PORTUGAL - CAMPEONATO DE PORTUGAL
16:00Sun 8 Nov
REA
RS
GD Lagoa vs Real SC Queluz
CLASS E
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75
TOTAL GOALS
Class E
Under 3.5 Goals
GD Lagoa v Real SC Queluz
1.33odds
75%book
0edge
2/2angles
THE READ
Match details. Campeonato de Portugal. Kick-off is Sun 8 Nov, 16:00 Lagos time.
Form. GD Lagoa have won two, drawn three and lost five of their last ten, 0.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L D L D. Real SC Queluz have won four, drawn four and lost two of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W D D D.
The numbers. GD Lagoa score 1.1 and concede 1.6 a game over their last ten, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. GD Lagoa average 6.9 shots (2.1 on target), 4.9 corners and 2.1 cards a game. Real SC Queluz score 0.8 and concede 0.6 a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets. Real SC Queluz average 10.8 shots (3.9 on target), 2.7 corners and 3.1 cards a game.
The read. A draw. A tight game. Little separates them, and both sides draw often. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 40%.
The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.33, rated 74% (GD Lagoa: under 3.5 goals in 7 of 9; Real SC Queluz: under 3.5 goals in 6 of 8). Full cover: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.26. Whenever the best bet loses, this one wins. Predicted score: GD Lagoa 1-1 Real SC Queluz (13% chance).
The agreed story. No side to back (Real SC Queluz the favourite), a tight game.
So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.
PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
GD Lagoa (2:0 handicap)PAGE ONLY
no price yet
GDL 8 of 9 (89%) · REA 7 of 8 (88%)88.2%
GD Lagoa: the bet landed in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Real SC Queluz: the bet landed in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 88% · GD Lagoa: only games against sides at Real SC Queluz's level · Real SC Queluz: only games against sides at GD Lagoa's level
Real SC Queluz or Under 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
REA 7 of 8 (88%) · GDL 7 of 9 (78%)64.6%
Real SC Queluz: the bet landed in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · GD Lagoa: the bet landed in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 83% · Real SC Queluz: only games against sides at GD Lagoa's level · GD Lagoa: only games against sides at Real SC Queluz's level
GD Lagoa or Both Teams ScorePAGE ONLY
no price yet
GDL 7 of 9 (78%) · REA 6 of 8 (75%)58.4%
GD Lagoa: the bet landed in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Real SC Queluz: the bet landed in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 76% · GD Lagoa: only games against sides at Real SC Queluz's level · Real SC Queluz: only games against sides at GD Lagoa's level
Draw or Over 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
GDL 8 of 9 (89%) · REA 5 of 8 (62%)57.7%
GD Lagoa: the bet landed in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Real SC Queluz: the bet landed in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 76% · GD Lagoa: only games against sides at Real SC Queluz's level · Real SC Queluz: only games against sides at GD Lagoa's level
GD Lagoa or Under 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
GDL 6 of 9 (67%) · REA 6 of 8 (75%)52.8%
GD Lagoa: the bet landed in 6 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Real SC Queluz: the bet landed in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 71% · GD Lagoa: only games against sides at Real SC Queluz's level · Real SC Queluz: only games against sides at GD Lagoa's level
Real SC Queluz 1UPLEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
REA 3 of 5 (60%) · GDL 5 of 7 (71%)51.7%
Real SC Queluz scored first 3 of last 5, led in 3 · led in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · GD Lagoa trailed in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Real SC Queluz: only games against sides at GD Lagoa's level · GD Lagoa: only games against sides at Real SC Queluz's level
Draw or Under 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
GDL 4 of 9 (44%) · REA 7 of 8 (88%)48%
GD Lagoa: the bet landed in 4 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Real SC Queluz: the bet landed in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 66% · GD Lagoa: only games against sides at Real SC Queluz's level · Real SC Queluz: only games against sides at GD Lagoa's level
Real SC Queluz (Draw No Bet)LEANPAGE ONLY
2.50
REA 4 of 6 (67%) · GDL 4 of 6 (67%)33%
Real SC Queluz won 4 of 6 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · GD Lagoa lost 4 of 6 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · both last 10: 67% · GD Lagoa: only games against sides at Real SC Queluz's level · won 4, refunded 3, lost 1
GOALS
Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
GDL 9 of 9 (100%) · REA 7 of 8 (88%)96.2%
GD Lagoa: under 5.5 goals in 9 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Real SC Queluz: under 5.5 goals in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 94% · GD Lagoa: only games against sides at Real SC Queluz's level · Real SC Queluz: only games against sides at GD Lagoa's level
Under 4.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
GDL 9 of 9 (100%) · REA 6 of 8 (75%)88.9%
GD Lagoa: under 4.5 goals in 9 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Real SC Queluz: under 4.5 goals in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 88% · GD Lagoa: only games against sides at Real SC Queluz's level · Real SC Queluz: only games against sides at GD Lagoa's level
Under 3.5 GoalsMAININ CODES
1.33
GDL 7 of 9 (78%) · REA 6 of 8 (75%)74.8%
GD Lagoa: under 3.5 goals in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Real SC Queluz: under 3.5 goals in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 76% · GD Lagoa: only games against sides at Real SC Queluz's level · Real SC Queluz: only games against sides at GD Lagoa's level
Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
GDL 8 of 9 (89%) · REA 8 of 8 (100%)73.9%
GD Lagoa: over 0.5 goals in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Real SC Queluz: over 0.5 goals in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 94% · GD Lagoa: only games against sides at Real SC Queluz's level · Real SC Queluz: only games against sides at GD Lagoa's level
Over 1.5 GoalsFULL COVERHELD · the odds board 79%
1.26
GDL 7 of 9 (78%) · REA 5 of 8 (62%)55.8%
GD Lagoa: over 1.5 goals in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Real SC Queluz: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 70% · GD Lagoa: only games against sides at Real SC Queluz's level · Real SC Queluz: only games against sides at GD Lagoa's level
BOTH TEAMS SCORE
Both Teams to Score - YesLEANHELD · the odds board 60%
1.68
GDL 7 of 9 (78%) · REA 5 of 8 (62%)35.4%
GD Lagoa: both scored in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Real SC Queluz: both scored in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 70% · GD Lagoa: only games against sides at Real SC Queluz's level · Real SC Queluz: only games against sides at GD Lagoa's level
GD LAGOA GOALS
GD Lagoa Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
GDL 7 of 9 (78%) · REA 6 of 8 (75%)54.2%
GD Lagoa scored in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Real SC Queluz conceded in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 76% · GD Lagoa: only games against sides at Real SC Queluz's level · Real SC Queluz: only games against sides at GD Lagoa's level
GD Lagoa Under 1.5 goalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.72
GDL 7 of 9 (78%) · REA 7 of 8 (88%)45.3%
GD Lagoa scored under 1.5 in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Real SC Queluz conceded under 1.5 in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 83% · GD Lagoa: only games against sides at Real SC Queluz's level · Real SC Queluz: only games against sides at GD Lagoa's level
REAL SC QUELUZ GOALS
Real SC Queluz Over 0.5 goalsIN CODES
1.38
REA 7 of 8 (88%) · GDL 8 of 9 (89%)55%
Real SC Queluz scored in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · GD Lagoa conceded in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 88% · Real SC Queluz: only games against sides at GD Lagoa's level · GD Lagoa: only games against sides at Real SC Queluz's level
CORNERS
Over 7.5 CornersPAGE ONLY
no price yet
GDL 8 of 9 (89%) · REA 4 of 7 (57%)73%
GD Lagoa's games: over 7.5 corners in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Real SC Queluz's games: over 7.5 corners in 4 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 73% · GD Lagoa: only games against sides at Real SC Queluz's level · Real SC Queluz: only games against sides at GD Lagoa's level
CARDS
Over 3.5 CardsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
GDL 7 of 9 (78%) · REA 5 of 7 (71%)74.6%
GD Lagoa's games: over 3.5 cards in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Real SC Queluz's games: over 3.5 cards in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75% · GD Lagoa: only games against sides at Real SC Queluz's level · Real SC Queluz: only games against sides at GD Lagoa's level
OTHER
GG/NG 2+: NoIN CODES
1.12
GDL 9 of 9 (100%) · REA 7 of 8 (88%)94.8%
GD Lagoa: the bet landed in 9 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Real SC Queluz: the bet landed in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 94% · GD Lagoa: only games against sides at Real SC Queluz's level · Real SC Queluz: only games against sides at GD Lagoa's level
Real SC Queluz Clean Sheet: NoHELD · the odds board 85%
1.18
REA 6 of 8 (75%) · GDL 7 of 9 (78%)58.4%
Real SC Queluz: the bet landed in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · GD Lagoa: the bet landed in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 76% · Real SC Queluz: only games against sides at GD Lagoa's level · GD Lagoa: only games against sides at Real SC Queluz's level
Left off the list: Real SC Queluz or Draw (1UP) (the numbers (70%) and the records (100%) are 30 points apart, and nothing settles it)
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 1–1 13.3%
GD Lagoa goals →
Real SC Queluz goals ↓
0-08%
1-09%
2-06%
3-03%
4-00.8%
5-00.2%
0-19%
1-113%
2-18%
3-13%
4-11%
5-10.3%
0-26%
1-28%
2-25%
3-22%
4-20.7%
5-20.2%
0-33%
1-34%
2-32%
3-31.0%
4-30.3%
5-30.1%
0-40.9%
1-41%
2-40.8%
3-40.3%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.2%
1-50.3%
2-50.2%
3-50.1%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).
FORM · LAST 10
GD LAGOAWLDLWDLDLL0.90 PPG
REAL SC QUELUZLWWDLDDDWW1.60 PPG
THE NUMBERS
GD LAGOA HOMExREAL SC QUELUZ AWAY
1.10SCORED A GAME1.601.60CONCEDED A GAME1.4010%CLEAN SHEETS30%4.90CORNERS A GAME2.672.10CARDS A GAME3.11
THE BANK
THE BANKER MENU
OVER 1.5 CARDS
–
543 OF 573
PRICE NOT KEPT
Both sides' last 5 games point to 5.2+ cards.
Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.
TRENDS
GD Lagoa have scored in 80% of their games.
Real SC Queluz have scored in 90% of their games.
GD Lagoa kept a clean sheet in 10% of their games.
Real SC Queluz kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards