UE Sant Andreu vs FC Barcelona
Match details. U19 Division de Honor Juvenil. Kick-off is Sun 8 Nov, 18:00 Lagos time.
Form. UE Sant Andreu have won none, drawn three and lost five of their last eight, 0.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L L L L. FC Barcelona have won six, drawn two and lost two of their last ten, 2.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W W D L.
The numbers. UE Sant Andreu score 0.4 and concede 1.9 a game over their last eight, with one clean sheet and six games without a goal. UE Sant Andreu average 6.4 shots (1.7 on target), 4.1 corners and 2.7 cards a game. FC Barcelona score 3.2 and concede 1.5 a game in their last six away, with three clean sheets. FC Barcelona average 17.7 shots (7.7 on target), 7.1 corners and 1.7 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 93% against the records' 62%.
The read. No firm call: FC Barcelona are the better side, but not at this price. An open game. Their goals for and against make FC Barcelona the likelier winners; FC Barcelona are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour FC Barcelona. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 56%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: UE Sant Andreu 1-2 FC Barcelona (9% chance).
The agreed story. No side to back (FC Barcelona the favourite), an open game.
Cup and European games. A domestic cup: sides rotate, and the two can come from different divisions. UE Sant Andreu in their last cup games: drew 2-2 at CE Manresa (a division below). Too few cup games to judge the side from.
So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).