SPAIN AMATEUR - TERCERA FEDERACION, GROUP 7
12:00Sun 8 Nov
ADT
AT
Las Rozas CF vs AD Torrejon CF
CLASS E
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79
TOTAL GOALS
Class E
Over 1.5 Goals
Las Rozas CF v AD Torrejon CF
1.28odds
78%book
+1edge
1/1angles
EDGE PICKAD Torrejon CF Under 1.5 goals · 46.2% · @1.36
Book 74% · Us 46% -28 price too short
Backed by
· main loses on: 0-0, 1-0, 0-1 | hedge wins on all of themAD Torrejon CF scored under 1.5 in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Las Rozas CF conceded under 1.5 in 4 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 55% · AD Torrejon CF: only games against sides at Las Rozas CF's level · Las Rozas CF: only games against sides at AD Torrejon CF's level
THE READ
Match details. Tercera Federacion, Group 7. Kick-off is Sun 8 Nov, 12:00 Lagos time.
Form. Las Rozas CF have won five, drawn two and lost two of their last nine league games, 1.9 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: L W D W W. AD Torrejon CF have won four, drawn one and lost four of their last nine league games, 1.4 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: W L W D W.
The numbers. Las Rozas CF score 2.2 and concede 1.7 a game over their last nine, with one clean sheet. Las Rozas CF average 9.3 shots (4.5 on target), 5.0 corners and 2.1 cards a game. AD Torrejon CF score 1.7 and concede 0.9 a game over their last nine, with three clean sheets and three games without a goal. AD Torrejon CF average 11.0 shots (4.7 on target), 5.1 corners and 3.3 cards a game.
The case against. AD Torrejon CF's record still gives them 35% to win.
The read. Las Rozas CF to win. An open game. Las Rozas CF are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Las Rozas CF. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 65%.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.28, rated 78% (Las Rozas CF: over 1.5 goals in 10 of 10; AD Torrejon CF: over 1.5 goals in 6 of 10). Full cover: GG/NG 2+: No at 1.12. Whenever the best bet loses, this one wins. Predicted score: Las Rozas CF 2-1 AD Torrejon CF (9% chance).
The agreed story. Las Rozas CF or the draw, an open game.
So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.
PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
AD Torrejon CF (0:2 handicap)PAGE ONLY
no price yet
ADT 8 of 10 (80%) · LAS 7 of 10 (70%)75%
AD Torrejon CF: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Las Rozas CF: the bet landed in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75% · AD Torrejon CF: only games against sides at Las Rozas CF's level · Las Rozas CF: only games against sides at AD Torrejon CF's level
Las Rozas CF or Draw (1UP)PAGE ONLY
no price yet
LAS 4 of 5 (80%) · ADT 8 of 10 (80%)74.3%
Las Rozas CF scored first 2 of last 5, led or was unbeaten in 4 · led or was unbeaten in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · AD Torrejon CF trailed or failed to win in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Las Rozas CF: only games against sides at AD Torrejon CF's level · AD Torrejon CF: only games against sides at Las Rozas CF's level
Draw or Over 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
LAS 10 of 10 (100%) · ADT 6 of 10 (60%)73.4%
Las Rozas CF: the bet landed in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · AD Torrejon CF: the bet landed in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 80% · Las Rozas CF: only games against sides at AD Torrejon CF's level · AD Torrejon CF: only games against sides at Las Rozas CF's level
Las Rozas CF or Over 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
LAS 8 of 10 (80%) · ADT 8 of 10 (80%)70.1%
Las Rozas CF: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · AD Torrejon CF: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 80% · Las Rozas CF: only games against sides at AD Torrejon CF's level · AD Torrejon CF: only games against sides at Las Rozas CF's level
Las Rozas CF or Both Teams ScorePAGE ONLY
no price yet
LAS 9 of 10 (90%) · ADT 7 of 10 (70%)68.6%
Las Rozas CF: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · AD Torrejon CF: the bet landed in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 80% · Las Rozas CF: only games against sides at AD Torrejon CF's level · AD Torrejon CF: only games against sides at Las Rozas CF's level
Las Rozas CF (Draw No Bet)LEANPAGE ONLY
1.53
LAS 5 of 8 (62%) · ADT 5 of 9 (56%)59.9%
Las Rozas CF won 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · AD Torrejon CF lost 5 of 9 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · both last 10: 59% · Las Rozas CF: only games against sides at AD Torrejon CF's level · AD Torrejon CF: only games against sides at Las Rozas CF's level · won 7, refunded 1, lost 0
Double Chance: Las Rozas CF or AD Torrejon CFHELD · the odds board 78%
1.29
LAS 8 of 10 (80%) · ADT 9 of 10 (90%)55.8%
Las Rozas CF: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · AD Torrejon CF: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 85% · Las Rozas CF: only games against sides at AD Torrejon CF's level · AD Torrejon CF: only games against sides at Las Rozas CF's level
Las Rozas CF 1UPLEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
LAS 3 of 5 (60%) · ADT 7 of 10 (70%)42%
Las Rozas CF scored first 2 of last 5, led in 3 · led in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · AD Torrejon CF trailed in 5 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Las Rozas CF: only games against sides at AD Torrejon CF's level · AD Torrejon CF: only games against sides at Las Rozas CF's level
GOALS
Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
LAS 10 of 10 (100%) · ADT 10 of 10 (100%)93.4%
Las Rozas CF: over 0.5 goals in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · AD Torrejon CF: over 0.5 goals in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · Las Rozas CF: only games against sides at AD Torrejon CF's level · AD Torrejon CF: only games against sides at Las Rozas CF's level
Over 1.5 GoalsMAININ CODES
1.28
LAS 10 of 10 (100%) · ADT 6 of 10 (60%)78.6%
Las Rozas CF: over 1.5 goals in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · AD Torrejon CF: over 1.5 goals in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 80% · Las Rozas CF: only games against sides at AD Torrejon CF's level · AD Torrejon CF: only games against sides at Las Rozas CF's level
Over 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.88
LAS 8 of 10 (80%) · ADT 5 of 10 (50%)54.2%
Las Rozas CF: over 2.5 goals in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · AD Torrejon CF: over 2.5 goals in 5 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 65% · Las Rozas CF: only games against sides at AD Torrejon CF's level · AD Torrejon CF: only games against sides at Las Rozas CF's level
BOTH TEAMS SCORE
Both Teams to Score - YesLEANHELD · the odds board 59%
1.69
LAS 8 of 10 (80%) · ADT 3 of 10 (30%)39%
Las Rozas CF: both scored in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · AD Torrejon CF: both scored in 3 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 55% · Las Rozas CF: only games against sides at AD Torrejon CF's level · AD Torrejon CF: only games against sides at Las Rozas CF's level
LAS ROZAS CF GOALS
Las Rozas CF Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
LAS 9 of 10 (90%) · ADT 7 of 10 (70%)78.8%
Las Rozas CF scored in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · AD Torrejon CF conceded in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 80% · Las Rozas CF: only games against sides at AD Torrejon CF's level · AD Torrejon CF: only games against sides at Las Rozas CF's level
AD TORREJON CF GOALS
AD Torrejon CF Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ADT 6 of 10 (60%) · LAS 9 of 10 (90%)53.6%
AD Torrejon CF scored in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Las Rozas CF conceded in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75% · AD Torrejon CF: only games against sides at Las Rozas CF's level · Las Rozas CF: only games against sides at AD Torrejon CF's level
AD Torrejon CF Under 1.5 goalsLEANHELD · the odds board 74%
1.36
ADT 7 of 10 (70%) · LAS 4 of 10 (40%)46.2%
AD Torrejon CF scored under 1.5 in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Las Rozas CF conceded under 1.5 in 4 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 55% · AD Torrejon CF: only games against sides at Las Rozas CF's level · Las Rozas CF: only games against sides at AD Torrejon CF's level
CORNERS
Over 6.5 CornersPAGE ONLY
no price yet
LAS 9 of 10 (90%) · ADT 7 of 10 (70%)80%
Las Rozas CF's games: over 6.5 corners in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · AD Torrejon CF's games: over 6.5 corners in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 80% · Las Rozas CF: only games against sides at AD Torrejon CF's level · AD Torrejon CF: only games against sides at Las Rozas CF's level
OTHER
AD Torrejon CF Clean Sheet: NoIN CODES
1.22
ADT 7 of 10 (70%) · LAS 9 of 10 (90%)80%
AD Torrejon CF: the bet landed in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Las Rozas CF: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 80% · AD Torrejon CF: only games against sides at Las Rozas CF's level · Las Rozas CF: only games against sides at AD Torrejon CF's level
GG/NG 2+: NoFULL COVERHELD · the odds board 89%
1.12
LAS 7 of 10 (70%) · ADT 10 of 10 (100%)67%
Las Rozas CF: the bet landed in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · AD Torrejon CF: the bet landed in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 85% · Las Rozas CF: only games against sides at AD Torrejon CF's level · AD Torrejon CF: only games against sides at Las Rozas CF's level
Left off the list: Over 3.5 Cards (the numbers (74%) and the records (95%) are 22 points apart, and nothing settles it)
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 2–1 9.1%
Las Rozas CF goals →
AD Torrejon CF goals ↓
0-07%
1-09%
2-07%
3-04%
4-01%
5-00.4%
0-17%
1-112%
2-19%
3-15%
4-12%
5-10.6%
0-25%
1-27%
2-26%
3-23%
4-21%
5-20.4%
0-32%
1-33%
2-32%
3-31%
4-30.5%
5-30.1%
0-40.6%
1-41.0%
2-40.8%
3-40.4%
4-40.2%
5-40.0%
0-50.2%
1-50.2%
2-50.2%
3-50.1%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).
FORM · LAST 10
LAS ROZAS CFLWWDLWWDWL1.70 PPG
AD TORREJON CFLLWLLWDWLW1.30 PPG
THE NUMBERS
LAS ROZAS CF HOMExAD TORREJON CF AWAY
2.10SCORED A GAME1.501.80CONCEDED A GAME1.1010%CLEAN SHEETS30%5.00CORNERS A GAME5.102.10CARDS A GAME3.30
THE BANK
THE BANKER MENU
OVER 1.5 CARDS
–
543 OF 573
PRICE NOT KEPT
Both sides' last 5 games point to 5.2+ cards.
Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.
TRENDS
Las Rozas CF have scored in 90% of their games.
AD Torrejon CF have scored in 60% of their games.
Las Rozas CF kept a clean sheet in 10% of their games.
AD Torrejon CF kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards