (88%)93.8%
Monagas SC B scored in 5 of 5 at home · Urena SC conceded in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 94% · Monagas SC B: only games against sides at Urena SC's level · Urena SC: only games against sides at Monagas SC B's level
Monagas SC B Over 1.5 goalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.57
MON 3 of 5 (60%) · URE 6 of 8 (75%)66.8%
Monagas SC B scored over 1.5 in 3 of 5 at home · Urena SC conceded over 1.5 in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 62% · Monagas SC B: only games against sides at Urena SC's level · Urena SC: only games against sides at Monagas SC B's level
URENA SC GOALS
Urena SC Over 0.5 goalsLEANHELD · the odds board 67%
1.50
URE 5 of 8 (62%) · MON 3 of 5 (60%)44.9%
Urena SC scored in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Monagas SC B conceded in 3 of 5 at home · both last 10: 66% · Urena SC: only games against sides at Monagas SC B's level · Monagas SC B: only games against sides at Urena SC's level
HALVES
Urena SC to Score In Both Halves: NoPAGE ONLY
1.11
MON 5 of 5 (100%) · URE 6 of 8 (75%)80.7%
Monagas SC B: the bet landed in 5 of 5 at home · Urena SC: the bet landed in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 76% · on half-time scores · Monagas SC B: only games against sides at Urena SC's level · Urena SC: only games against sides at Monagas SC B's level
1st Half Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
MON 4 of 5 (80%) · URE 5 of 8 (62%)74.4%
Monagas SC B: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · Urena SC: the bet landed in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 70% · on half-time scores · Monagas SC B: only games against sides at Urena SC's level · Urena SC: only games against sides at Monagas SC B's level
Excluded Number of Goals - First Half: 3+HELD · the odds board 89%
1.12
MON 5 of 5 (100%) · URE 7 of 8 (88%)66.3%
Monagas SC B: the bet landed in 5 of 5 at home · Urena SC: the bet landed in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 94% · on half-time scores · Monagas SC B: only games against sides at Urena SC's level · Urena SC: only games against sides at Monagas SC B's level
Both Halves Over 1.5: NoHELD · the odds board 86%
1.16
MON 5 of 5 (100%) · URE 7 of 8 (88%)61.1%
Monagas SC B: the bet landed in 5 of 5 at home · Urena SC: the bet landed in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 88% · on half-time scores · Monagas SC B: only games against sides at Urena SC's level · Urena SC: only games against sides at Monagas SC B's level
OTHER
Urena SC Clean Sheet: NoBACKUPIN CODES
1.11
URE 7 of 8 (88%) · MON 5 of 5 (100%)93.8%
Urena SC: the bet landed in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Monagas SC B: the bet landed in 5 of 5 at home · both last 10: 94% · Urena SC: only games against sides at Monagas SC B's level · Monagas SC B: only games against sides at Urena SC's level
Left off the list: Monagas SC B 1UP (the numbers (70%) and the records (95%) are 26 points apart, and nothing settles it)
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 2–1 9.7%
Monagas SC B goals →
Urena SC goals ↓
0-05%
1-08%
2-08%
3-05%
4-03%
5-01%
0-14%
1-111%
2-110%
3-16%
4-13%
5-11%
0-23%
1-26%
2-26%
3-24%
4-22%
5-20.7%
0-31%
1-32%
2-32%
3-32%
4-30.8%
5-30.3%
0-40.4%
1-40.8%
2-40.7%
3-40.5%
4-40.2%
5-40.1%
0-50.1%
1-50.2%
2-50.2%
3-50.1%
4-50.1%
5-50.0%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).
FORM · LAST 10
MONAGAS SC BDLWWLWWWDD1.80 PPG
URENA SCDDLLDDDLLW0.80 PPG
THE NUMBERS
MONAGAS SC B HOMExURENA SC AWAY
1.68SCORED A GAME1.441.04CONCEDED A GAME1.3470%BOTH SCORED70%30%CLEAN SHEETS10%3.45CORNERS A GAME4.343.40CARDS A GAME2.93
THE BANK
THE BANKER MENU
OVER 1.5 CARDS
–
718 OF 767
PRICE NOT KEPT
The Bank expects 4.5+ cards.
Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.
THE QUALITY READ
1.83POINTS A GAME1.21+0.50GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-0.21-3.4SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST+2.31.6LAST 5: POINTS A GAME0.812LEAGUE GAMES14
Monagas SC B: the quality side - more points a game, a better goal difference, better form (last 5).
MONAGAS SC B 2:0 HANDICAP
–
389 OF 413
PRICE NOT KEPT
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
75%
NO · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
53%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
83%
NO · 85/90
MONAGAS SC B OR DRAW
76%
NO · 80/85
URENA SC OR DRAW
61%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (12 and 14 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
MONAGAS SC BxURENA SC
6GAMES61.67SCORED A GAME2.671.17CONCEDED A GAME2.002.8GOALS IN THEIR GAMES4.767%OVER 1.5 GOALS100%67%OVER 2.5 GOALS83%67%BOTH SCORE100%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
TRENDS
Monagas SC B have scored in 100% of their games.
Urena SC have scored in 70% of their games.
Monagas SC B kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.
Urena SC kept a clean sheet in 10% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards