Aragua FC vs Yaracuyanos FC
Match details. Segunda Division, Quarter-finals. Kick-off is Sun 8 Nov, 20:30 Lagos time. It is played at Estadio Olimpico Hermanos Ghersi Paez, Maracay.
What's at stake. Aragua FC are 2nd on 43 points after 26 games, 2 points behind Monagas II, 1 point clear of Petare FC. A win would take them above Monagas II. Yaracuyanos FC are 3rd on 55 points after 32 games, 1 point behind Fundación Lara Deportiva, 7 points clear of Urena SC. A win would take them above Fundación Lara Deportiva. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.
Form. Aragua FC have won five, drawn four and lost none of their last nine league games, 2.1 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: D W D W W. In this competition Aragua FC have gone D W D W W D. Yaracuyanos FC have won six, drawn one and lost three of their last ten league games, 1.9 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: D W W W W. In this competition Yaracuyanos FC have gone D W W W W W.
The numbers. Aragua FC score 2.2 and concede 0.6 a game in their last five at home, with three clean sheets. Aragua FC average 5.0 corners and 3.1 cards a game. Yaracuyanos FC score 2.4 and concede 0.8 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. Yaracuyanos FC average 5.2 corners and 2.8 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings Aragua FC have won two, drawn four and lost four. Five of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in six. In the last four, Aragua FC won one, two were drawn and Yaracuyanos FC won one. The last time they met, on 1 Nov 2026, it finished Aragua FC 0-0 Yaracuyanos FC.
The read. No side to back. A tight game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side.
The bets. No best bet on this one: too close to call. Predicted score: Aragua FC 1-1 Yaracuyanos FC (14% chance).
The agreed story. Aragua FC or the draw, a tight game.
The league run. Aragua FC: unbeaten in their last five league games but drawing, the last three all draws (D D D W W). Yaracuyanos FC: unbeaten in their last five league games (D W W W W).
So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the Model's table).