SPAIN AMATEUR - TERCERA FEDERACION, GROUP 13
11:30Sun 8 Nov
ATL
AS
SFC Minerva vs Atletico Santa Cruz
CLASS E
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DOUBLE CHANCE
Class E
Double Chance: Draw or Atletico…
SFC Minerva v Atletico Santa Cruz
1.22odds
82%book
-3edge
2/2angles
THE READ
Match details. Tercera Federacion, Group 13. Kick-off is Sun 8 Nov, 11:30 Lagos time.
Form. SFC Minerva have won three, drawn two and lost five of their last ten league games, 1.1 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: L L L W D. Atletico Santa Cruz have won five, drawn three and lost two of their last ten league games, 1.8 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: W W W D D.
The numbers. SFC Minerva score one and concede 1.6 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. SFC Minerva average 9.4 shots (2.8 on target), 4.1 corners and 3.9 cards a game. Atletico Santa Cruz score 1.6 and concede 1.2 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets. Atletico Santa Cruz average 9.0 shots (4.2 on target), 4.0 corners and 2.3 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 43%.
The case against. SFC Minerva's record still gives them 22% to win.
The read. Atletico Santa Cruz to win. Their goals for and against make Atletico Santa Cruz the likelier winners; Atletico Santa Cruz are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Atletico Santa Cruz.
The bets. Best bet: Draw or Atletico Santa Cruz at 1.22, rated 78% (Atletico Santa Cruz unbeaten in 8 of 10; SFC Minerva failed to win 4 of 5 at home). Backup: SFC Minerva Clean Sheet: No at 1.25. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Predicted score: SFC Minerva 0-1 Atletico Santa Cruz (10% chance).
The agreed story. Atletico Santa Cruz or the draw, goals in between.
So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.
PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
Atletico Santa Cruz or Draw (1UP)PAGE ONLY
no price yet
ATL 5 of 5 (100%) · SFC 7 of 9 (78%)93.6%
Atletico Santa Cruz scored first 3 of last 5, led or was unbeaten in 5 · led or was unbeaten in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · SFC Minerva trailed or failed to win in 5 of 5 at home · Atletico Santa Cruz: only games against sides at SFC Minerva's level · SFC Minerva: only games against sides at Atletico Santa Cruz's level
Double Chance: Draw or Atletico Santa CruzMAININ CODES
1.22
ATL 8 of 10 (80%) · SFC 4 of 5 (80%)79.3%
Atletico Santa Cruz unbeaten in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · SFC Minerva failed to win 4 of 5 at home · both last 10: 75% · Atletico Santa Cruz: only games against sides at SFC Minerva's level · SFC Minerva: only games against sides at Atletico Santa Cruz's level
Atletico Santa Cruz or Under 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ATL 7 of 10 (70%) · SFC 4 of 5 (80%)77.7%
Atletico Santa Cruz: the bet landed in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · SFC Minerva: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · both last 10: 80% · Atletico Santa Cruz: only games against sides at SFC Minerva's level · SFC Minerva: only games against sides at Atletico Santa Cruz's level
SFC Minerva (2:0 handicap)PAGE ONLY
no price yet
SFC 3 of 5 (60%) · ATL 9 of 10 (90%)75%
SFC Minerva: the bet landed in 3 of 5 at home · Atletico Santa Cruz: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75% · SFC Minerva: only games against sides at Atletico Santa Cruz's level · Atletico Santa Cruz: only games against sides at SFC Minerva's level
Atletico Santa Cruz (Draw No Bet)LEANPAGE ONLY
1.38
ATL 5 of 7 (71%) · SFC 5 of 8 (62%)68%
Atletico Santa Cruz won 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · SFC Minerva lost 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · both last 10: 67% · Atletico Santa Cruz: only games against sides at SFC Minerva's level · SFC Minerva: only games against sides at Atletico Santa Cruz's level · won 3, refunded 4, lost 2
Atletico Santa Cruz or Over 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ATL 8 of 10 (80%) · SFC 3 of 5 (60%)52%
Atletico Santa Cruz: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · SFC Minerva: the bet landed in 3 of 5 at home · both last 10: 70% · Atletico Santa Cruz: only games against sides at SFC Minerva's level · SFC Minerva: only games against sides at Atletico Santa Cruz's level
Draw or Over 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
SFC 4 of 5 (80%) · ATL 7 of 10 (70%)52%
SFC Minerva: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · Atletico Santa Cruz: the bet landed in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 60% · SFC Minerva: only games against sides at Atletico Santa Cruz's level · Atletico Santa Cruz: only games against sides at SFC Minerva's level
