THE READ
Match details. U19 Division de Honor Juvenil. Kick-off is Sun 8 Nov, 16:00 Lagos time.
Form. Villarreal CF have won six, drawn two and lost two of their last ten, 2.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W W W L. Patacona CF have won two, drawn three and lost five of their last ten, 0.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L L L L.
The numbers. Villarreal CF score 2.7 and concede 1.8 a game in their last six at home, with no clean sheets. Villarreal CF average 12.0 shots (4.2 on target), 4.0 corners and 2.1 cards a game. Patacona CF score one and concede two a game over their last ten, with one clean sheet and four games without a goal. Patacona CF average 9.2 shots (3.6 on target), 5.0 corners and 1.9 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 83% against the records' 57%.
The read. No firm call: Villarreal CF are the better side, but not at this price. An open game. Their goals for and against make Villarreal CF the likelier winners; Villarreal CF are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Villarreal CF. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 64%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: Villarreal CF 2-1 Patacona CF (9% chance).
The agreed story. No side to back (Villarreal CF the favourite), an open game.
Cup and European games. A domestic cup: sides rotate, and the two can come from different divisions. Too few cup games on either side to read.
So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.
PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
Draw or Over 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
VIL 6 of 6 (100%) · PAT 7 of 10 (70%)77.1%
Villarreal CF: the bet landed in 6 of 6 at home · Patacona CF: the bet landed in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 80% · Villarreal CF: only games against sides at Patacona CF's level · Patacona CF: only games against sides at Villarreal CF's level
Villarreal CF or Both Teams ScorePAGE ONLY
no price yet
VIL 5 of 6 (83%) · PAT 9 of 10 (90%)69.8%
Villarreal CF: the bet landed in 5 of 6 at home · Patacona CF: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 90% · Villarreal CF: only games against sides at Patacona CF's level · Patacona CF: only games against sides at Villarreal CF's level
Villarreal CF or Draw (1UP)PAGE ONLY
no price yet
VIL 4 of 5 (80%) · PAT 4 of 5 (80%)64.5%
Villarreal CF scored first 2 of last 5, led or was unbeaten in 4 · led or was unbeaten in 4 of 5 at home · Patacona CF trailed or failed to win in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Villarreal CF: only games against sides at Patacona CF's level · Patacona CF: only games against sides at Villarreal CF's level
Villarreal CF or Draw & Over 1.5PAGE ONLY
no price yet
VIL 5 of 6 (83%) · PAT 8 of 10 (80%)63.1%
Villarreal CF: the bet landed in 5 of 6 at home · Patacona CF: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 80% · Villarreal CF: only games against sides at Patacona CF's level · Patacona CF: only games against sides at Villarreal CF's level
Villarreal CF or Over 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
VIL 5 of 6 (83%) · PAT 7 of 10 (70%)58.1%
Villarreal CF: the bet landed in 5 of 6 at home · Patacona CF: the bet landed in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75% · Villarreal CF: only games against sides at Patacona CF's level · Patacona CF: only games against sides at Villarreal CF's level
Double Chance: Villarreal CF or Patacona CFHELD · the odds board 91%
1.10
VIL 5 of 6 (83%) · PAT 7 of 10 (70%)58.1%
Villarreal CF: the bet landed in 5 of 6 at home · Patacona CF: the bet landed in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75% · Villarreal CF: only games against sides at Patacona CF's level · Patacona CF: only games against sides at Villarreal CF's level
Patacona CF or Over 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
PAT 6 of 10 (60%) · VIL 5 of 6 (83%)51.4%
Patacona CF: the bet landed in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Villarreal CF: the bet landed in 5 of 6 at home · both last 10: 65% · Patacona CF: only games against sides at Villarreal CF's level · Villarreal CF: only games against sides at Patacona CF's level
Villarreal CF 1UPLEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
VIL 3 of 5 (60%) · PAT 3 of 5 (60%)47%
Villarreal CF scored first 2 of last 5, led in 3 · led in 3 of 5 at home · Patacona CF trailed in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Villarreal CF: only games against sides at Patacona CF's level · Patacona CF: only games against sides at Villarreal CF's level
GOALS
no price yet
VIL 6 of 6 (100%) · PAT 10 of 10 (100%)97%
Villarreal CF: over 1.5 goals in 6 of 6 at home · Patacona CF: over 1.5 goals in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · Villarreal CF: only games against sides at Patacona CF's level · Patacona CF: only games against sides at Villarreal CF's level
no price yet
VIL 6 of 6 (100%) · PAT 10 of 10 (100%)97%
Villarreal CF: over 0.5 goals in 6 of 6 at home · Patacona CF: over 0.5 goals in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · Villarreal CF: only games against sides at Patacona CF's level · Patacona CF: only games against sides at Villarreal CF's level
Over 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.47
VIL 5 of 6 (83%) · PAT 5 of 10 (50%)65.4%
Villarreal CF: over 2.5 goals in 5 of 6 at home · Patacona CF: over 2.5 goals in 5 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 60% · Villarreal CF: only games against sides at Patacona CF's level · Patacona CF: only games against sides at Villarreal CF's level
BOTH TEAMS SCORE
Both Teams to Score - YesLEANPAGE ONLY
1.96
VIL 5 of 6 (83%) · PAT 5 of 10 (50%)67.1%
Villarreal CF: both scored in 5 of 6 at home · Patacona CF: both scored in 5 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 65% · Villarreal CF: only games against sides at Patacona CF's level · Patacona CF: only games against sides at Villarreal CF's level
VILLARREAL CF GOALS
Villarreal CF Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
VIL 5 of 6 (83%) · PAT 9 of 10 (90%)87.8%
Villarreal CF scored in 5 of 6 at home · Patacona CF conceded in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 90% · Villarreal CF: only games against sides at Patacona CF's level · Patacona CF: only games against sides at Villarreal CF's level
Villarreal CF Over 1.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
VIL 4 of 6 (67%) · PAT 6 of 10 (60%)44.2%
Villarreal CF scored over 1.5 in 4 of 6 at home · Patacona CF conceded over 1.5 in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 60% · Villarreal CF: only games against sides at Patacona CF's level · Patacona CF: only games against sides at Villarreal CF's level
PATACONA CF GOALS
Patacona CF Over 0.5 goalsHELD · the odds board 55%
1.83
PAT 6 of 10 (60%) · VIL 6 of 6 (100%)78.3%
Patacona CF scored in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Villarreal CF conceded in 6 of 6 at home · both last 10: 75% · Patacona CF: only games against sides at Villarreal CF's level · Villarreal CF: only games against sides at Patacona CF's level
CARDS
no price yet
VIL 5 of 5 (100%) · PAT 4 of 8 (50%)70.8%
Villarreal CF's games: over 2.5 cards in 5 of 5 at home · Patacona CF's games: over 2.5 cards in 4 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 62% · Villarreal CF: only games against sides at Patacona CF's level · Patacona CF: only games against sides at Villarreal CF's level
Left off the list: Under 3.5 Goals (the numbers (48%) and the records (68%) are on opposite sides, and nothing settles it); Over 7.5 Corners (the numbers (29%) and the records (72%) are on opposite sides, and nothing settles it)