Stade Gabesien vs Kalaa Sport
Match details. Ligue 2, Regular Season - 7. Kick-off is Sun 8 Nov, 14:30 Lagos time.
What's at stake. Stade Gabesien are 16th on 7 points after 6 games, level on points with Stade Soussien, level on points with Sfax Railways. A win would take them above Stade Soussien. Kalaa Sport are 14th on 9 points after 6 games, level on points with Sporting Ben Arous, 2 points clear of Stade Soussien. A win would take them above Sporting Ben Arous.
Form. Stade Gabesien have won two, drawn six and lost two of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D W L D. Kalaa Sport have won four, drawn one and lost five of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L W L L.
The numbers. Stade Gabesien score one and concede one a game in their last five at home, with three clean sheets and two games without a goal. Stade Gabesien average 9.0 shots (2.3 on target), 2.0 corners and 2.3 cards a game. Kalaa Sport score 0.8 and concede 1.4 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets and three games without a goal. Kalaa Sport average 9.0 shots (5.0 on target), 6.0 corners and 1.5 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last four meetings Stade Gabesien have won two, drawn one and lost one. One of the four went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in one. The last time they met, on 22 Apr 2026, it finished Stade Gabesien 2-0 Kalaa Sport.
Where it pulls both ways. Kalaa Sport are the form side, but the meetings favour Stade Gabesien: in the last four meetings, Stade Gabesien won two, Kalaa Sport won one and one was drawn.
The read. No side to back. A tight game. Form and the meetings point different ways, so I back neither side. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 38%. Three of the last four meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.18, rated 76% (Stade Gabesien: under 3.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home; Kalaa Sport: under 3.5 goals in 5 of 5 away). Full cover: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.43. Whenever the best bet loses, this one wins. Predicted score: Stade Gabesien 1-1 Kalaa Sport (14% chance).
The agreed story. No side to back (Stade Gabesien the favourite), a tight game.
So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).