Atletico Santa Cruz 1UPLEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ATL 3 of 5 (60%) · SFC 5 of 9 (56%)40.5%
Atletico Santa Cruz scored first 3 of last 5, led in 3 · led in 5 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · SFC Minerva trailed in 3 of 5 at home · Atletico Santa Cruz: only games against sides at SFC Minerva's level · SFC Minerva: only games against sides at Atletico Santa Cruz's level
GOALS
Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
SFC 4 of 5 (80%) · ATL 10 of 10 (100%)91.7%
SFC Minerva: over 0.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home · Atletico Santa Cruz: over 0.5 goals in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 95% · SFC Minerva: only games against sides at Atletico Santa Cruz's level · Atletico Santa Cruz: only games against sides at SFC Minerva's level
Under 4.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
SFC 4 of 5 (80%) · ATL 8 of 10 (80%)81.7%
SFC Minerva: under 4.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home · Atletico Santa Cruz: under 4.5 goals in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 85% · SFC Minerva: only games against sides at Atletico Santa Cruz's level · Atletico Santa Cruz: only games against sides at SFC Minerva's level
Under 3.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.18
SFC 3 of 5 (60%) · ATL 7 of 10 (70%)66.7%
SFC Minerva: under 3.5 goals in 3 of 5 at home · Atletico Santa Cruz: under 3.5 goals in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 70% · SFC Minerva: only games against sides at Atletico Santa Cruz's level · Atletico Santa Cruz: only games against sides at SFC Minerva's level
Over 1.5 GoalsIN CODES
1.42
SFC 4 of 5 (80%) · ATL 8 of 10 (80%)58.7%
SFC Minerva: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home · Atletico Santa Cruz: over 1.5 goals in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 70% · SFC Minerva: only games against sides at Atletico Santa Cruz's level · Atletico Santa Cruz: only games against sides at SFC Minerva's level
ATLETICO SANTA CRUZ GOALS
Atletico Santa Cruz Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ATL 10 of 10 (100%) · SFC 4 of 5 (80%)88.3%
Atletico Santa Cruz scored in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · SFC Minerva conceded in 4 of 5 at home · both last 10: 85% · Atletico Santa Cruz: only games against sides at SFC Minerva's level · SFC Minerva: only games against sides at Atletico Santa Cruz's level
CORNERS
Over 4.5 CornersPAGE ONLY
no price yet
SFC 4 of 5 (80%) · ATL 7 of 9 (78%)80.1%
SFC Minerva's games: over 4.5 corners in 4 of 5 at home · Atletico Santa Cruz's games: over 4.5 corners in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 83% · SFC Minerva: only games against sides at Atletico Santa Cruz's level · Atletico Santa Cruz: only games against sides at SFC Minerva's level
CARDS
Over 3.5 CardsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
SFC 4 of 5 (80%) · ATL 8 of 9 (89%)85.7%
SFC Minerva's games: over 3.5 cards in 4 of 5 at home · Atletico Santa Cruz's games: over 3.5 cards in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 88% · SFC Minerva: only games against sides at Atletico Santa Cruz's level · Atletico Santa Cruz: only games against sides at SFC Minerva's level
OTHER
SFC Minerva Clean Sheet: NoBACKUPIN CODES
1.25
SFC 4 of 5 (80%) · ATL 10 of 10 (100%)88.3%
SFC Minerva: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · Atletico Santa Cruz: the bet landed in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 85% · SFC Minerva: only games against sides at Atletico Santa Cruz's level · Atletico Santa Cruz: only games against sides at SFC Minerva's level
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 0–1 9.6%
SFC Minerva goals →
Atletico Santa Cruz goals ↓
0-07%
1-07%
2-04%
3-02%
4-00.5%
5-00.1%
0-110%
1-113%
2-17%
3-13%
4-10.7%
5-10.2%
0-28%
1-29%
2-25%
3-22%
4-20.6%
5-20.1%
0-34%
1-35%
2-33%
3-31%
4-30.3%
5-30.1%
0-42%
1-42%
2-41%
3-40.4%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.6%
1-50.6%
2-50.4%
3-50.1%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call).
FORM · LAST 10
SFC MINERVALWWDLDWLLL1.10 PPG
ATLETICO SANTA CRUZLWLWDDDWWW1.80 PPG
THE NUMBERS
SFC MINERVA HOMExATLETICO SANTA CRUZ AWAY
0.70SCORED A GAME1.601.50CONCEDED A GAME1.2030%CLEAN SHEETS30%4.12CORNERS A GAME4.003.88CARDS A GAME2.33
THE BANK
THE BANKER MENU
OVER 1.5 CARDS
–
543 OF 573
PRICE NOT KEPT
Both sides' last 5 games point to 5.2+ cards.
Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.
TRENDS
SFC Minerva have scored in 50% of their games.
Atletico Santa Cruz have scored in 100% of their games.
SFC Minerva kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.
Atletico Santa Cruz kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards