Deportivo La Guaira vs Carabobo FC
Match details. Primera Division, Clausura - Quadrangular - 5. Kick-off is Sun 8 Nov, 22:30 Lagos time. It is played at Estadio Brigido Iriarte, Caracas.
What's at stake. Deportivo La Guaira are 2nd on 5 points after 4 games, 7 points behind Deportivo Tachira FC. Carabobo FC are 1st on 10 points after 4 games.
Form. Deportivo La Guaira have won two, drawn three and lost five of their last ten league games, 0.9 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: W D L D L. In this competition Deportivo La Guaira have gone W D L D L D. Carabobo FC have won seven, drawn three and lost none of their last ten league games, 2.4 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: W D W W D. In this competition Carabobo FC have gone W D W W D W.
The numbers. Deportivo La Guaira score 1.5 and concede two a game in their last six at home, with one clean sheet. Deportivo La Guaira average 8.4 shots (3.7 on target), 3.8 corners and 3.5 cards a game. Carabobo FC score 1.8 and concede 0.4 a game in their last five away, with three clean sheets. Carabobo FC average 10.0 shots (4.6 on target), 4.2 corners and 2.7 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last nine meetings Deportivo La Guaira have won none, drawn five and lost four. Two of the nine went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in four. In the last four, two were drawn and Carabobo FC won two. The last time they met, on 28 Oct 2026, it finished Deportivo La Guaira 1-3 Carabobo FC.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 42% against the records' 63%.
The read. No firm call: Carabobo FC are the better side, but not at this price. A tight game. Carabobo FC are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Carabobo FC. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 44%.
The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.29, rated 73% (Deportivo La Guaira: under 3.5 goals in 3 of 6 at home; Carabobo FC: under 3.5 goals in 4 of 5 away). Full cover: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.29. Whenever the best bet loses, this one wins. Predicted score: Deportivo La Guaira 1-1 Carabobo FC (13% chance).
The agreed story. No side to back (Carabobo FC the favourite), a tight game. The app, the Bank and the tipsters together.
The league run. Deportivo La Guaira: up and down in the league (W D L D L). Carabobo FC: unbeaten in their last five league games (W D W W D).
So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).